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Dangote refinery: when it rains it pours.

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Dangote refinery: when it rains it pours.

By Tahir Ibrahim Tahir Talban Bauchi.

When it rains it pours is the best phrase to describe what is happening to the Dangote refinery, as it grapples with one challenge after the other, especially as it prepares for the take-off of the PMS component of its refining processes.

Dangote refinery is the largest investment by a Nigerian in Nigeria in perhaps our entire history.
The investment is valued at $20 billion.

The land purchase alone cost $100 million, with another $420 million spent on revamping and reconstruction of the swamp to make it viable for the construction of the refinery. That is close to a trillion naira in land preparation and pre-construction expenditure.

A port had to be built to accommodate the size of the refinery’s equipment and parts, including building a power plant with the capacity of supplying 1500 MW of electricity. Also, a highway had to be constructed for the delivery of equipments from the port to the refinery, along with the development of 125 kms of pipeline for the delivery of crude oil to the refinery.

The conceptualisation of the project was done over 15 years ago, with its construction taking atleast 7 to 8 years. Industry experts worldwide had warned Alh. Aliko Dangote that it was a crazy project, he admits. He did see the crazy it was when he started, as the challenges ballooned in number and size. Indeed he was ‘crazier’ enough to accomplish its development.

The real crazy now are the impediments and bottlenecks he is facing, as he battles to actualize the aspiration of solving Nigeria’s perennial problem of importing petroleum products, as an oil producing country.

At first it was the International Oil Companies, IOCs, refusing to sell crude to the Dangote refinery, or selling at about $6 more than global prices.

The NUPRC, Nigeria Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission had to wade in to secure oil supply for the refinery. Then oil dealers were at it, charging as high as $4 as agency fees, again, against global practices.
The government had to step up against the IOCs and it seemed that it was a resolved issue. Then came a fire incident in the refinery which has caused atleast a month’s delay in the production of PMS, known as petrol, which is what the Nigerian populace is earnestly yearning for, from the refinery.

The entry of Dangote refinery into the diesel market has caused for a reduction of diesel prices by about 60%. This has definitely upset the diesel importation industry and has bloated the number of individuals and cabals coming against the Dangote refinery. Despite all these challenges, the refinery seemed to be on course to deliver petrol to the Nigerian market. But the ‘crazy’ in the industry has probably just set in again, and said, not so fast Dangote!

Very scathing remarks, uncharacteristic of an umpire, were made by the CEO of the Nigeria Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Agency, NMDPRA, Engr. Farouk Ahmed, which cast aspersions on the standards, productivity and even the viability of the Dangote refinery.
He castigated the Sulphur content of the diesel from Dangote refinery, putting it at between 650-1200 ppm.

A visit by the Speaker of the House of Representatives on a fact finding mission confirmed that it was at 87.6 ppm. Dangote clarified that they were on their way to declaring a content of 10 ppm. Further testing from other filling stations proved that Dangote refinery’s diesel was far more superior in sulphur content.

There’s also the other parameter of the flashpoint, with Dangote’s diesel recording 90° celsius, compared to other marketers whose product recorded between 40° to 70° celsius. The recommended standard is 66° celsius, further proving that Dangote’s diesel was the best in the market. The Dangote lab for the testing was accredited by the same NMDPRA in March, 2024. NMDPRA knows that as a new refinery, the earliest stages of production would definitely have a high sulphur content compared to subsequent or continued production.

The CEO of NMDPRA also said that the refinery was at 45% completion. As a regulator, he is well aware of the stages involved in the completion of the refinery, where all the products it is designed to produce, can be actually processed and produced by the refinery. For now, two major products are set to be available to the Nigerian market, with one already in use. It is supposed to be in stages. So what was the statement meant to achieve? He also called the refinery a monopoly, while infact, several other modular refineries have been licensed, with quite a number in production.

He lamented that Dangote wanted fuel imports stopped. But isn’t that the desire of every Nigerian? Well of course minus those that make a kill, importing petroleum products, killing our local refineries. NNPC Ltd. says atleast one of their refineries would be producing petroleum products by September this year. In a market where there are multiple producers, how does Dangote refinery amount to a monopoly?

