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War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
By Zagazola Makama
Carefully observing the geopolitical map of AFRICA, WAGNER Operation and disassociation from WEST hegemony straddles a straight line from coasts of SENEGAL to SUDAN where a geo-strategic interest lies.
It appears the diversion is in AFRICA, which has become the proxy area for the UKRAINE – RUSSIA war.
In retrospect, the campaign against WESTERN hegemony, especially FRANCE, had eaten deep into AFRICA and has potentially no reverse, as calls rose for, first, AFRICAN leadership to own their countries’ wealth and, second, a united AFRICA.
Equally, WAGNER, an extension of RUSSIAN military diplomacy, spearheaded a Psychological Operations measure to divert attention of NATO and other WESTERN powers’ attention as EUROPE continues to become tense over the UKRAINE – RUSSIA conflict.
For now, WESTERN dominance is on the verge of pulling more resources to maintain relations with AFRICA.
Whatever the consequences, a RUSSIA-led support virus had already been inoculated into the streams of support by part of AFRICA to take sides.
This, therefore, forms the context in which the buildup of tension between the NIGERIA-led ECOWAS and NIGER REPUBLIC over the recent coup overthrowing the Mohammed Bazoum-led democratically elected government of the West African francophone nation should be viewed.
The Bola Ahmed Tinubu-led government of Nigeria seems hell-bent on leading the combined ECOWAS military to storm Niamey, root out the coupists, free Bazoum from their captivity and reinstate him president of NIGER.
There are numerous salient facts with regard to NIGERIA-NIGER Republic relations that deserve crucial consideration before the ECOWAS forces pounce on NIGER.
This consideration is imperative for NIGERIA to avoid being deceived into a proxy war that will, in the long run, cause its drastic and cataclysmic fall from the enviable heights of West African Giant and, possibly, African leadership.
The most-startling of these facts.
Seven states in NIGERIA, stretching from the North-West to the North-East geopolitical zones border NIGER. The peoples of these states savor centuries-old sociocultural affinity and amity with the peoples of the southern flank of NIGER, contributing substantially to the economies of the countries for ages.
These close ties are about to be crushed by the ECOWAS forces.
Intelligence suggests despite sanctions by ECOWAS, BENIN Republic has opened up borders to NIGER, implying its disagreement with the gang up measure against its neighbor. Suspicion places NIGERIA in tight corners as pro-WEST to act spontaneously against its neighbor.
This is possibly as part of WAGNER psychological Operation to seek further movement of the PMC personnel into NIAMEY in part and WEST AFRICA as a whole.
NIGERIA-NIGER relations have always been excellent up until now. For instance, NIGER is always actively in support of NIGERIA during Counter insurgency Operations of the Multinational Joint Task Force and provides ISR as well as Air Interdiction during most missions.
Military operations, economic transfer and numerous other friendly relations exist between both nations.
The coup may have changed the politics but has not disemboweled the close ties or similarities in cultural and social identity between NIGERIA and her neighbors.
It is assumed the target to frustrate NIGERIA’s key role economically, politically and militarily after solely containing more than a decade old insurgency is likely.
Hence, NIGERIA should continue a broader defense diplomacy with its neighbors to maintain a steady course in foreign policy.
The strong ties NIGERIA with its neighbors should be used to overcome plans to utilize AFRICA as grounds for proxy war between the WESTERN and EASTERN powers.
There is a need for NIGERIA to showcase the big-brother position in aligning with AFRICA’s unity and suggest to her neighbors that despite all shortcomings, measures other than coup may not be a solution.
There is a need to call on the leadership of MALI, BURKINA FASO, GUINEA and others to realize support for one another as well as to devise means of solving the major issues of developing strategies against terrorism and western hegemony.
It will, therefore, be unfortunate to deploy force to NIGER.
Information suggests GHANA, TOGO, GAMBIA and LIBERIA have said they will not deploy troops to NIGER. More so, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Guinea, three West African nations, have backed the coup leaders in Niger, a move that poses a threat to regional stability. this is a trap for NIGERIA.
NIGERIA, for her own good, must not fall into this trap. It could be disastrous for, first, its status in the West African region and, indeed, the entire African continent; and, second, its existence as one enviably politically, diplomatically and economically powerful entity in global affairs.
The possible abstention of some of the West African nations from the impending war is not because ECOWAS does not have the capability to deploy a force to NIGER, but because other members will not commit as much resources as expected.
