Politics
2027: There Is a Shift in Northern Support Towards Tinubu and Shettima
2027: There Is a Shift in Northern Support Towards Tinubu and Shettima
By: Dr. James Bwala
Recently, the evolving political dynamics in Northern Nigeria ahead of the 2027 presidential election reveal a significant shift in support towards President Bola Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima. This change challenges earlier apprehensions surrounding the Muslim-Muslim ticket, which faced considerable criticism in 2023 for potentially alienating key Christian constituencies within the North-Central and Middle Belt regions. Contrary to these concerns, influential political groups such as the North-Central APC Forum have expressed robust backing for the Tinubu-Shettima ticket, citing sustained regional support driven by strategic appointments of prominent Christian leaders and tangible governance achievements.
I recalled sitting in the congregation on a Sunday morning earlier this year and listening to the preacher. His words struck me with the assurance of faith in the APC administration. It solidifies my continuous advocacy that Nigeria is on the path of the renewed hope promised by the Tinubu and Shettima administration. The charges on the direction this administration is taking and what they were able to achieve further strengthen my appeal for confidence that, like never before in the history of this great country, we have found leaders who are truly committed to bringing back our long-lost hope by the renewal initiative the Tinubu and Kashim Shettima leadership is taking to every doorstepacross Nigeria. A hope—long lost in leadership—is found here with Tinubu and Shettima.
He spoke also on the lingering political questions between the president and his vice, describing the permutations around the rift within the first and second families and predictions by certain classes and groups as evil seeds, which can never come to pass. This has come true with the message of goodwill from President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to Vice President Kashim Shettima during the celebration of his 59th birthday. Indeed, the silence that greeted those hoping to see Kashim Shettima replaced confirms the preacher’s testament. The retention of Shettima as running mate is seen not only as a continuation of a winning formula but also as a critical factor in consolidating northern votes estimated to reach up to 90% in certain areas. Indeed, the endorsements from coalitions like the Northern Progressives Coalition underscore an emerging consensus that transcends previous religious and ethnic fault lines, suggesting a recalibration of political allegiances based on performance and perceived stability.
This transition is primarily influenced by several factors, including the performance of previous leaders, regional interests, and the appeal of Tinubu and Shettima as candidates. The North has historically been a vital political bloc in Nigeria. Its immense population translates to significant voting power. Despite the appeal by the coalition leaders, the dissatisfaction of northern voters with candidates like Atiku Abubakar, Nasir el-Rufai, and Peter Obi has been growing. Atiku, a veteran politician, has repeatedly contested for the presidency without achieving success. Many in the North may feel fatigued by his long political career and perceive a lack of fresh ideas or strategies to solve pressing issues.
On the other hand, El-Rufai, despite his role as the Governor of Kaduna State, is often criticized for his handling of security challenges in the region. The North has faced a surge in violence, kidnappings, and terrorism over the years, and some citizens believe el-Rufai’s policies were inadequate. Consequently, confidence in him has diminished as voters seek more reliable leadership in times of crisis.For Mr. Peter Obi, a former governor of Anambra State, he gained popularity due to his focus on education and economic reforms. However, his appeal may not resonate as strongly in the North, where issues such as security and religious sentiments are of greater concern. As people evaluate their choices, they may prioritize candidates who can address these critical issues effectively.
Whether the opposition agrees or not, those who have been following development in Nigeria know that President Bola Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima present a promising alternative for Northern voters. Both have established political careers. Tinubu, a former governor of Lagos State, is known for his influential political machinery and his ability to build alliances across parties. Shettima, his running mate, has been involved in addressing the Boko Haram insurgency during his tenure as governor of Borno State. Their combined experience appeals to voters who are weary of ineffective leadership and are looking for pragmatic solutions to Nigeria’s challenges.
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The regional loyalty also plays a crucial role in the upcoming elections. The North may feel inclined to support candidates who are capable of uniting Nigeria. Tinubu and Shettima’s collaborative approach could foster a sense of national cohesion, further solidifying their candidacy in the hearts of Northern voters. As the political landscape evolves in preparation for the 2027 elections, Tinubu and Shettima’s experience, strategies, and ability to address pressing concerns, as shown by their leadership styles, position them as formidable candidates, likely to gain substantial support from the North in the upcoming elections.
While the political trajectory of Nigeria’s presidency under Bola Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima suggests a continued consolidation of power leading into the 2027 election. Observers and party insiders alike have expressed confidence that the duo will secure victory with a significantly wider margin than in the 2023 polls. This assertion is grounded in several factors, including Tinubu’s strategic governance approach, Shettima’s regional appeal, and their combined ability to maintain a broad coalition across Nigeria’s diverse electorate.
Despite initial controversies surrounding the Muslim-Muslim ticket, which some analysts feared could alienate key voter blocs, the administration has demonstrated inclusiveness and political dexterity that mitigate such concerns. The careful selection of Shettima as vice president was not only a move to balance regional interests but also to strengthen party unity and electoral prospects. Indeed, internal party structures such as those advocated by influential groups like the North-Central APC Forum highlight strong grassroots support for retaining this ticket, emphasizing their proven effectiveness in mobilizing voters across critical regions.