He also complained that Dangote’s refinery is a threat to the energy security of the country. Under the importation regime, we have suffered 3 fuel scarcities in the last 6 months alone. So where is the security in importation? Are we not better off with a steady supply from Dangote? Afterall the refinery is building a storage capacity to have almost a billion litres of petrol in storage.

The CEO’s remarks are in bad light and look like an attempt to demarket the Dangote refinery. Unfortunately it has backfired and has pitched the Nigerian people to stand solidly behind Dangote. It is rare for the people to rally behind a super rich man like Aliko, but what the refinery stands for, is much larger than Aliko Dangote. It stands for the industrialisation of Africa. It stands to change our fortunes, in terms of the hardship and exploitation that we have suffered, over a product in our backyard, that has refused to be available in our front yard. Those comments paint the CEO of NMDPRA as one against the success story of the refinery, and the solutions it stands to bring to one of our biggest problems. The gains are too numerous to mention. From fx gains, to employment, to ending scarcities and black marketing.. there are far too many merits to this project, than the cries of monopoly and what have you. We’d rather be monopolised by our own citizen, than continue to be the dumping ground of oil dealers around the world, that have made our country their cash cow, milking us as they please.

It looks like Dangote’s fuel will be cheaper, just like his diesel, and some dealers don’t want that to happen. With those statements by the umpire, investors are being pushed away.

Steel investments by the Dangote group have now been abandoned due to those unsavory statements. What does it tell other investors around the world about us?

Tahir is Talban Bauchi.

Dangote refinery: when it rains it pours.

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VP Kashim Shettima: Fate, Faith, and Lessons (1) 

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VP Kashim Shettima

VP Kashim Shettima: Fate, Faith, and Lessons (1) 

By: Dr. James Bwala

Vice President Kashim Shettima’s political trajectory is emblematic of the intricate interplay between fate, faith, and the lessons derived from Nigeria’s fraught political landscape. His ascent to the vice presidency amid a controversial Muslim-Muslim ticket underscores the delicate balance he must maintain in a deeply religious and ethnically diverse nation. This position has thrust him into debates about inclusivity and representation, compelling him to advocate for equitable power-sharing despite prevailing sectarian tensions.

Shettima’s public endorsement of a Southern Christian Senate President, even at the expense of perceived meritocracy, reflects his commitment to national unity over narrow religious or regional interests. Such gestures reveal an understanding that faith should foster cohesion rather than division—a lesson critical in Nigeria’s volatile sociopolitical climate. However, this idealism exists against a backdrop where governance often appears disengaged from citizens’ urgent needs. This disconnect between leadership and citizenry challenges Shettima to bridge the gap, urging him to align his actions with the foundational values of empathy and accountability that can steer Nigeria towards a more inclusive future.

Ultimately, Shettima’s experience illustrates how personal conviction and political pragmatism coalesce within leadership roles constrained by structural violence and historical grievances. His journey teaches that navigating Nigeria’s complexities demands not only strategic acumen but also an unwavering faith in dialogue and inclusivity as tools for lasting peace. In this context, Shettima’s leadership journey serves as a testament to the necessity of balancing personal beliefs with the broader imperative of fostering national unity. His efforts underscore a critical lesson: that sustainable governance in Nigeria hinges on leaders who prioritize collective well-being over entrenched divisions. His leadership demonstrates the critical importance of empathy and a genuine commitment to national progress in overcoming deep-seated challenges that threaten Nigeria’s stability. 

His ability to navigate these challenges with a focus on dialogue and inclusivity not only affirms his commitment to national progress but also exemplifies the potential for leadership that transcends personal and political divides. His leadership approach, characterized by a deliberate effort to embrace diversity and promote equitable representation, reflects an understanding that Nigeria’s future hinges on the strength of its unity. His vision for a unified Nigeria, though ambitious, is a necessary pursuit in a nation where historical divisions have too often been exploited for political gain. 

Shettima’s advocacy for equitable political representation, as evidenced by his controversial yet principled stance on promoting a Southern Christian Senate President to ensure balance and inclusivity, further illustrates his dedication to transcending religious and regional divides. This commitment to bridging divides is a testament to his belief in a Nigeria where leadership is defined by the ability to rise above entrenched sectarian loyalties and foster an environment of mutual respect and cooperation. Shettima’s approach is not merely theoretical; it is grounded in a pragmatic understanding of Nigeria’s complex political landscape and the pressing need for leaders who can navigate these intricacies with both wisdom and courage. 

