Connect with us

News

UN Report: 2024 Could Errand Protracted Period of Low Growth

Published

on

UN Report: 2024 Could Errand Protracted Period of Low Growth

By: Michael Mike

A United Nations flagship economic report has raised an alarm that protracted period of low growth looms large, and could undermine progress on sustainable development.

According to the report released on Friday, weakening global trade, high borrowing costs, elevated public debt, persistently low investment, and mounting geopolitical tensions put global growth at risk.

The global economic growth is projected to slow from an estimated 2.7 per cent in 2023 to 2.4 per cent in 2024, trending below the pre-pandemic growth rate of 3.0 per cent, according to the United Nations World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) 2024, launched on Friday.

This latest forecast comes on the heels of global economic performance exceeding expectations in 2023. However, last year’s stronger-than-expected GDP growth masked short-term risks and structural vulnerabilities, according to the report.

The UN’s flagship economic report presents a sombre economic outlook for the near term. Persistently high interest rates, further escalation of conflicts, sluggish international trade, and increasing climate disasters, pose significant challenges to global growth.

The report stated that the prospects of a prolonged period of tighter credit conditions and higher borrowing costs present strong headwinds for a world economy saddled with debt, while in need of more investments to resuscitate growth, fight climate change and accelerate progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Reacting to the report, the United Nations Secretary- General, António Guterres, said: “2024 must be the year when we break out of this quagmire. By unlocking big, bold investments we can drive sustainable development and climate action, and put the global economy on a stronger growth path for all,” adding that:
“We must build on the progress made in the past year towards an SDG Stimulus of at least $500 billion per year in affordable long-term financing for investments in sustainable development and climate action.”

The report stated that growth in several large, developed economies, especially the United States, is projected to decelerate in 2024 given high interest rates, slowing consumer spending and weaker labour markets. The short-term growth prospects for many developing countries – particularly in East Asia, Western Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean – are also deteriorating because of tighter financial conditions, shrinking fiscal space and sluggish external demand.

Low-income and vulnerable economies are facing increasing balance-of-payments pressures and debt sustainability risks. Economic prospects for small island developing States, in particular, will be constrained by heavy debt burdens, high interest rates and increasing climate-related vulnerabilities, which threaten to undermine, and in some cases, even reverse gains made on the SDGs, according to the report.

The report further showed that global inflation is projected to decline further, from an estimated 5.7 per cent in 2023 to 3.9 per cent in 2024. Price pressures are, however, still elevated in many countries and any further escalation of geopolitical conflicts risks renewed increases in inflation.

In about a quarter of all developing countries, annual inflation is projected to exceed 10 per cent in 2024, the report highlighted, showing that since January 2021, consumer prices in developing economies have increased by a cumulative 21.1 per cent, significantly eroding the economic gains made following the COVID-19 recovery. Amid supply-side disruptions, conflicts and extreme weather events, local food price inflation remained high in many developing economies, disproportionately affecting the poorest households.

“Persistently high inflation has further set back progress in poverty eradication, with especially severe impacts in the least developed countries,” said United Nations Under- Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs, Li Junhua,.

He said: “It is absolutely imperative that we strengthen global cooperation and the multilateral trading system, reform development finance, address debt challenges and scale up climate financing to help vulnerable countries accelerate towards a path of sustainable and inclusive growth.”

According to the report, the global labour markets have seen an uneven recovery from the pandemic crisis. In developed economies, labour markets have remained resilient despite a slowdown in growth. However, in many developing countries, particularly in Western Asia and Africa, key employment indicators, including unemployment rates, are yet to return to pre- pandemic levels. The global gender employment gap remains high, and gender pay gaps not only persist but have even widened in some occupations.
Stronger international cooperation needed to stimulate growth and promote green transition.

It advised that Governments will need to avoid self-defeating fiscal consolidations and expand fiscal support to stimulate growth at a time when global monetary conditions will remain tight, adding that Central banks around the world continue to face difficult trade-offs in striking a balance between inflation, growth and financial stability objectives. Developing country central banks, in particular, will need to deploy a broad range of macroeconomic and macroprudential policy tools to minimize the adverse spillover effects of monetary tightening in developed economies.

