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2027: The Coalition, the resistance North, and the APC’s Path to Victory

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2027: The Coalition, the resistance North, and the APC's Path to Victory

2027: The Coalition, the resistance North, and the APC’s Path to Victory

By: Dr. James Bwala

The political landscape in Nigeria ahead of the 2027 elections suggests an imminent collapse of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party (LP), while the Social Democratic Party (SDP) may emerge as the primary opposition, but it will ultimately lose to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) by a wider margin. The PDP’s internal divisions and resistance to coalition-building, particularly its governors’ rejection of alliances with LP and SDP, significantly weaken its viability as a competitive force. This fragmentation undermines any effective challenge against APC’s entrenched dominance.

Despite attempts by figures like former Vice President Atiku Abubakar to unite opposition forces, the lack of cohesion within PDP and between opposition parties inhibits a strong front against APC. Analysts emphasize that without strategic coalitions, no single party can match APC’s electoral machinery or political influence. Even if SDP consolidates opposition votes, its structural weaknesses and limited reach foreshadow a defeat by an even larger margin than previous contests.

Indeed, with growing complexities accompanying the political landscape, Nigeria’s multiparty system faces realignment where PDP and LP risk extinction due to disunity, while SDP’s isolated struggle against APC is unlikely to alter electoral outcomes significantly. The evidence underscores that only a united opposition coalition could potentially reduce APC’s dominance; however, current dynamics indicate this remains improbable before 2027. 

As the political landscape continues to evolve, the potential for a unified opposition remains hindered by entrenched party loyalties and strategic misalignments, further solidifying APC’s path to a more decisive victory. The entrenched influence of APC’s political machinery and its strategic alliances, such as the strengthening of the Tinubu-Shettima partnership, further complicate any opposition efforts to mount a significant challenge in 2027. 

Many political pundits have agreed that the All Progressives Congress (APC) is strategically positioned to dismantle opposition forces ahead of the 2027 Nigerian elections by capitalizing on the fragmented nature of its adversaries. The opposition currently consists of disparate groups: former presidential contenders who reject APC’s governance, disaffected ex-APC members seeking influence, and erstwhile party leaders now opposing the APC. This lack of cohesion undermines any effective coalition-building efforts, a critical weakness given Nigeria’s history, where opposition alliances frequently collapse due to internal strife and competing ambitions.

For now, the APC is leveraging its narrative of competent governance, contrasting with the perceived failures of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), which it accuses of prolonged misrule and internal discord. By emphasizing PDP’s factionalism and incompetence, APC consolidates public trust while portraying itself as Nigeria’s stable alternative. This discourse not only weakens PDP’s credibility but also sows doubt about any potential opposition coalition.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/police-charge-rooms-a-minting-press/

In essence, through exploiting opposition fragmentation and promoting its governance record against a divided PDP, loosely LP, and undecided SDP, the APC is poised to reduce opposition to rubble in 2027. The inability of opposition factions to unify effectively ensures that APC’s dominance remains largely unchallenged in forthcoming electoral contests. 

Angry leaders from the north are falling over themselves to raise regional political forces. But this too is no match for the readiness expected of the region. Despite the North’s considerable demographic and electoral influence, many Northerners feel marginalized due to perceived neglect in appointments and resource distribution, fueling a sense of betrayal. This dissatisfaction is compounded by internal divisions rooted in insecurity, poverty, and inter-communal conflicts that undermine the North’s collective political strength. As a result, these fractures could weaken the region’s capacity to negotiate effectively within national politics or present a unified opposition to Tinubu and Kashim Shettima, the APC’s dominance.

Demands from key sub-regions such as North-Central illustrate emerging fissures within Northern political interests. Stakeholders from this area insist on the presidency for 2027 and have conditioned their support for Tinubu’s reelection on replacing his vice president with a candidate from their region. Such demands underscore the potential for intensified competition among Northern factions rather than solidarity. This internal contestation risks diluting the North’s overall influence if not carefully managed. To this effect, unless Northern leaders address these internal challenges and reconcile divergent regional aspirations, political disunity may jeopardize their strategic position in 2027. 

The combination of grassroots grievances and elite rivalries is indeed opening ways for APC to exploit these divisions through tactical maneuvering, thereby diminishing Northern Nigeria’s historical leverage in Nigerian politics. It is imperative that cohesive strategies are developed to unify Northern voices if they are to maintain relevance in forthcoming elections.

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

2027: The Coalition, the resistance North, and the APC’s Path to Victory

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APC chieftain urges Gombe youths to register, collect PVCs

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APC chieftain urges Gombe youths to register, collect PVCs

Dr Jamilu Gwamna, an All Progressives Congress (APC) chieftain in Gombe State has urged youths and women in Gombe State to register and collect their Permanent Voter’s Card in the ongoing Continuous Voter Registration.

Gwamna made the call in Gombe on Thursday shortly after revalidating his membership card in his Jekadafari ward in Gombe metropolis.

He said that youths across the state must take advantage of the INEC’s Continuous Voter Registration exercise by coming out to register and obtain their Permanent Voter Cards as part of their civic responsibility as good citizens.