The Vice President remained committed by prioritizing national unity and inclusivity, even when faced with potential backlash from entrenched interests. By demonstrating a willingness to engage with diverse communities and advocate for equitable representation, Shettima exemplifies how faith can be harnessed as a unifying force rather than a divisive tool. By prioritizing a leadership style that embraces diversity, Shettima challenges the status quo and inspires hope for a political culture that values cooperation over conflict. 

This vision aligns with the notion that true leadership requires courage to enact meaningful change and a dedication to principles that transcend immediate political expediency. By fostering an inclusive political environment, Shettima not only highlights the potential for faith to act as a bridge across divides but also demonstrates an understanding that true progress in Nigeria hinges on leaders who are willing to prioritize long-term national stability over short-term political gains, a sentiment echoed by those who champion the need for leaders who embody both integrity and a vision for inclusive governance. 

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/national-orthopaedic-hospital-jalingo-gets-chief-medical-director/

Shettima’s approach to governance, marked by a deliberate effort to balance religious and regional representation, serves as a testament to his belief in the power of inclusive politics to foster national cohesion. By navigating the complex interplay of religion and politics with a focus on fairness and representation, Shettima underscores the potential for faith to facilitate dialogue and mutual respect among Nigeria’s diverse populace. Shettima’s efforts to promote inclusivity and balance in political appointments, as evidenced by his advocacy for a Southern Christian Senate President despite potential controversy, reflect his commitment to fostering national unity and countering religious bias. Shettima’s vision for governance, therefore, emphasizes the importance of transcending religious and regional biases to create a political landscape where diverse voices contribute to national development. 

His advocacy for equitable representation is a pragmatic approach to addressing the historical imbalances that have often fueled distrust and division among Nigeria’s ethnic and religious groups. His leadership philosophy, thus, not only challenges the status quo but also aims to redefine the political narrative by fostering an environment where every Nigerian feels represented and valued. Shettima’s leadership, therefore, becomes a beacon of hope in a political landscape often marred by division and distrust. 

In this context, Shettima’s leadership is not only a reflection of his personal beliefs but also a strategic response to the broader challenges of religious bigotry and political imbalance in Nigeria. His approach, as observed in his recent initiatives, is a testament to his belief that sustainable progress can only be achieved through genuine collaboration and understanding among Nigeria’s multifaceted communities. Shettima’s endeavors, as highlighted by his leadership style, underscore a profound understanding that true progress in Nigeria is contingent upon dismantling the barriers of division and fostering a culture of cooperation and mutual respect among its citizens. His advocacy of balanced initiatives has sparked significant discussion, illustrating his willingness to prioritize national unity over parochial interests.

Shettima’s efforts to promote inclusivity and balance in political representation highlight his commitment to addressing the deep-seated issues of religious and ethnic division, demonstrating a leadership style that prioritizes unity over divisiveness. Shettima’s vision for a more cohesive Nigeria is not without its challenges, yet it reflects a strategic foresight that prioritizes long-term stability over short-term gains. His dedication to fostering a more inclusive political landscape is further reinforced by his efforts to engage with leaders across different regions and religious affiliations, promoting dialogue as a means to bridge the gaps that have long hindered national cohesion. 

His actions resonate with a broader vision for a united Nigeria, where diversity is celebrated as a strength rather than perceived as an obstacle to progress. His approach, rooted in both fate and faith, suggests that leadership can transcend entrenched divisions by embracing a broader vision of national identity that is inclusive and equitable for all citizens. 