Moreover, ECOWAS will have to explain why it didn’t deploy similar forces to BURKINA FASO, MALI and GUINEA where their military also toppled democratic governments.
Generally, it will be a big strategic miscalculation for NIGERIA to commit to such externalities, with the several internal challenges facing the country.
A diplomatic solution to NIGER’s problem will be the best at this moment. NIGERIA has nothing to prove to the world except its proficiency in diplomatic relations and standing tall in might as a big brother. NIGERIA’s military diplomacy should play a key role in turning key issues.
NIGERIA faces devastating consequences should the war be carried out against NIGER.
Nigeria is strategically positioned into a geographical zone that it can never Win a War on the NIGER REPUBLIC even if the Military Junta is chased out of Niamey.
The following are definite to be the price of the aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC by ECOWAS by the West African allied forces:
First: Losing President Bazoum. For sure, the first consequences of the War on NIGER is that NIGERIA will only have the corpse of MOHAMMED BAZOUM whom PRESIDENT TINUBU led ECOWAS is so anxious to reinstate immediately Niamey is captured.
Is Nigeria or any fighter for the restoration of democracy ready for that to happen?
Second: More enmity will emanate against Nigeria within the West African region. The country will have more regional enemies than friends because all the Countries bordering NIGER REPUBLIC will not condone the aggression even if they restrain from attacking Nigeria in defense of their ally in the protection of their sovereignty.
Third: Diplomatic relations among West African nations could worsen, leading to the possible collapse of ECOWAS. This situation would be catastrophic to the economy of the region as free movement of its citizens becomes a big regional threat. Already Niger Republic is hosting over 300,000 Nigerian Refugees in Diffa, Bosso and Tumour. These IDPs are already facing stigmatization and humiliation from their host and soon they may be asked to leave.
Four: There could be a proliferation of unprecedentedly frightening forms of terrorism as a result of the presence of huge amounts of Bõko Harām Insurgents across the borders of the two countries that stretched into Mali, Burkina Faso up to the Sene-Gambian Region. Fledgeling or the collapse of ECOWAS would facilitate the infiltration of terrorist groups into the countries much easier than what happened to ISIS’s cross border operations in Syria, Iraq, Turkey and parts of Egypt’s Sinai mountainous region.
In this scenario, more massive funding will be made towards sponsoring “Terrorists Groups”, thus creating more others by International Agencies who have been enemies to “Global Peace” to control sensitively viable areas of economic importance for eventually ceaseless attacks such as the ongoing “Armed Banditry and Kidnappings” that are rampant in the Region.
Five: Inflation and economic recession is definitely going to hit Nigeria immediately the war starts, causing millions of people across the region to lose their jobs, causing high cost of living for the ordinary citizens of both countries.
Six: Famine and rampant deaths would be inevitable as a result of the hampering of all agricultural activities, with the war intensifying where massive hectares of land shall remain without being harvested for more than 75 percent of the region in the same technical manner Bõko Harām disrupts farming for than a decade throughout most parts of the North-East.
Seven: Massive migration across West Africa, and, possibly, between West Africa and other contiguous regions of the African continent would take place as refugees from both sides keep flooding the Sub-saharan region.
With Nigeria presently finding it difficult to manage the growing humanitarian crisis with millions of its Internally Displaced Persons (IDPS) due to terrorism and banditry, another unsustainable chaotic conditions will be artificially created for it to handle.
For sure, when the drums of War are beaten and the planned aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC commences, NORTHERN NIGERIA’s (Arēwa) Region, from Gamboru to Kamba, From ILLELA/JIBIYA/MAI-ADUWA/MAIGATARI to OTURKPO would be submerged in total full scale insecurity.
This could threaten the existence of NORTHERN NIGERIA. Once NORTHERN NIGERIA is gone, the official Federation of what is known as Nigeria would be “Badly Bargained”, forever.
Nigeria should look before it leaps.
To be forewarned is to be forearmed!
Zagazola is a Counter-Insurgency expert and security analyst in the Lake Chad region.
War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
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Gates Foundation Promises Continued Committed to Revitalization of Public Healthcare In Nigeria
Gates Foundation Promises Continued Committed to Revitalization of Public Healthcare In Nigeria
By: Michael Mike
The Gates Foundation has expressed its full commitment to the development of Primary Healthcare Centres (PHC) in the country.
