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COP29 SURPRISED NO ONEText of CSOs Media Briefing held in Abuja on 4th December 2024 on the outcome of COP29 and the way forward

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COP29 SURPRISED NO ONE
Text of CSOs Media Briefing held in Abuja on 4th December 2024 on the outcome of COP29 and the way forward

By: Michael Mike

The Conference of Parties (COP) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) held its 29th session at Baku Azerbaijan on10-24 November 2024. COP29 as it is popularly known was tagged a Finance COP and that raised the hopes of poor, vulnerable nations that finally, climate finance would make sense. They were rightly enthused by the fact that the Loss and Damage mechanism agreed to at COP27 in Egypt was endorsed at COP28 in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). However, optimists forgot that tagging COP27 an African COP did not make it an African COP. That conference was actually the fifth COP held in Africa.

COP29 failed spectacularly on the finance note and the leader of the Nigerian delegation rightly called the minuscule amount offered an insult. We applaud the Director General of the Nigerian Climate Change Commission (NCCC) for her forthright submission.

AMBITIONS GAP

Scientists inform us that 2024 is the hottest year on record. The year has also recorded a high number of disastrous weather events. The fact that climate action requires scientifically derived, binding and distributed emissions reduction cannot be denied otherwise the trend will persist. The UNFCCC core justice basis is the Common But Differentiated Responsibilities (CBDR). This principle requires that the rich and highly polluting nations who contributed disproportionately to the stock of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere must own up to their historical responsibility, cut emissions at source and provide finance to help the vulnerable nations that have not contributed to the problem at any significant level.

This principle was essentially turned on its head when the Copenhagen Accord outcome of COP15 held in December 2009 signaled the ascendancy of voluntary emissions reduction by every nation — polluters and non-polluters. That outcome gave rise to the so-called Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) plank of the Paris Agreement. Nations need to show high levels of ambition in terms of emissions reduction if the world is to experience temperature levels within the limits set by the Paris Agreement. This has not happened.

EMISSIONS GAP

Emissions Gap reports issued by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) in 2023 and in 2024 clearly show that if nations carry out their NDCs, the world would experience temperature increases far above the 1.5C and 2.0C targets set by the Paris Agreement.

The latest Emissions Gap report shows that if countries continue with their current policies, the world stands a 90 per cent chance of hitting a temperature increase far above 3.6C or 3.4C if they carry on with unconditional NDCs and 3.0C with conditional reductions.

Nations carry on as if we are not living in an emergency even though the Emissions Gap report came out just before COP29. When we consider the impacts of weather events being currently experienced at 1.1C above preindustrial levels, it is not difficult to see that the world is already in injury time.

FINANCE GAP

The so-called finance COP was shy of mentioning how much the rich polluting nations would contribute to help vulnerable nations adapt and build resilience to the scourge. The figures were literally kept to the dying hours of the conference and was eventually rushed through to the disappointment of many.

Talks of loss and damage and other instruments of climate finance became largely muted. In their place emerged a contentious concept of New Collective Quantified Goals (NCQG) – a new mechanism requiring that everyone contributes to the finance pot in the same thought pattern that birthed the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC), the hallmark of voluntary emissions reduction according to convenience.

We recall that at COP15 in 2009 the pledge was to pay $10bn dollars yearly from 2010 to 2020 and raise that to $100bn from 2020. Those targets never materialized. The New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) was presented as a means of raising funds needed to support mitigation, adaptation, and loss and damage in developing and climate-vulnerable countries, found mostly in the Global South. The amount needed was put at a minimum of $1.3 trillion annually, although civil society analysts put the climate debt at $5-8 trillion annually.

COP 29 came up with a miserly $300 billion which would come into effect in 2035. The COP clearly ignored the call of vulnerable nations and global civil society and Indigenous peoples for rich and historically responsible nations to Pay Up and to do so in Trillions not Billions.

When the COP deferred the date for providing needed funds to 2035 there doesn’t appear to be any consideration of the scale of the climate disasters that the world may be facing then. It has also been estimated that the $300 billion would be worth just $175 billion by then using current inflationary trend.

Another concern is that even the promised $300 billion may come through so-called innovative financial sources that include loans and would increase the already huge debt burdens of the poor countries.

Climate finance can readily be raised by redirecting funds from military expenditure that saw rich nations spend up to $2.4 trillion in 2023. Halting fossil fuel subsidies and holding polluters accountable would raise more than $5 trillion annually. So, the problem is not a lack of cash, but a matter of priority.