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

VP Kashim Shettima: Fate, Faith, and Lessons (1) 

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2027: SDP, El-Rufai, and the refuge of lies

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2027: SDP, El-Rufai, and the refuge of lies

2027: SDP, El-Rufai, and the refuge of lies

By Dr. James Bwala

Governor Uba Sani of Kaduna state and the former senator representing Kaduna Central, Senator Shehu Sani, have severally revealed in their various commentaries and interviews with journalists the kind of person the former governor of Kaduna state, Malam Nasir El-Rufai, is and what he represents within and outside the political circles. Many who had also come across such pieces of writing or articles written about the former Kaduna state governor, Malam Nasir El-Rufai, have either aired their sentiments or held their reservations about the person of El-Rufai. Those of us who were born and brought up in Kaduna State can agree or disagree with Governor Uba Sani and Senator Shehu Sani on their conclusion of the person of El-Rufai. But certainly, one thing we may all agree on is better put in the words of Nigeria’s former head of state and president, Olusegun Obasanjo, when he described the Man-El-Rufai in his book, “My Watch,” Vol. 2, pages 110-112.  “El-Rufai has a penchant for lying, disloyalty..’.

The political landscape of Nigeria in 2027 presents a complex narrative of opportunism and strategic repositioning, epitomized by Nasir el-Rufai’s calculated maneuvers within the Social Democratic Party (SDP). El-Rufai’s persistent party-hopping demonstrates the pragmatic nature of Nigerian political elites, who prioritize personal interests over substantive national transformation. This phenomenon reveals a systemic problem where political leaders view party affiliations as tactical instruments rather than platforms for genuine societal progress. The strategically orchestrated political realignments, particularly el-Rufai’s mobilization of opposition leaders under the SDP banner, underscore a deeper malaise in Nigerian democratic practice. His attempts to reconstruct political narratives reflect a calculated approach to maintaining relevance in an increasingly volatile political environment. The persistent manipulation of electoral dynamics suggests a continued reliance on rhetorical strategies designed to obscure fundamental governance challenges.

In 2027, the political landscape in Nigeria continues to be shaped by complex dynamics involving several players, notably the Social Democratic Party (SDP) and prominent figures like Nasir El-Rufai.  This piece explores the intersection of political strategies, governance, and the pervasive influence of misinformation, encapsulated in the idea of a “refuge of lies.” The SDP has historically positioned itself as a party dedicated to social justice, democracy, and economic advancement. However, as 2027 unfolds, it faces significant challenges that threaten its credibility and electoral viability. One critical issue is the party’s struggle to maintain a clear and honest narrative amid a climate of misinformation. 

In recent years, the proliferation of social media has allowed for rapid dissemination of both information and falsehoods, leading to confusion among voters. The SDP must navigate this reality by championing transparency and engaging with citizens on the ground to rebuild trust. Nasir El-Rufai, the former governor of Kaduna State, also plays a pivotal role in this narrative. Known for his controversial approaches to governance, El-Rufai’s political maneuvers often stir debate. His strategies, ranging from economic reforms to security initiatives, highlight the necessity of truthful discourse in politics.

In a political climate where misinformation can skew public perception, El-Rufai’s successes and failures must be viewed through a lens of honesty. The SDP could benefit by aligning its objectives with truthfulness, demonstrating how effective governance relies on accurate and factual communication. The “refuge of lies” refers to the tendency of some political actors to resort to deceitful tactics to gain an advantage. This can involve making exaggerated claims about achievements or downplaying failures to manipulate public opinion. This practice erodes the foundation of democracy, as voters are left with distorted views of their leaders and their policies. 

Throughout 2027, as both the SDP and El-Rufai navigate their agendas, it is crucial to foster an environment where integrity prevails over deception. Voter education campaigns that promote critical thinking and fact-checking can combat the effects of misinformation. Indeed, the interplay between the SDP, Nasir El-Rufai, and the concept of the “refuge of lies” presents a critical moment for Nigeria’s political future. It emphasizes the importance of truthfulness in governance and the need for political accountability. As the country approaches the next electoral cycle, the challenges posed by misinformation demand urgent action. A commitment to transparency and integrity from both the SDP and political leaders like El-Rufai can foster a healthier democratic process, ultimately benefiting the electorate and the nation as a whole.

Ultimately, the 2027 political landscape for the SDP and its co-travellers under the umbrella called “A Coalition” represents a refuge of lies, where political survival trumps meaningful democratic engagement. El-Rufai’s maneuvers exemplify a broader pattern of political opportunism that undermines the potential for substantive national renewal. As Nigerian voters navigate these complex political terrains, the imperative for critical engagement and systemic accountability becomes increasingly paramount. Voters are left to discern between the rhetoric of change and the reality of recycled political tactics. The electorate’s skepticism is further fueled by a political climate where promises of reform are frequently overshadowed by entrenched interests and the perpetuation of power dynamics that favor the political elite over ordinary citizens. The entrenched cycle of political defections and alliances, as evidenced by El-Rufai’s maneuvers, highlights a stark reality where the pursuit of power supersedes the commitment to national development. 