*James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.
2027: There Is a Shift in Northern Support Towards Tinubu and Shettima
Politics
Kashim Shettima: Dirty Datti and his Tinubu cap theory
Kashim Shettima: Dirty Datti and his Tinubu cap theory
By: Dr James Bwala
The controversy surrounding Vice President Kashim Shettima’s political symbolism has recently gained renewed attention following remarks by Datti Baba Ahmed, who questioned Shettima’s authenticity by asserting that he does not wear the Asiwaju cap—a potent emblem associated with political allegiance to President Tinubu and his Renewed Hope agenda. Baba Ahmed further challenged observers to enquire why Shettima refrains from donning this symbolic headgear and cited purported advice from Marabouts discouraging him from doing so.
Well, let’s just say that politics is here again and big men lie for cheap gains. Datti Baba Ahmed did not do his homework well to start attacking Nigeria’s vice president, Kashim Shettima, for not wearing President Tinubu’s cap as he alleged. Let me also assure Malam Datti Baba Ahmed, the Mauritanian boy from a Marabouts clan, that the APC is not a cult organisation that requires marabouting to see vision, and Kashim Shettima is not a figure that pretends loyalty or demonstrates such by constantly following what others choose to do for themselves.
The dirty Datti theory and claims overlook the visible reality. VP Shettima indeed wears the Asiwaju cap at public events and actively promotes the administration’s vision for national renewal, thereby aligning himself with Tinubu’s political identity. While Dattigan’s style reveals a deeper struggle over narrative control and political loyalty within Nigeria’s evolving power dynamics, he often misses the point when he makes attempts on Nigeria’s vice president, Kashim Shettima. We know his history and respect his family, but he keeps dragging them into his political mud. Attacking Shettima will only open a can of worms about the dirty Mauritanian journey to Nigeria, something we do not want to discuss out of respect for the larger Baba Ahmed’s family.
However, there is a debate regarding Shettima’s use of the Asiwaju cap. Datti wants to draw that it transcends mere fashion, and it encapsulates questions of symbolism, representation, and perceived commitment to a collective political project. Contrary to Datti Baba Ahmed’s assertions, Vice President Shettima’s actions represent more than just the act of wearing a cap. His consistent public appearances as Nigeria’s vice president demonstrate not only his visible endorsement of President Tinubu’s Renewed Hope agenda but also challenge the notion that only wearing Asiwaju’s cap speaks loyalty.
Vice President Kashim Shettima embodies a rich cultural heritage that is deeply rooted in the Kanuri ethnic identity and lineage from the historic El-Kanemi dynasty. This background not only shapes his personal character but also informs his political demeanour and leadership style, distinguishing him as a well-cultured personality within Nigeria’s complex socio-political landscape. Contrary to some criticisms levelled by figures such as Datti Baba Ahmed, who question Shettima’s prolonged tenure and political relevance, it is essential to recognise that Shettima’s identity transcends mere political positioning; it reflects a profound connection to his cultural roots and values. Shettima’s modernist approach to life and relationships that prioritise self-reliance and rational governance over traditional mystical practices did not align with Datti Baba Ahmed’s claims, which often hold sway in certain northern Nigerian communities, where the “Yan”bori Marabouting culture breathes.
The partnership between Bola Tinubu from the South West and Kashim Shettima from the North East symbolises more than just a political alliance of cap wearing; it represents an intentional fusion of diverse regional identities aimed at fostering national unity. This north-south alliance not only bridges ethnic and regional divides but also showcases a shared commitment to progressive governance grounded in cultural authenticity and mutual respect. Moreover, Shettima’s commitment to cultural integrity and pragmatic leadership underscores the strength of the Tinubu-Shettima partnership as a model for inclusive governance that respects Nigeria’s diverse ethnic fabric while advancing a forward-looking political agenda. This cultural authenticity, combined with a pragmatic and forward-thinking leadership style, enables Shettima to navigate the complexities of Nigerian politics without resorting to traditional or mystical shortcuts, thereby reinforcing his image as a modern statesman rooted in Kanuri heritage.
This synergy between Tinubu and Shettima not only exemplifies the political maturity needed to address Nigeria’s complex ethno-regional dynamics but also highlights how leaders grounded in their cultural identities can collaboratively drive national progress without succumbing to divisiveness or archaism.
- James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja
- Kashim Shettima: Dirty Datti and his Tinubu cap theory
Politics
2027: Borno will never witness another Gubio tragedy
2027: Borno will never witness another Gubio tragedy
By: Dr. James Bwala
The recent ambush on Hon. Mustapha Gubio’s convoy, the All Progressives Congress (APC) governorship candidate in Borno State, by suspected ISWAP terrorists along the Gubio–Kareto–Damasak road has reignited fears about the ongoing insurgency in northeastern Nigeria. This incident not only highlights the security challenges that political figures face in areas plagued by militant violence but also brings back haunting memories of a similar tragedy from 2011.