FALSE SOLUTIONS

COP29 opened with the COP president gaveling through mechanisms to operationalize carbon markets and other market-based mechanisms under Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement. Parties formally adopted a decision text for Article 6, that formally set the stage for a global expansion of carbon markets, entrenching false solutions and deepening climate injustice.
Carbon markets provide a lifeline for polluters and fossil fuel companies who could now buy the license to continue polluting. It was a triumphant season for the over 1770 contingent of fossil fuel lobbyists, who ensured that attention drifted from ending the primary cause of climate change and elevated false solutions instead. This fossil delegation was larger than the combined delegations of the 10 most climate-vulnerable nations.

We are concerned that the new opening to carbon markets and mechanisms will divert funds to false solutions such as carbon capture and storage, geoengineering, carbon offsets, carbon credits, biodiversity credits, and other market-based schemes that perpetuate climate chaos, and violate the rights of Indigenous peoples.

CARBON COLONIALISM

Already the African continent is exposed to not just mere land grabs but a continent grab. Some countries have mortgaged their forests to carbon speculators with some ceding up to 10 and 20 percent of their total land mass. In Nigeria there is a rise of speculators grabbing hundreds of thousands of mangrove forests to enable the so-called investors trade in blue and other colors of carbon. States being enticed to fall into this web include Delta, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Cross River and Niger. A particularly worrisome note is the plan of Niger State to give 16% of its land mass to a Brazillian meat packaging company which will inevitably have dire socioeconomic-economic as well as climate consequences.

WAY FORWARD

  1. We call for community-led solutions to halt pollution at the source, ensure sovereignty of our peoples over their forests, water bodies and general territories.
  2. We demand the recognition by rich, polluting and industrialized nations, of a climate and ecological debt they owe and payment of same. This debt is estimated at an annual rate of $5-8 trillion and its payment will end the squabbles over climate finances whose targets are set but are never pursued or met.
  3. We call for an end to false solutions and demand the halting of emissions at source by urgently phasing out fossil fuels. Communities and nations that have kept fossil fuels in the ground should be recognized as climate champions and duly compensated for such actions. The people of Yasuni in Ecuador, Ogoni in Nigeria, Lofoten in Norway and others have shown the way.
  4. We demand an urgent clean up of areas polluted by fossil fuel exploitation and provision of clean renewable energy to energy poor communities.
  5. Nigeria and other African countries should place a ban on geoengineering experimentations, including solar radiation management, ocean fertilization, rock weathering and others.
  6. We denounce false solutions and market-based mechanisms that include carbon offset schemes, carbon removals and others.
  7. The energy and other transitions must promote human rights and be inclusive of gender responsive efforts with communities duly integrated in the decision making processes.
  8. Countries who do not support fossil fuels phase out should be barred from hosting the COP, and polluters should not be kept out of the COP.
  9. Real street marches and protests should not be hindered on the Global Days of Action during the COP as has been the case at recent conferences.
  10. COP30 should be a truly peoples’ COP where voices of youths, women, indigenous and impacted communities take centre stage.
  11. Loss and Damage should be fully addressed under the concept of Climate Debt.
  12. Massive Investment in Just Transition through a non-extractive model, prioritizing community-driven solutions such as agroecology that address the intersecting crises of climate and social inequity.
  13. We call for the recognition of the Rights of Nature in the negotiations, rejection of the commodification of nature and protection of our forests and biodiversity.
  14. We call for investment in peace building, not war and genocide.
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EU, Nigeria Expand Cooperation on Migration, Security with €112m Support

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EU, Nigeria Expand Cooperation on Migration, Security with €112m Support

By: Michael Mike

The European Union (EU) and Nigeria have reaffirmed their commitment to strengthening cooperation on migration management, security and regional stability, with the EU committing a combined €112 million to support migration-related and security initiatives in the country.

The commitment was highlighted during a visit by the European Commissioner for Internal Affairs and Migration, Mr Magnus Brunner, to Abuja on Tuesday, where he held high-level meetings with key Nigerian government officials.

Brunner met with the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ambassador Bianca Odumegwu-Ojukwu; Attorney-General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Mr Lateef Fagbemi (SAN); Minister of Interior, Hon. Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo; and Minister of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Reduction, Dr Bernard Doro.

The EU said €66 million had recently been allocated to fund new migration-related projects, while another €26 million would support security interventions, including efforts to curb the proliferation of small arms and drug trafficking.

It also disclosed that it had adopted its first bilateral assistance measure to Nigeria under the European Peace Facility, committing €20 million to support the country’s counterterrorism efforts.

The development comes against the backdrop of growing cooperation between Nigeria and European institutions on migration management, particularly following the signing of the EU-Nigeria Readmission Agreement.