This pattern of political maneuvering not only perpetuates a cycle of disillusionment among the electorate but also poses significant challenges to fostering a stable and transparent democratic process. The electorate’s growing disillusionment is exacerbated by political figures like El-Rufai, whose repeated party affiliations underscore a tactical play for power rather than a commitment to transformative leadership. The electorate’s skepticism is further fueled by a political climate where promises of reform are frequently overshadowed by entrenched interests and the perpetuation of power dynamics that favor the political elite over ordinary citizens. Such political maneuvering not only undermines the electorate’s trust but also perpetuates a cycle where substantial policy reform remains elusive. The strategic alignment of political figures with parties like the SDP, as advocated by El-Rufai, underscores a pervasive trend where political survival is prioritized over authentic governance reforms. Such a focus on political expediency rather than genuine reform efforts raises critical questions about the future of democracy in Nigeria and whether the electorate will continue to tolerate this cyclical betrayal.

The electorate’s growing disillusionment with these political machinations may eventually catalyze a demand for transparency and accountability, challenging leaders like El-Rufai to move beyond rhetoric and deliver tangible reforms. Given the electorate’s increasing frustration, it becomes imperative for political leaders to demonstrate a commitment to substantive policy changes rather than mere political posturing. The electorate’s demand for accountability is not only a call for action but also a test of the political will to transcend entrenched interests and foster genuine progress. The Social Democratic Party (SDP) must navigate these turbulent waters carefully, as its credibility hinges on distancing itself from the pervasive culture of political expediency that has long plagued the nation’s governance. 
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/southeast-crises-ipob-peddling-falsehood-disinformation-to-remain-relevant-army/

As the 2027 elections approach, the SDP’s challenge lies in convincing an increasingly skeptical public that it can break away from the entrenched practices of its predecessors and offer a viable alternative to the status quo. The party’s ability to present a cohesive and transparent platform will be crucial in dispelling the pervasive cynicism that has long characterized Nigerian politics. The party’s leadership must recognize that empty promises and shifting allegiances, as exemplified by political figures like El-Rufai, are no longer sufficient to secure the trust of a populace weary of recycled rhetoric and superficial alliances. The electorate’s skepticism is further fueled by figures like El-Rufai, whose frequent party shifts are seen as emblematic of political opportunism rather than a genuine commitment to reform. 

The challenge for the SDP will be to distinguish itself from figures like El-Rufai, whose political maneuvers have often been perceived as prioritizing self-interest over meaningful reform. To truly resonate with the electorate, the SDP must present a clear and consistent vision that starkly contrasts with the opportunistic tendencies of career politicians like El-Rufai. The SDP must focus on articulating policies that address the systemic issues of governance, resource mismanagement, and public disenchantment, rather than succumbing to the allure of temporary palliatives that have historically characterized political campaigns. The SDP’s commitment to integrity and reform will be tested as it navigates the complex landscape of Nigerian politics, where promises are often made with little intention of being fulfilled. The SDP must also remain vigilant against the allure of figures whose past actions, such as those of El-Rufai, have often contributed to the perpetuation of a political culture rooted in cynicism and self-preservation.  The SDP’s ability to build trust will hinge on its willingness to break away from the shadow of political figures like El-Rufai, whose influence often symbolizes a return to the entrenched power dynamics that many voters are eager to dismantle.

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

2027: SDP, El-Rufai, and the refuge of lies

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NNPCL Appointments: Ahmadu Musa Kida, Sahara Reporters, and Journalism Without Ethics

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Ahmadu Musa Kiɗa

NNPCL Appointments: Ahmadu Musa Kida, Sahara Reporters, and Journalism Without Ethics

By: Dr. James Bwala

The discourse surrounding Ahmadu Musa Kida and Sahara Reporters raises critical questions about the ethical standards in contemporary journalism. Kida, as a prominent figure in Nigerian sports administration, has become embroiled in controversies that reflect broader issues within the media landscape. Sahara Reporters, known for its investigative journalism, often blurs the lines between reporting and sensationalism, which can undermine public trust. This critique explores how such practices may detract from the credibility of journalism as a whole.