Back then, another governorship candidate from Borno, the late Fannami Gubio, tragically lost his life on what became known as “Black Friday,” a day marred by political violence and chaos. The recurrence of such attacks reveals a disturbing trend where violent extremist groups disrupt political processes, aiming to undermine governance and democratic engagement.
The mixed reactions from news vendors and local communities reflect the complicated relationship between fear, resilience, and political involvement in conflict-affected regions. This latest attack serves as a stark reminder of the ongoing instability in Borno State and the pressing need for stronger security measures to protect not just political figures but also the wider civilian population caught in the crossfire of insurgency.
This incident underscores the persistent threat posed by ISWAP in the area and highlights the crucial need for continuous military vigilance and community collaboration to prevent such attacks from derailing the democratic process. In light of these events, it’s essential for both the government and security agencies to ramp up their efforts to dismantle terrorist networks in Borno State, ensuring that political activities can continue without the shadow of violence or intimidation looming over them.
The attack on Thursday highlights the persistent challenges that political figures in Borno State are grappling with, as insurgent groups like ISWAP take advantage of security weaknesses to disrupt elections and instill fear in both candidates and voters. This troubling trend of repeated assaults along vital routes, such as the Gubio–Kareto–Damasak road, not only jeopardizes the safety of political leaders like Mustapha Gubio but also hampers crucial transportation and economic activities. This situation calls for a robust strategy that tackles the underlying causes of insurgency, encourages socio-economic growth, and promotes inclusive governance to pave the way for lasting peace in Borno State.
To strengthen these efforts, it’s essential for the government to improve intelligence gathering and foster community engagement initiatives that empower local residents to become vigilant partners in security. This approach can help shrink the operational space for insurgents like ISWAP. To genuinely protect the democratic process and safeguard candidates like Mustapha Gubio, security agencies must not only react quickly to attacks but also adopt proactive measures that incorporate local intelligence and community collaboration to prevent future threats.
While the immediate response to the recent attack was commendable, it’s evident that without ongoing and coordinated efforts that blend military vigilance with community resilience and development programs, such incidents will keep undermining the stability of Borno State. Achieving lasting peace in Borno State hinges on ensuring that military actions are paired with continuous community engagement and socio-economic development initiatives that address the root issues exploited by insurgent groups.
James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja
2027: Borno will never witness another Gubio tragedy
Politics
APC received 5000 decampees in Yobe
APC received 5000 decampees in Yobe
By: Yahaya Wakili
Yobe State All Progressives Congress (APC) has received 5,000 decampees from various political parties across the Yobe South Senatorial District (Zone B).
The All Progressives Congress receives defectors from the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and African Democratic Congress (ADC). The decampments are drawn from the Nangere, Fika, Potiskum, and Nangere local government areas.

Governor Mai Mala Buni CON, COMN, of Yobe State, ably represented by his deputy, Hon. Idi Barde Gubana (Wazirin Fune), assured those who shifted their loyalty to APC would be treated equally with the old members, adding that the APC believes in one Nigeria.
He appreciated the All Progressives Congress (APC) supporters for their commitment to the growth of the party, which, according to him, enhanced service delivery to the people of the state.
The governor expressed delight at receiving the decampments from the various political parties into the All Progressives Congress (APC), the ruling party in the state and Nigeria in general.
The state party chairman, Alhaji Mohammed Gadaka (Madakin Gudi), called on the people of the other political parties to join the APC to move Yobe state forward and assured to carry the new members along in all the party activities.
Hajiya Budu Lawan, the APC women’s leader in the state, promised that women in Yobe state would come out in mass to support and vote for the APC in the upcoming general election.
Hon. Musa Gulani, the state youth leader, expressed his appreciation for the youth in Zone B, adding that youth in Yobe state would vote for APC from top to bottom in the 2027 general election.
The APC governorship candidate, Alhaji Baba Mallam Wali mni (BMW), ably represented by his running mate, Hon. Sale Samanja, said, “If elected in 2027, we would uphold the legacies of Governor Mai Mala Buni. “
Hon. Yakubu Shehu Damagum (alias Yakubu Doctor), State chairman of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), said, “I left the party last year due to some circumstances, but I didn’t join the APC officially till today.”
He said, “The reason behind my defection is that I watched the development strides in Yobe state under the APC administration of Governor Mai Mala Buni, and there is no need to continue fighting with the ruling party, because a small party in Yobe state has no impact.”
Abba Balube, a former chairman of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) from the Fune local government area, revealed that he decided to leave the ADC completely because of the bad leadership and because there is no respect in the party.
Ali DPO, former chairman of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) Potiskum local government area, said he joined APC, the ruling party in the state, because of Governor Mai Mala Buni’s transparency, especially the equal sharing of the developmental projects and employment across the state. The event ended up with the presentation of plagues to decampers.
APC received 5000 decampees in Yobe
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