According to the EU, the partnership has recorded improvements in recent years through collaboration between Nigerian authorities and European agencies, including Europol, Eurojust and Frontex.

Brunner said the growing relationship reflected the importance Europe attached to Nigeria as a strategic partner in Africa.

“Nigeria is a key partner for Europe, and our ties are steadily growing stronger. Together we are turning dialogue into action: more security, better migration management, joining forces to bring results.

“We are turning the huge potential of our partnership into mutual benefit,” he said.

The EU said the visit also provided an opportunity to review the broader relationship between both sides, advance cooperation on shared priorities and explore areas of engagement beyond migration and security.

It noted that Nigeria and the EU shared a commitment to multilateralism and a rules-based international order, adding that their partnership had continued to expand in scope.

The relationship has gained further momentum following the eighth EU-Nigeria Ministerial Meeting held in Abuja in March, with the participation of the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Kaja Kallas.

The EU also highlighted the role of Team Europe, comprising the EU and its member states, in implementing its Global Gateway investment strategy in Nigeria through projects spanning several sectors.

It said Nigeria’s strategic position in West Africa and its wider regional influence made it an important partner in advancing regional economic cooperation, security, migration management and trade.

The commissioner’s visit is expected to further consolidate the partnership and lay the groundwork for deepe

EU, Nigeria Expand Cooperation on Migration, Security with €112m Support

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DSS Intercept Weapons Shipment from Niger Republic, Recover 21 AK-47 Rifles, Four PKT Machine Guns in Sokoto

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DSS Intercept Weapons Shipment from Niger Republic, Recover 21 AK-47 Rifles, Four PKT Machine Guns in Sokoto

By: Zagazola Makama

The Department Of State Security Service (DSS) have intercepted a large consignment of weapons and ammunition allegedly being smuggled from the Niger Republic to armed bandits operating in north-western Nigeria.

The interception, which took place on Tuesday, November 10, at Dawakawa in Goronyo Local Government Area of Sokoto State, followed a security operation targeting suspected weapons trafficking networks across the Nigeria-Niger border.

Security sources said the suspected smugglers were allegedly attempting to transport the weapons into Nigeria using camels, apparently exploiting remote routes and difficult terrain to evade security surveillance.

The operation led to the recovery of 21 AK-47 rifles, four PKT machine guns and 825 magazines.

The interception represents a significant disruption of an alleged cross-border weapons supply network suspected of facilitating the operations of armed bandit groups in the North-West.

The use of camels to transport the weapons highlights the increasingly unconventional methods employed by criminal networks to move arms and ammunition across porous border corridors.

The development also underscores the importance of sustained intelligence surveillance coordinated border security operations in preventing the movement of illicit weapons from neighbouring countries into Nigeria.

The recovered weapons are expected to provide security agencies with valuable leads towards identifying the suppliers, transporters and intended recipients of the consignment.

Zagazola report that several border communities along the Nigeria–Niger Republic frontier have emerged as vulnerable corridors for cross-border arms trafficking, bandit movements and other criminal activities, raising concerns over the security of Nigeria’s North-West.

The affected areas include Illela, Sabon Birni, Isa, Gudu and Tangaza in Sokoto State; Jibia, Kaita, Mai’Adua and Kongolam in Katsina; Zurmi and Shinkafi in Zamfara; as well as Kamba and Arewa Dandi in Kebbi State.

Security concerns around these border regions are linked to porous boundaries, informal trading networks and difficult-to-monitor rural terrain, which criminal networks like Bandits, Lakurawa and Boko Haram exploit for illicit activities.

The development reinforces the need for enhanced border surveillance, intelligence-sharing and coordinated operations to dismantle cross-border weapons supply networks.

Security agencies must also target the financiers and suppliers behind the trafficking networks rather than focusing solely on couriers.

DSS Intercept Weapons Shipment from Niger Republic, Recover 21 AK-47 Rifles, Four PKT Machine Guns in Sokoto

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INEC Proposes Democratic Freedoms Compact to Safeguard 2027 Elections

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INEC Proposes Democratic Freedoms Compact to Safeguard 2027 Elections

…NHRC warns of political intimidation, arbitrary arrests, hate speech; EU pledges support for protection of civic space

By: Michael Mike

The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has proposed a Democratic Freedoms Compact to safeguard fundamental human rights, protect civic space and strengthen public confidence ahead of the 2027 general election.

The proposed compact is designed to guarantee freedom of expression, association and political participation, promote inclusiveness, ensure electoral transparency and accountability, and prevent violence, intimidation and other human rights violations throughout the electoral process.