The commitment was expressed by The Deputy Director, Health Systems Strengthening at Gates Foundation Nigeria,
Dr. Nkata Chuku, during the PHC Leadership Challenge in Abuja, put together by the Nigeria Governors Forum (NGF), Gates Foundation and other development partners.
Chuku said the Foundation remains fully aligned with the government of Nigeria’s determination to revitalize primary health care.

The National Primary Health Care Development Agency (NPHCDA) and development partners, including UNICEF and the World Health Organisation (WHO) supported the event.
He also noted that the 2025 performance landscape emerging from national surveys, high-frequency monitoring, and administrative data shows both progress and gaps in the country’s health systems.
According to him, routine immunization continues its upward trajectory, with national percentage coverage now in the high-60s, and several states crossing 75%, compared to the low-60s in 2022.

He said between July 2024 and October 2025, more than 500,000 previously zero-dose children were reached with vaccines through house-to-house outreach and targeted immunization activities.
Chuku said this represents about 24% of the estimated 2.1 million zero-dose children nationwide, reflecting significant progress through integrated campaigns including the October 2025 polio–routine immunization drive.
According to him, there is a notable decline in cVPV2 cases, dropping from triple-digit cases in 2022–2023 to fewer than 50 confirmed cases in the last 12 months and a significant closure of immunity gaps in historically weak LGAs.
About the PHC Challenge, Chuku said: “The PHC Challenge Fund is designed to accelerate precisely this type of progress. The Gates Foundation has invested $27 million, with 70% dedicated to performance awards over the past four years to fund this initiative as proof of concept.
“The current award structure of one national winner and additional awards for the best and second runners up states across all six geopolitical zones is intentional. It reflects your stated preference for peer accountability and healthy competition, recognizing that states within the same zone often face similar health-system realities.
“Over the past three years: UNICEF, NPHCDA, and the NGF Secretariat have worked closely with Commissioners, SPHCDA Executive Secretaries, and Governors to continuously refine and track a lean but powerful set of indicators to measure the health of the PHC system across the 36+1 states.

He said: “These indicators focus on areas where state leadership is decisive: political leadership, community empowerment, financial resource allocation, quality of care, monitoring and evaluation, sustainable PHC financing. These system inputs are critical for driving impact across routine immunization, MNCH, malaria, and nutrition.”
He also said the ongoing PHC revitalization agenda has renewed political commitment at state level, adding that more states now have dedicated PHC budget lines and are expanding health insurance enrolment while the integrated polio–RI campaign offers a unified delivery platform to rapidly close immunity gaps.
According to him, development partners have signalled interest in expanding the pool of incentives for high-performing states.
The minister of health, Muhammad Ali Pate, during the occasion lauded Gates Foundation for their investment in PHC revitalisation in the country.
He said government have been intervening to lower the cost of drugs, cost of medical treatment, child health insurance and would still increase the budget for health.
Pate said: “ If we are going to see good health, it is an investment. We cannot expect good health at a very low price. Someone has invested, and here, who is going to be in charge is going to have to invest in health. And investing in health has several multilayers. First, it is a good investment not only for the present and also for the future of the country.
“So, we need to not only invest in health but also see the health system and the environment as a whole. So, government has been intervening to lower the cost of drugs, cost of medical treatment, child health insurance, but it is not going to be able to succeed just like that already.”
During the award ceremony, Yobe State emerged the overall winner of the PHC Leadership Challenge, outperforming other states in an independently verified assessment and wining the total sum of $1.2m.
The assessment measures governance, financing, service delivery and accountability within PHC systems.
The annual challenge, which rewards measurable improvements in state-level PHC performance, aims to strengthen accountability, peer learning and sustained political commitment to PHC reforms across Nigeria
Gates Foundation Promises Continued Committed to Revitalization of Public Healthcare In Nigeria
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Foundation donates food to 500 women in Abuja
Foundation donates food to 500 women in Abuja
By: Michael Mike
Walkiya Humanitarian Foundation has stepped in to provide relief for vulnerable residents of the Federal Capital Territory, distributing food items to 500 women in the Jikwoyi area of Karu, Abuja.
The outreach, which took place on Saturday, formed part of the foundation’s annual humanitarian intervention aimed at cushioning the effects of rising food costs and helping households struggling to meet basic nutritional needs.
Addressing beneficiaries at the event, the Executive Director of the foundation, Dr. Dominic Egwuda, explained that the initiative was designed to reach individuals facing immediate food insecurity, particularly women who often shoulder the responsibility of feeding their families.

