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War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
By Zagazola Makama
Carefully observing the geopolitical map of AFRICA, WAGNER Operation and disassociation from WEST hegemony straddles a straight line from coasts of SENEGAL to SUDAN where a geo-strategic interest lies.
It appears the diversion is in AFRICA, which has become the proxy area for the UKRAINE – RUSSIA war.
In retrospect, the campaign against WESTERN hegemony, especially FRANCE, had eaten deep into AFRICA and has potentially no reverse, as calls rose for, first, AFRICAN leadership to own their countries’ wealth and, second, a united AFRICA.
Equally, WAGNER, an extension of RUSSIAN military diplomacy, spearheaded a Psychological Operations measure to divert attention of NATO and other WESTERN powers’ attention as EUROPE continues to become tense over the UKRAINE – RUSSIA conflict.
For now, WESTERN dominance is on the verge of pulling more resources to maintain relations with AFRICA.
Whatever the consequences, a RUSSIA-led support virus had already been inoculated into the streams of support by part of AFRICA to take sides.
This, therefore, forms the context in which the buildup of tension between the NIGERIA-led ECOWAS and NIGER REPUBLIC over the recent coup overthrowing the Mohammed Bazoum-led democratically elected government of the West African francophone nation should be viewed.
The Bola Ahmed Tinubu-led government of Nigeria seems hell-bent on leading the combined ECOWAS military to storm Niamey, root out the coupists, free Bazoum from their captivity and reinstate him president of NIGER.
There are numerous salient facts with regard to NIGERIA-NIGER Republic relations that deserve crucial consideration before the ECOWAS forces pounce on NIGER.
This consideration is imperative for NIGERIA to avoid being deceived into a proxy war that will, in the long run, cause its drastic and cataclysmic fall from the enviable heights of West African Giant and, possibly, African leadership.
The most-startling of these facts.
Seven states in NIGERIA, stretching from the North-West to the North-East geopolitical zones border NIGER. The peoples of these states savor centuries-old sociocultural affinity and amity with the peoples of the southern flank of NIGER, contributing substantially to the economies of the countries for ages.
These close ties are about to be crushed by the ECOWAS forces.
Intelligence suggests despite sanctions by ECOWAS, BENIN Republic has opened up borders to NIGER, implying its disagreement with the gang up measure against its neighbor. Suspicion places NIGERIA in tight corners as pro-WEST to act spontaneously against its neighbor.
This is possibly as part of WAGNER psychological Operation to seek further movement of the PMC personnel into NIAMEY in part and WEST AFRICA as a whole.
NIGERIA-NIGER relations have always been excellent up until now. For instance, NIGER is always actively in support of NIGERIA during Counter insurgency Operations of the Multinational Joint Task Force and provides ISR as well as Air Interdiction during most missions.
Military operations, economic transfer and numerous other friendly relations exist between both nations.
The coup may have changed the politics but has not disemboweled the close ties or similarities in cultural and social identity between NIGERIA and her neighbors.
It is assumed the target to frustrate NIGERIA’s key role economically, politically and militarily after solely containing more than a decade old insurgency is likely.
Hence, NIGERIA should continue a broader defense diplomacy with its neighbors to maintain a steady course in foreign policy.
The strong ties NIGERIA with its neighbors should be used to overcome plans to utilize AFRICA as grounds for proxy war between the WESTERN and EASTERN powers.
There is a need for NIGERIA to showcase the big-brother position in aligning with AFRICA’s unity and suggest to her neighbors that despite all shortcomings, measures other than coup may not be a solution.
There is a need to call on the leadership of MALI, BURKINA FASO, GUINEA and others to realize support for one another as well as to devise means of solving the major issues of developing strategies against terrorism and western hegemony.
It will, therefore, be unfortunate to deploy force to NIGER.
Information suggests GHANA, TOGO, GAMBIA and LIBERIA have said they will not deploy troops to NIGER. More so, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Guinea, three West African nations, have backed the coup leaders in Niger, a move that poses a threat to regional stability. this is a trap for NIGERIA.
NIGERIA, for her own good, must not fall into this trap. It could be disastrous for, first, its status in the West African region and, indeed, the entire African continent; and, second, its existence as one enviably politically, diplomatically and economically powerful entity in global affairs.