INEC Chairman, Prof. Joash Amupitan, SAN, unveiled the proposal in a keynote address delivered on his behalf by Dr Hassan Umar at the 2026 Civil Society and Human Rights Defenders Forum on the State of Human Rights in Abuja on Wednesday.

The forum, organised by the National Human Rights Commission (NHRC) in collaboration with the European Union (EU), was themed, “Protecting Human Rights in Civic and Political Spaces in the 2027 Elections.”

Amupitan said the credibility of the 2027 elections would be determined not only by the conduct of voting and collation of results but also by the extent to which Nigerians could freely express their opinions, associate, campaign and participate in the political process without fear, discrimination or violence.

He warned that regular elections alone could not sustain democracy if citizens were denied the freedom to express dissenting views, organise, criticise government policies and hold public institutions accountable.

To address these concerns, the INEC chairman said the proposed compact would establish a framework for institutional conduct built around six critical commitments: protection of fundamental freedoms, inclusive participation, transparent elections, accountability for human rights violations, peaceful political competition and constructive engagement among stakeholders.

He called for stronger collaboration among INEC, the NHRC, security agencies, civil society organisations and the media to monitor, document and respond to violations before, during and after the elections.

Amupitan reaffirmed the commission’s commitment to conducting credible elections, ensuring equal treatment of political parties and candidates, strengthening transparency and promoting inclusive participation.

On the contentious issue of electronic transmission of election results, he maintained that the Electoral Act 2026 provided for electronic transmission, while INEC had developed guidelines to address possible technical and communication challenges.

He urged political parties, civil society organisations and other stakeholders to familiarise themselves with the commission’s guidelines and regulations to avoid misinterpretation of the procedures governing result transmission.

The INEC chairman also placed responsibility on security agencies to protect voters, candidates, election officials, observers and journalists, insisting that security personnel must operate professionally and impartially.

He said their presence at polling units and other electoral locations should reassure citizens and create a safe environment for participation rather than generate fear or intimidation.

Earlier, Executive Secretary of the NHRC, Chief Anthony Ojukwu, warned that Nigeria’s democratic space was facing mounting challenges that required urgent intervention as the country approached the 2027 general election.

Ojukwu identified political intimidation, arbitrary arrests, harassment of journalists and human rights defenders, hate speech, restrictions on civic participation and the exclusion of vulnerable groups as threats capable of undermining the credibility of the electoral process.

He said the commission convened the forum at a defining moment in Nigeria’s democratic journey, with the presidential and National Assembly elections scheduled for January 16, 2027, and governorship and State Houses of Assembly elections to follow on February 6.

According to him, the timing was particularly significant because political campaigns were already gathering momentum across the country, making the protection of civic and political freedoms increasingly urgent.

He stressed that democracy was not sustained by elections alone but by the freedom citizens enjoyed between elections to speak without fear, assemble peacefully, associate without obstruction and choose their leaders without intimidation.

Citing Sections 14, 39 and 40 of the 1999 Constitution, as amended, Ojukwu said sovereignty belonged to the Nigerian people, while constitutional guarantees protected freedom of expression, association and peaceful assembly.

He also referenced the African Charter on Human and Peoples’ Rights, which guarantees citizens the right to participate freely in the governance of their country.

The NHRC boss expressed concern that civil society organisations, journalists and human rights defenders continued to operate in an increasingly difficult environment characterised by harassment, arbitrary arrests and the potential misuse of laws, including provisions of the Cybercrimes Act.

He further raised concerns over political and voter intimidation, exclusionary nomination fees that could prevent women, young people and persons with disabilities from contesting elections, hate speech, incitement and the apparent absence of accountability for electoral offences.

Ojukwu warned that failure to prosecute electoral offenders could encourage impunity and embolden perpetrators to undermine the electoral process.

He disclosed that the commission had established a comprehensive human rights monitoring architecture to track political developments and election-related violations as campaigns intensified.

The mechanisms include a Human Rights Situation Dashboard, a human rights advisory and an Election Situation Room designed to monitor intimidation, suppression of political participation, harassment of journalists and other oversight actors, as well as violations of fundamental freedoms.

He said the commission was finalising an advisory on protecting political space and the right to participation in Nigeria, describing it as a flagship contribution to strengthening human rights protection during the forthcoming elections.

The advisory follows earlier interventions by the commission, including its February 2025 advisory on the protection of freedom of expression, which raised concerns about the interpretation and possible misuse of the Cybercrimes Act.

Ojukwu also disclosed that the commission was documenting violations, preparing cases for investigation and engaging INEC, security agencies, the National Peace Committee and other relevant institutions to strengthen accountability.