Furthermore, the report emphasized that robust and effective global cooperation initiatives are urgently needed to avoid debt crises and provide adequate financing to developing countries. Low-income countries and middle-income countries with vulnerable fiscal situations need debt relief and debt restructuring to avoid a protracted cycle of weak investment, slow growth and high debt-servicing burdens.

It added that in addition, global climate finance must be massively scaled up. Reducing – and eventually eliminating – fossil fuel subsidies, following through on international financing commitments, such as the $100 billion pledge to support developing countries, and promoting technology transfer are critical for strengthening climate action worldwide. It also underscores the ever- increasing role of industrial policies to bolster innovation and productive capacity, build resilience and accelerate a green transition.

UN Report: 2024 Could Errand Protracted Period of Low Growth

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

News

Rising tension in Katsina as CJTF personnel fatally shoot father of bandit leader in Malumfashi

Published

on

Rising tension in Katsina as CJTF personnel fatally shoot father of bandit leader in Malumfashi

By: Zagazola Makama

The fragile peace in Malumfashi Local Government Area of Katsina State has been threatened following the fatal shooting of Alhaji Ibrahim Nagode, 60, by Civilian Joint Task Force (CJTF) personnel.

Nagode, a resident of Na’alma village, is the father of a known bandit leader, Haruna Ibrahim, also called “Fada”.

Sources told Zagazola Makama that the shooting occurred as Fada was returning to his village, following a recently brokered peace accord between bandits and the communities in Malumfashi.

Security sources said the area had been on high alert after intelligence suggested that suspected armed bandits were regrouping in the locality.
In a bid to prevent renewed attacks, the joint troops were deployed to intensify patrols as proactive measure to forestall any hostile activity,” a security source said. However, the operation reportedly resulted in the tragic death of Nagode.

The Department of State Services (DSS) has arrested all CJTF personnel involved in the incident.

Sources said that the authorities are monitoring the situation closely, warning that the death of the bandit leader’s father could escalate tensions in the region.

The sources expressed concern over the potential for retaliation, emphasizing the importance of dialogue and adherence to peace accords to prevent further bloodshed.

Meanwhile security operatives have called on residents to remain vigilant and report suspicious movements in their areas.

Rising tension in Katsina as CJTF personnel fatally shoot father of bandit leader in Malumfashi

Continue Reading

News

WFP: Recent Surge in Insecurity Driving Hunger to Level Never Before in Nigeria

Published

on

WFP: Recent Surge in Insecurity Driving Hunger to Level Never Before in Nigeria

By: Michael Mike

Growing instability across northern Nigeria, including a surge in attacks, is driving hunger to levels never seen before, the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) has warned.

The warning follows the release of the latest Cadre Harmonisé, a regional food security analysis that classifies the severity of hunger, which found that nearly 35 million people are projected to face severe food insecurity during the 2026 lean season, the highest number recorded in Nigeria.

WFP, in a statement on Tuesday, said attacks by insurgent groups in Nigeria have intensified throughout 2025. Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), an al-Qaeda affiliate, reportedly carried out its first attack in Nigeria last month.

Meanwhile, the insurgent group Islamic State in West Africa Province (ISWAP) is said to be pursuing its expansion across the Sahel. Other recent incidents include the killing of a brigadier soldier in the northeast and attacks on public schools in the north, where several teachers and hundreds of schoolgirls remain missing.

“Communities are under severe pressure from repeated attacks and economic stress,” said David Stevenson, WFP Country Director and Representative in Nigeria.

He said: “If we can’t keep families fed and food insecurity at bay, growing desperation could fuel increased instability with insurgent groups exploiting hunger to expand their influence, creating a security threat that extends across West Africa and beyond.”

The statement lamented that Northern Nigeria is experiencing the most severe hunger crisis in a decade with rural farming communities the hardest hit. Nearly six million people in the north are projected to face crisis levels of hunger or worse during the 2026 lean season – June to August – in the conflict zones of Borno, Adamawa and Yobe states.

It added this includes some 15,000 people in Borno State who are expected to confront catastrophic hunger (Phase 5, famine-like conditions). Children are at greatest risk across Borno, Sokoto, Yobe and Zamfara, where malnutrition rates are highest.

It said the dire situation has been compounded by funding shortfalls that diminish WFP’s ability to provide life-saving assistance. In the northeast – where nearly one million people depend on WFP’s food and nutrition assistance – WFP was forced to scale down nutrition programmes in July, affecting more than 300,000 children. In areas where clinics closed, malnutrition levels deteriorated from “serious” to “critical” in the third quarter of the year.