He stated that their ability to exercise their voting right in a democratic setting rests solely on the acquisition of the PVCs.

“I want to use this opportunity to call on all the youths, women and every stakeholder in Gombe State to get their voter’s cards.
“This voters card is your pass to vote governors and other elective officials.
“ You use it to select people that will govern you. It is very important and I encourage them to get their voters cards. And for the APC members, they should come out for the party registration,” he said.

Gwamna further praised President Bola Tinubu’s leadership and that of Gov. Inuwa Yahaya of Gombe State, stating that their leadership had strengthened the party’s support base.

He said that both Tinubu and Yahaya have performed to the admiration of opposition leaders in the country and Gombe State.

He said that their leadership styles have provided members of the APC with the courage to drive the party’s “Renewed Hope Agenda”.

According to him, the good governance being delivered by both leaders have helped in solidifying the APC support base in the state while strengthening party unity.

“To the good leadership of our president and that of Gov Yahaya, we can see what they are doing.

“This has given us hope and courage to continue supporting his endeavours for the state.

“This is the reason, many persons are joining us and we are giving ourselves, we have devoted our energy to ensure the success of this exercise (e-registration, ” he said.

Gwamna said with the introduction of innovations such as the digital membership registration/revalidation system, the strength of the party would be accurately determined while enhancing grassroots mobilisation.

“I am here principally to encourage all members of APC to come out en-masse to re-register and validate their membership.

“The new style of membership is very good not only for the party but for the security of the country as it has features that capture individuals and their details, ” he said.

He commended the leadership of APC for the new innovation.

APC chieftain urges Gombe youths to register, collect PVCs

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END NEEDLESS SPECULATIONS ON APC 2027 PRESIDENTIAL RUNNING MATE

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PRESS STATEMENT

END NEEDLESS SPECULATIONS ON APC 2027 PRESIDENTIAL RUNNING MATE

Our attention has been drawn to growing media frenzy about possible replacement of Vice President Kashim Shettima as the running mate to President Bola Tinubu under the platform of our great Party ahead of the 2027 General Elections.

While these stories have been mostly subtle, they recently assumed a new dimension when names of specific individuals were touted as possible replacement for Vice President Shettima.

Our Party states in categorical terms that the stories are purely speculative, untrue and utterly baseless.

We urge media organizations to refrain from lending their platforms to rumour-peddlers and mischievous “news sources” of questionable provenance whose only intention is to promote discord and confusion in the polity.

Under our laws and electoral regulations, the ban on political activities remains in force. At this time, our Party remains focused on supporting President Tinubu and Vice President Shettima in delivering the administration’s Renewed Hope Agenda and entrenching its bold reforms that are now steadily transforming the economy, building prosperity, and uplifting the living conditions of our people.

We call on our ministers, senior government and Party officials to avoid, wittingly or unwittingly, stoking needless speculations, and to focus on their primary duty of diligent service to government and our Party, and bolster the success and achievements of President Tinubu, our inimitable and visionary leader.

Signed:

Felix Morka, CON
National Publicity Secretary
All Progressives Congress (APC)

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Nobody is replacing Vice President Kashim Shettima. Tinubu affirms he remains the best and envisions a strategic partnership for Nigeria’s future.

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VP KASHIM SHETTIMA

Nobody is replacing Vice President Kashim Shettima. Tinubu affirms he remains the best and envisions a strategic partnership for Nigeria’s future.

By: Dr. James Bwala

In the complex arena of Nigerian politics, the partnership between President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima stands as a formidable alliance, one that promises to steer the nation through its myriad challenges. This the president himself has said times and again. As the duo embarks on the journey of actualizing the Renewed Hope Agenda, it becomes increasingly clear that Vice President Shettima is not just a figurehead but rather an indispensable partner in this endeavor. President Tinubu’s assertion that “Vice President Kashim Shettima remains the best partner” sends a strong message for the bench debate that nobody is replacing Vice President Kashim Shettima. This is not merely an affirmation of loyalty but a testament to the strategic importance Shettima holds in the administration. The reasons for underpinning this partnership also highlight Shettima’s pivotal role during the 2023 election campaign, his unique qualifications, and the significant contributions he will continue to make towards Nigeria’s aspirations for renewed hope.

At the core of their partnership lies a history of shared vision and purpose. Vice President Kashim Shettima played a vital role in President Tinubu’s electoral success during the 2023 presidential elections. In a fiercely competitive landscape, marked by intense campaigns and public scrutiny, Shettima emerged as a key strategist—an indispensable battle axe in Tinubu’s political arsenal. His background as the former governor of Borno State provided him with invaluable experience in governance and crisis management, essential qualities that resonate deeply with the current socio-political climate of Nigeria. By choosing Shettima as his running mate, Tinubu not only secured a political ally but also brought on board a leader who understands the pressing issues facing Nigeria, particularly in security and humanitarian matters.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/vp-kashim-shettima-tinubu-apc-leaders-must-reject-divisive-tactics-ahead-of-2027/

The question of leadership in Nigeria cannot be divorced from the country’s ongoing security challenges. The insurgency in the Northeast, where Shettima served as governor during the peak of Boko Haram’s activities, has transformed him into a figure of resilience and determination. His tenure was marked by commendable efforts to tackle insecurity and rehabilitate communities torn apart by conflict. Shettima’s firsthand experience with these issues equips him with insights that are crucial for shaping Nigeria’s security policies as part of the Renewed Hope Agenda.