He said the NHRC’s Election Situation Room would remain operational throughout the electoral period, while election-focused dashboards and bulletins would be published regularly to provide information on human rights developments.

The commission, he added, would deploy monitors to identified hotspots and establish legal aid partnerships to respond to violations during and after the elections.

He announced that the forum would be transformed into a structured platform for sustained engagement between the commission and civil society organisations, with quarterly meetings, early-warning information sharing and rapid-response mechanisms.

According to him, the arrangement would facilitate coordination between the NHRC’s Situation Room and the Civil Society Election Situation Room, strengthen protection for individuals targeted for exercising their rights and ensure that stakeholders are held accountable for their commitments.

He said the forum would also adopt an outcome statement containing recommendations and a roadmap to guide its activities before, during and after the 2027 elections.

Ojukwu urged civil society organisations and human rights defenders to take ownership of the proposed framework, stressing that they were not spectators in the electoral process but essential partners in defending democracy.

He also acknowledged legislative efforts to strengthen the commission’s mandate and improve the legal protection of human rights defenders, expressing optimism that the reforms would create a more enabling environment for their work.

The NHRC executive secretary maintained that election-related violations must attract consequences, warning that the absence of accountability would weaken public confidence and encourage further abuses.

He said: “When elections go without violence, it is because of the work done long before polling day. Work that is sometimes invisible to the public.”

He added that the protection of democracy required collective responsibility and sustained commitment from government institutions, political parties, security agencies, civil society and international partners.

Also speaking, the EU Ambassador and Head of Delegation to Nigeria and ECOWAS, Gautier Mignot, reaffirmed the European Union’s commitment to supporting Nigeria’s democratic institutions and protecting civic and political freedoms ahead of the 2027 general election.

Mignot described the forum’s theme as timely, particularly against the backdrop of reports of election-related violence, hate speech, political intimidation and restrictions on citizens’ fundamental rights.

He warned that such incidents could erode public trust in state institutions and discourage citizens from participating in the electoral process.

The ambassador said free civic and political spaces, including independent media, peaceful assemblies, public forums and civil society organisations, were essential to ensuring credible, transparent and inclusive elections.

According to him, these spaces enable citizens to access information, debate public issues, scrutinise candidates and hold elected leaders and public institutions accountable without fear of censorship or retaliation.

He added that an open civic environment also allowed civil society organisations and active citizens to monitor election administration, track campaign promises and challenge government interference in the democratic process.

Mignot said weakening these safeguards could undermine citizens’ right to meaningful political participation and create opportunities for the suppression of opposition voices and manipulation of democratic rules.

He therefore urged all Nigerian stakeholders, including government institutions, political parties, civil society organisations and the media, to play their respective roles in ensuring a free, fair and credible electoral process.

The EU ambassador disclosed that the partnership with the NHRC had continued since 2024, when the first joint engagement provided a platform for human rights defenders to assess the state of human rights in Nigeria and develop collective responses to challenges confronting them.

He said the second engagement, held as part of activities marking the NHRC’s 30th anniversary, focused on reviewing the country’s human rights record over three decades and identifying emerging challenges requiring sustained intervention.

Mignot described the current forum as a continuation of the strategic partnership, adding that the EU was also preparing a new project with additional funding to deepen its collaboration with the commission.

He pledged that the EU delegation would carefully examine the recommendations and roadmap emerging from the forum and share them with its authorities and member states for further consideration.

He assured Nigeria that the EU and its member states would remain reliable partners in supporting democracy, good governance and the protection of human rights during what he described as a crucial period for the country’s democratic development.

In a goodwill message delivered on behalf of the Chairman of the Inter-Party Advisory Council (IPAC), Alhaji Yusuf Dantale, Prince Chinedu Obi urged political parties and their supporters to embrace issue-based campaigns, political tolerance and responsible communication.

IPAC cautioned against electoral violence, hate speech, voter suppression and political intimidation, stressing that political opponents must be regarded as competitors rather than enemies.

The council also advocated greater inclusion of women, young people and persons with disabilities in the electoral process, while urging security agencies and other relevant institutions to discharge their responsibilities with professionalism and impartiality.

Dantale said public confidence in the electoral system would ultimately depend on whether institutions could guarantee that votes counted and that Nigerians were able to exercise their democratic rights freely.

The forum brought together representatives of government institutions, diplomatic missions, political parties, civil society organisations, the media and human rights groups to assess the state of human rights in Nigeria and develop practical strategies for protecting civic and political freedoms ahead of the 2027 general election.

INEC Proposes Democratic Freedoms Compact to Safeguard 2027 Elections

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