The possible abstention of some of the West African nations from the impending war is not because ECOWAS does not have the capability to deploy a force to NIGER, but because other members will not commit as much resources as expected.
Moreover, ECOWAS will have to explain why it didn’t deploy similar forces to BURKINA FASO, MALI and GUINEA where their military also toppled democratic governments.
Generally, it will be a big strategic miscalculation for NIGERIA to commit to such externalities, with the several internal challenges facing the country.
A diplomatic solution to NIGER’s problem will be the best at this moment. NIGERIA has nothing to prove to the world except its proficiency in diplomatic relations and standing tall in might as a big brother. NIGERIA’s military diplomacy should play a key role in turning key issues.
NIGERIA faces devastating consequences should the war be carried out against NIGER.
Nigeria is strategically positioned into a geographical zone that it can never Win a War on the NIGER REPUBLIC even if the Military Junta is chased out of Niamey.
The following are definite to be the price of the aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC by ECOWAS by the West African allied forces:
First: Losing President Bazoum. For sure, the first consequences of the War on NIGER is that NIGERIA will only have the corpse of MOHAMMED BAZOUM whom PRESIDENT TINUBU led ECOWAS is so anxious to reinstate immediately Niamey is captured.
Is Nigeria or any fighter for the restoration of democracy ready for that to happen?
Second: More enmity will emanate against Nigeria within the West African region. The country will have more regional enemies than friends because all the Countries bordering NIGER REPUBLIC will not condone the aggression even if they restrain from attacking Nigeria in defense of their ally in the protection of their sovereignty.
Third: Diplomatic relations among West African nations could worsen, leading to the possible collapse of ECOWAS. This situation would be catastrophic to the economy of the region as free movement of its citizens becomes a big regional threat. Already Niger Republic is hosting over 300,000 Nigerian Refugees in Diffa, Bosso and Tumour. These IDPs are already facing stigmatization and humiliation from their host and soon they may be asked to leave.
Four: There could be a proliferation of unprecedentedly frightening forms of terrorism as a result of the presence of huge amounts of Bõko Harām Insurgents across the borders of the two countries that stretched into Mali, Burkina Faso up to the Sene-Gambian Region. Fledgeling or the collapse of ECOWAS would facilitate the infiltration of terrorist groups into the countries much easier than what happened to ISIS’s cross border operations in Syria, Iraq, Turkey and parts of Egypt’s Sinai mountainous region.
In this scenario, more massive funding will be made towards sponsoring “Terrorists Groups”, thus creating more others by International Agencies who have been enemies to “Global Peace” to control sensitively viable areas of economic importance for eventually ceaseless attacks such as the ongoing “Armed Banditry and Kidnappings” that are rampant in the Region.
Five: Inflation and economic recession is definitely going to hit Nigeria immediately the war starts, causing millions of people across the region to lose their jobs, causing high cost of living for the ordinary citizens of both countries.
Six: Famine and rampant deaths would be inevitable as a result of the hampering of all agricultural activities, with the war intensifying where massive hectares of land shall remain without being harvested for more than 75 percent of the region in the same technical manner Bõko Harām disrupts farming for than a decade throughout most parts of the North-East.
Seven: Massive migration across West Africa, and, possibly, between West Africa and other contiguous regions of the African continent would take place as refugees from both sides keep flooding the Sub-saharan region.
With Nigeria presently finding it difficult to manage the growing humanitarian crisis with millions of its Internally Displaced Persons (IDPS) due to terrorism and banditry, another unsustainable chaotic conditions will be artificially created for it to handle.
For sure, when the drums of War are beaten and the planned aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC commences, NORTHERN NIGERIA’s (Arēwa) Region, from Gamboru to Kamba, From ILLELA/JIBIYA/MAI-ADUWA/MAIGATARI to OTURKPO would be submerged in total full scale insecurity.
This could threaten the existence of NORTHERN NIGERIA. Once NORTHERN NIGERIA is gone, the official Federation of what is known as Nigeria would be “Badly Bargained”, forever.
Nigeria should look before it leaps.
To be forewarned is to be forearmed!
Zagazola is a Counter-Insurgency expert and security analyst in the Lake Chad region.