Kashim Shettima’s commitment to educational reform and economic revitalization further enhances his value within the administration. His initiatives have always transcended mere governance; they reflect a deep-seated belief in the power of education as a catalyst for social change. As vice president, Shettima undoubtedly advocated for policies that prioritize educational access while simultaneously addressing the economic disparities that many Nigerians face. His understanding of local sentiments and development challenges has enabled him to effectively contribute to broader national policies that aim to uplift communities across the country.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/vp-kashim-shettima-tinubu-apc-leaders-must-reject-divisive-tactics-ahead-of-2027/

As “Jagoran” of Arewa today, his strategic role in governance, Vice President Shettima’s presence serves to unify diverse segments of Nigeria’s populace. His roots in the North and his reputation for inclusiveness speak volumes about his capacity to bridge regional divides. This ability to engage with various stakeholders is crucial as Nigeria seeks to foster national cohesion amid its diversity. With Shettima, Tinubu has fortified his administration with a leader who can appeal to different ethnicities and religious affiliations, thereby enhancing the government’s legitimacy and acceptance across the country.

Amidst speculations regarding potential shifts in the political landscape as the next election approaches, it remains critical to emphasize that vice presidents often play transformative roles in governance—roles that extend beyond the confines of traditional expectations. Shettima’s abilities and experiences position him perfectly to transcend the limitations often imposed on the vice presidency. His proactive approach in the administration signifies a departure from the norm and sets a precedent for future leaders in similar positions. By affirming that Shettima will not be replaced, President Tinubu reinforces the notion that effective governance requires collaborative efforts anchored in trust and mutual respect.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/vp-kashim-shettima-tinubu-apc-leaders-must-reject-divisive-tactics-ahead-of-2027/

It is also important to consider the implications of political continuity and stability in Nigeria’s ever-evolving political framework. The 2027 elections will present new challenges and opportunities for the Tinubu-Shettima administration. Shettima’s role as a steadfast partner ensures that the initiatives under the Renewed Hope Agenda are not simply transient political promises but rather enduring commitments to the Nigerian people. His familiarity with the administration’s objectives will facilitate seamless transitions in policy implementation, continuity in governance, and sustained momentum toward achieving the overarching goals of national development.

In advocating for Shettima’s continued partnership, one cannot overlook the significance of loyalty and reliability in political alliances. The foundation of any successful administration lies in the trust placed in its leadership team. Shettima has proven to be not just a reliable partner but also a courageous leader who navigated turbulent political waters alongside Tinubu. Their shared experiences in the run-up to the 2023 elections foster a sense of camaraderie and mutual support that will undoubtedly serve them well in the years to come.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/vp-kashim-shettima-tinubu-apc-leaders-must-reject-divisive-tactics-ahead-of-2027/

Critics may argue that the political environment warrants periodic changes in leadership to inject fresh ideas. While innovation is essential for progress, it is equally critical to recognize that substantial transformation requires consistency in vision and execution. Shettima embodies both qualities, rendering him an irreplaceable figure as Nigeria journeys towards revitalization. His adept understanding of the challenges at hand, coupled with a commitment to innovative solutions, positions him as an indispensable asset within the Tinubu administration.

The global context surrounding Nigeria adds an additional layer of complexity to domestic governance. With international markets fluctuating and geopolitical tensions rising, having a seasoned leader like Shettima by Tinubu’s side is invaluable. His experience in navigating international partnerships and fostering economic collaborations will be instrumental in positioning Nigeria favorably on the world stage. As the duo embraces the challenges of the future, their combined strengths will offer Nigeria the resilience needed to thrive amidst uncertainty.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/vp-kashim-shettima-tinubu-apc-leaders-must-reject-divisive-tactics-ahead-of-2027/

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s declaration that “Shettima is the best” is a reminder that nobody is replacing Vice President Kashim Shettima. This reflects a commitment to stability, unity, and progressive governance in Nigeria. Kashim Shettima is not just a political ally; he is a key player in realizing the aspirations encapsulated in the Renewed Hope Agenda. From his strategic contributions during the 2023 elections to his expertise in governance and crisis management, Shettima’s role is essential, especially as Nigeria prepares for the challenges ahead come 2027.

This partnership, forged in the crucible of electoral battles and mutual respect, promises to guide Nigeria towards a more prosperous future. As we stand at the crossroads of opportunity and challenge, the continuation of this alliance is not merely advantageous—it is fundamental to Nigeria’s quest for renewal and transformation. Vice President Kashim Shettima stands strong, tall, and like the iroko tree. Unshakable!! 

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

Nobody is replacing Vice President Kashim Shettima. Tinubu affirms he remains the best and envisions a strategic partnership for Nigeria’s future.

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