It however assured that despite soaring needs, WFP will run out of resources for emergency food and nutrition assistance in December. Without urgent funding, millions will be left without vital support in 2026, risking more instability and deepening a crisis that the world cannot afford to ignore.

WFP: Recent Surge in Insecurity Driving Hunger to Level Never Before in Nigeria

Continue Reading

News

ActionAid Laments the Use of Social Media to Silence Women and Girls in Nigeria

Published

on

ActionAid Laments the Use of Social Media to Silence Women and Girls in Nigeria

By: Michael Mike

ActionAid Nigeria (AAN) has decried that social media and digital platforms intended to empower, are increasingly exploited to harass, stalk, and silence women and girls. In Nigeria.

AAN in a statement on Tuesday to commemorate the start of the 16 Days of Activism Against Gender-Based Violence with the theme, “UNiTE to End Digital Violence Against All Women and Girls.” signed by its Country Director, Dr. Andrew Mamedu lamented that digital threat compounds the physical dangers girls face in schools amid rising insecurity, creating a dual crisis that demands immediate and collective action.

Mamedu said: “ActionAid Nigeria has long championed safe spaces for women and girls through initiatives such as our Safe Cities project, Women’s Voice and Leadership Nigeria project, the Renewed Women’s Voice and Leadership project, Local Rights Programme and community-based GBV response programs across 21 states and the FCT. In a nation where one in four girls experience sexual violence before the age of 18, the combination of physical and online threats is a crisis that deprives our girls of safety, education, and their future.

“We UNiTE today to break this cycle, fortifying schools against physical violence and abduction, while safeguarding digital spaces from virtual predators.”

He lamented that Nigeria’s education system, intended to be a safe environment for learning, is increasingly under threat. The abduction of 25 students and the killing of a vice-principal at Government Girls Comprehensive Secondary School in Maga, Kebbi State, underscores the fear gripping many northern communities.

He further decried that across the country, schools in Kwara, Niger, Plateau, Bauchi, Kebbi, and 41 Unity schools have closed due to insecurity, forcing children out of classrooms. UNICEF reports that 60% of out-of-school children in northern Nigeria are girls, a figure likely to rise as insecurity persists. Survivors of abductions are often subjected to sexual and domestic slavery, while perpetrators extend their threats online, amplifying fear and intimidation.

He noted that Technology-Facilitated Gender-Based Violence in Nigeria takes many forms, including cyberstalking, non-consensual sharing of intimate images, deepfakes, doxxing, sextortion, and persistent online harassment, insisting that these abuses isolate and shame women and girls, disrupting their education, work, and social participation.

A 2024 UNFPA report indicates that between 16% and 58% of women and girls worldwide experience TFGBV, with Nigeria recording over 6,000 GBV cases in the first five months of 2024 alone.

He said Tech-enabled abuse has real and tangible impacts, particularly on women and girls already marginalised by factors such as ethnicity, disability, or geography. Reports from organisations including Hivos and the Development Research and Projects Centre (dRPC) show that TFGBV intensifies trauma, suppresses voices, and perpetuates cycles of poverty.

H noted that ActionAid Nigeria, alongside women’s rights organisations, survivors, and communities across the country, calls on the Federal Government, State Governments, the National Assembly, law enforcement agencies, regulatory bodies, and international partners to urgently take the following actions:

Domesticate and implement the African Commission Resolution 522 (2023) on protection from internet-based violence; Arrest and prosecute perpetrators of school abductions to reduce insecurity in educational institutions; Establish a National Task Force on Technology-Facilitated Gender-Based Violence to coordinate prevention and response efforts; Allocate specific budget lines for the digital safety of women and girls in the 2026 appropriation; Strengthen survivor-centred reporting and justice mechanisms for both physical and online gender-based violence.

ActionAid Nigeria called on all Nigerians to recognize that the safety of women and girls is the responsibility of every individual, community, and institution, stressing that together, we must act decisively to ensure every girl can learn, live, and thrive free from fear, both online and offline.

ActionAid Laments the Use of Social Media to Silence Women and Girls in Nigeria

Continue Reading

Trending

Verified by MonsterInsights