One significant concern is the potential for misinformation when journalistic integrity is compromised. The sensationalist approach taken by some media outlets can lead to distorted representations of events or individuals, particularly in politically charged environments. This tendency not only affects the subjects of news stories but also shapes public perception and discourse. In this context, Kida’s experiences serve as a case study of how personal narratives are manipulated for broader agendas.

Moreover, ethical journalism necessitates accountability and transparency—principles that seem increasingly neglected by platforms like Sahara Reporters. The lack of rigorous fact-checking and adherence to ethical standards can result in harmful repercussions for individuals involved. As such, it is imperative for journalists to uphold their responsibilities not only to inform but also to respect the dignity of all parties involved in their stories.

The assertion by Saharareporters that Ahmadu Musa Kida will compromise Nigerian interests is a glaring example of unethical journalism. This claim not only lacks substantiation but also undermines the principles of responsible reporting. Ethical journalism, as outlined in various studies, emphasizes the necessity for accuracy and fairness. By making sweeping accusations without credible evidence, Saharareporters fails to uphold these standards and instead engages in sensationalism that could potentially harm Kida’s reputation and the broader Nigerian context.

Moreover, the ethical dilemmas faced by journalists in Nigeria are well documented, underscoring the challenges of maintaining integrity within a politically charged environment. The media’s role should be to inform rather than to defame; therefore, such reckless claims reflect a significant deviation from journalistic ethics. The consequences of this behavior can be profound, contributing to public distrust in media institutions and exacerbating existing societal tensions. 

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/tinubushettima-the-epidemic-of-economic-insecurity-in-nigeria/

Ultimately, it is imperative for media outlets like Sahara Reporters to adhere strictly to ethical guidelines. Responsible journalism requires rigorous fact-checking and an understanding of the complexities surrounding individuals like Ahmadu Musa Kida. Failing to do so not only tarnishes their credibility but also poses risks to national cohesion and integrity (Hile, 2024). Thus, it is essential for journalists in Nigeria to navigate their responsibilities with care and accountability.

The report by Sahara Reporters is indeed very sad for every practicing journalist who understands “MORALITY” in framing issues to influence public perception. It is only in Nigeria that one can go into media and start writing unsubstantiated news about the person they virtually know nothing about. 

Journalism, like any profession, is guided by ethics, which enjoin journalists to undertake investigations before writing about any personality. That was not the case when Sahara Reporters came up with their reportage about the appointment of Ahmadu Musa Kida as non-executive chairman of NNPC Limited. 

I need not say much about the person of Ahmadu Musa Kida here, but many Nigerians who came across him will agree that this personality without mincing words is the best thing that happened to the Tinubu administration in terms of appointments. His records at Total Oil speak volumes and are available for serious journalism research. His accelerated growth and rise to deputy managing director. A growth not due to Godfatherism but due to the highest degree of professionalism, owing to his result orientation and the value addition he put to bear in his capacity as their managing director, is straight for any debate. 

This is a hard-earned achievement, not through bootlicking or lobbying. He retired after thirty-five (35) years of meritorious service, but the organization had to retain him as a non-executive director. All these achievements were due to his hard work, dedication, honesty, and selfless service. 

To Nigeria Basketball, one need not be told of his landmark achievements from nowhere in the map of basketball. The Nigerian team (both men and women) started to exhibit brilliant performance. Nigeria became the first country to beat the USA on their home turf, which is highly unprecedented. At the Australia Olympics, America narrowly escaped humiliation on a global stage by Nigeria; this result was the encouragement, funding, and dedication of Ahmadu Musa Kida and his team. He remains a very good team player, an expert in the oil and gas sector, and beyond that, a truly outstanding nationalist who will not compromise the national interest of his country at the expense of anybody. I have known Ahmadu Musa Kida for several years, and I can attest to his patriotism, honesty, and dedication to duty in terms of taking all responsibility with the seriousness it deserves.

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja. 

NNPCL Appointments: Ahmadu Musa Kida, Sahara Reporters, and Journalism Without Ethics

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