He explained that the food distribution exercise is part of the corporate social responsibility of the Walkiya Group of Companies, implemented through the Walkiya Humanitarian Foundation to support vulnerable citizens amid economic hardship.
He said: “This is a part of our social corporate responsibility of Walkiya Group of Company, which we operate under the umbrella of Walkiya Humanitarian Foundation.”
Egwuda stressed that beneficiaries were carefully selected across religious, ethnic and social lines, with the sole criterion being the inability to afford basic meals, in order to ensure inclusiveness and fairness.
“We needed people who cannot afford their next meal,people we have carefully selected from all cross of lives, Christian, Muslim, different tribes.”
He noted that women were prioritised because they bear the greatest burden of hunger within families, adding that empowering women directly has a wider societal impact.
“A woman is the one that bears the brunt of hunger in the family. And in doing this, if you empower a woman, you empower a nation.”
Egwuda further explained that the programme follows a transparent card-based selection process, excludes staff and their relatives, and is fully funded by the Walkiya Group of Companies, without government sponsorship.
“I don’t think any of our staff have anybody here because we stopped them ,we are not in partnership with any government. It is a welfare group of company that sponsored this program.”
He called on government to prioritise the welfare of the less privileged and to create an enabling framework that encourages more corporate organisations to invest in social responsibility initiatives.
“The government should look into the less privileged, create an enabling environment for people to do more social corporate responsibility.”
Egwuda disclosed that the food distribution exercise, which took about six months of planning and expanded from an initial target of 200 beneficiaries to 500, was valued at approximately four to five million naira.
“Estimatingly, we spent about four to five million naira to make sure that this thing goes round.”
Some of the beneficiaries described the gesture as timely and impactful. Janet Kalu said the food items would provide much-needed support for her household, especially during the festive period.
“This support came at the right time for my family, especially now that prices of food items are very high. The food we received will really help us during this festive period,” she said.
Another beneficiary, Amaka Emmanuel, expressed appreciation to the foundation, noting that the assistance would reduce the burden of providing daily meals for her family.
“I am very grateful to the foundation for this kind gesture. The food items will go a long way in supporting my family and easing our daily struggles,” she said.
She also offered prayers for the donors, asking for divine reward and replenishment of their resources.
“May God Almighty bless the people who made this possible and replenish whatever they have spent. I pray that God will reward them abundantly,” she added.
The foundation, in a message to stakeholders, called on government and the private sector to strengthen collaboration in addressing hunger and social welfare challenges.
“With stronger partnerships between government and corporate organisations, we can reach more vulnerable people and significantly reduce hunger and hardship in our communities,” the foundation stated.
Foundation donates food to 500 women in Abuja
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VP SHETTIMA AT EXECUTIVE COURSE 47 GRADUATION: President Tinubu Poised To Remodel NIPSS Into Digitally Driven, Global Centre Of Excellence
VP SHETTIMA AT EXECUTIVE COURSE 47 GRADUATION: President Tinubu Poised To Remodel NIPSS Into Digitally Driven, Global Centre Of Excellence
- Says institute’s research outputs will be fully integrated into national decision making, execution frameworks
By: Our Reporter
The Vice President, Senator Kashim Shettima, has reaffirmed the resolve of the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to remodel the National Institute for Policy and Strategic Studies (NIPSS) into a globally recognised centre of excellence that is digitally driven and financially stable by 2030.
According to him, apart from serving as the most strategic platform for developing thinkers, reformers, and innovators in Nigeria, the institute’s Senior Executive Course represents a deliberate investment in the nation’s future leadership as well as a meeting point for ideas that define policy, guide reform, and influence the course of national development.
Senator Shettima stated this on Saturday when he represented President Tinubu at the Graduation Ceremony of Senior Executive Course 47 of NIPSS in Kuru, Plateau State.

“His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, has been unequivocal in his commitment to supporting NIPSS in its transformation agenda, particularly its ambition to become a digitally driven, financially stable, and globally recognised centre of excellence by 2030.
“We recognise the Institute’s critical role in shaping national policy and in building the leadership capacity required to navigate an increasingly complex world,” he declared.
The Vice President noted that the support the Tinubu administration is giving to transform the institute exceeds funding, infrastructure and conducive research environment.
He said, “Our support must therefore go beyond funding, infrastructure, and a conducive research environment. It must ensure that NIPSS produces implementation ready policy papers and that its outputs are fully integrated into national decision making and execution frameworks.”

VP Shettima applauded the theme of the Senior Executive Course 47, “Blue Economy and Sustainable Development in Nigeria,” saying it is a reflection of the urgency with remarkable clarity, and “captures the reality that development, security, environmental stewardship, and social inclusion are inseparable.”
He however observed that the strength of the academic work does not depend only on its academic depth, “but in its insistence that policy must be practical, implementable, and firmly grounded in Nigeria’s realities.”
Commending the graduands, the VP said “We are grateful for your sustained and rigorous enquiries into the affairs of the maritime domain, enquiries that continue to provide the nation with insights it depends upon.
“Your latest research makes it clear that securing Nigeria’s waterways, coastlines, and inland communities goes far beyond safety alone. It speaks to livelihoods, food security, environmental protection, and national cohesion. When young people have productive work, when communities trust the state, and when institutions coordinate effectively, insecurity loses its oxygen.”
Assuring that the Tinubu administration takes evidence based policymaking very seriously, the Vice President said he had already directed relevant ministries, departments, and agencies to give the report and recommendations of the graduands the close attention they deserve, both for immediate application and for long term strategic planning.”
He thanked the Director General, Prof. Ayo Omotayo, the management and staff of NIPSS, for what he described as their dedication, professionalism, and unflicnhing commitment, which he said has continued “to uphold NIPSS as the nation’s foremost centre for strategic thought and leadership development.”

The VP also hailed Plateau State Governor Caleb Mutfwang and people of the state for continuing to support NIPSS by sustaining the peaceful environment that has enabled the “Institute to function as a true national asset.”
Earlier, Governor Mutfwang applauded the Federal Government’s support to the institute, particularly in facilitating the hitch-free completion of its academic programmes as well as the execution of its other strategic projects and mandate.
Underscoring the importance of academic programmes at the institution, Governor Mutfwang noted that Nigeria stands to benefit immensely from the research output of the institution, particularly in broadening governance perspective and making valuable recommendations in addressing security across the country.
On his part, Chairman of the NIPSS Board, Senator Ken Nnamani, said the pathways to addressing some of the nation’s challenges can be found in the research reports of research institutions across the country, urging authorities at the national and subnational levels to adopt products of the institute.
While charging members of the SEC 47 to be worthy ambassadors of the institution, Senator Nnamani expressed confidence in the commitment of the Tinubu administration to continue to support research endeavours at NIPSS, and implement key research findings of academic institutions across the country, including NIPSS.
In his welcome address, the Director General of NIPSS, Prof. Omotayo, said the Vice President’s presence at the SEC 47 graduation ceremony underscores the Federal Government’s recognition of the institute as the premier research institute for the advancement of Nigeria’s policy and governance framework.
Reeling out some of the institute’s achievements anchored on its 5-year strategic plan, Prof. Omotayo said NIPSS has completed key institutional research endeavours in collaboration with international partners in key areas, including crisis anticipation and adaptive governance.
The DG said with the achievements, NIPSS has established itself as the premier institute for policy research aimed at rebuilding public trust and addressing emerging societal challenges.
In a goodwill message, the President of the NIPSS Alumni (AANI), Amb. Emmanuel Okafor, thanked the Vice President for his relentless support to the institute and acknowledged all of the transformative projects executed under the present management of the institute.
On his part, the Monitor-General of the Course 47, Col. Muhktar Sani Daroda, said the rigour and intensity of the programme has shaped and prepared the course participants for tasks across different sectors, even as he pledged their rededicated commitment and service to the nation.
Highpoint of the occasion was the formal presentation of certificates to the graduands by the Vice President and their induction into the Alumni Association of the National Institute (AANI).
Earlier on arrival at the institute, the Vice President inaugurated 4 units of 2-bedroom apartment built and donated to the institute by the SEC 47 participants.
Meanwhile, Senator Shettima has held an interaction with strawberry farmers in Plateau State, in furtherance to efforts by the Federal Government to support the production of fruits in the state.
He said the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu remains committed to transforming all segments of Nigeria’s agricultural value chain.
VP SHETTIMA AT EXECUTIVE COURSE 47 GRADUATION: President Tinubu Poised To Remodel NIPSS Into Digitally Driven, Global Centre Of Excellence
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