War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
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FG, Ohanaeze Outlaw ‘Eze Ndigbo’ Titles Abroad Amid Rising Diplomatic Tensions
FG, Ohanaeze Outlaw ‘Eze Ndigbo’ Titles Abroad Amid Rising Diplomatic Tensions
By: Michael Mike
The Federal Government has moved to curb the controversial installation of “Eze Ndigbo” in foreign countries, backing a sweeping decision by Ohanaeze Ndigbo Worldwide and South East traditional rulers to abolish the practice outside Igboland, following a series of international incidents that have strained Nigeria’s diplomatic relations.
Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, Bianca Odumegwu-Ojukwu, delivered the government’s position at the high-level Imeobi meeting of Ohanaeze in Enugu on Thursday, describing the proliferation of Igbo “kings” in the diaspora as a growing embarrassment to Nigeria and a trigger for avoidable conflicts abroad.
She warned that while diaspora communities are free to promote their culture, attempts to replicate traditional rulership structures in foreign lands have repeatedly sparked tensions with host authorities and local populations.
The latest flashpoint occurred in East London, where the coronation of Solomon Ogbonna Eziko ignited violent protests. The unrest led to the destruction of property, attacks on foreign-owned businesses, and clashes with security forces, after locals interpreted the installation as a challenge to South Africa’s traditional authority system.
South African institutions, including the Eastern Cape House of Traditional and Khoi-San Leaders and the Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs, declared the coronation illegal, underscoring the diplomatic sensitivity of such actions.
Nigeria’s foreign missions quickly distanced themselves from the development, with officials clarifying that the event was merely cultural and not a recognized monarchy. The Nigerian Embassy in Pretoria subsequently issued an apology and urged citizens to maintain a low profile.
Odumegwu-Ojukwu revealed that similar tensions had surfaced in Accra in 2025, where protests against Nigerians escalated over the same issue. She led a diplomatic delegation to calm the situation, engaging directly with John Mahama and other key stakeholders.
According to her, the intervention of the Ghanaian president was pivotal in diffusing tensions, as he reaffirmed his country’s commitment to ECOWAS protocols on free movement and rejected calls for xenophobic actions against Nigerians.
The minister stressed that such crises place Nigerian lives, businesses, and diplomatic standing at risk, insisting that urgent measures were necessary to prevent further escalation.
In response, Ohanaeze Ndigbo Worldwide has formally proscribed the conferment and use of “Eze Ndigbo” titles outside Igboland. President-General of the organization, Azuta Mbata, declared that any individual assuming such a title abroad does so without the backing of the Igbo people.
He disclosed that the group would notify state governments and Nigerian missions globally of the decision and is working with traditional rulers to establish sanctions for violators, including community-level enforcement through hometowns and town unions.
The Federal Government has pledged to reinforce the directive through its diplomatic channels, signaling a coordinated effort to prevent further international disputes linked to cultural misrepresentation.
The development marks a decisive shift by both the government and Igbo leadership to separate cultural expression from traditional authority in diaspora settings, amid growing concern over the global implications of local customs.
FG, Ohanaeze Outlaw ‘Eze Ndigbo’ Titles Abroad Amid Rising Diplomatic Tensions
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Africa, France Move to Reset Economic Ties at Nairobi Summit
Africa, France Move to Reset Economic Ties at Nairobi Summit
By: Michael Mike
African leaders and their French counterparts are set for a critical engagement next month as Kenya and France prepare to host the Africa Forward Summit: Africa–France Partnerships for Innovation and Growth in Nairobi, amid growing calls for a new model of cooperation that delivers real economic impact for the continent.
The summit, scheduled for May 11–12, 2026, will convene top political leaders including Emmanuel Macron and William Ruto, alongside African Heads of State, investors, development partners, civil society groups, and youth representatives.
A Business Forum on May 11 is expected to drive private sector engagement and set the tone for the main summit, where discussions will centre on investment, innovation, and long-term economic collaboration.
Organisers said the summit is designed to move beyond diplomatic symbolism, focusing instead on actionable partnerships in key sectors such as healthcare, agriculture, digital technology, energy, and infrastructure—areas considered vital to Africa’s transformation.
For countries like Nigeria, the outcomes could be significant, offering pathways to attract investment, create jobs, and strengthen economic resilience at a time of global uncertainty.
The summit comes against the backdrop of evolving relations between Africa and France, marked by increasing demands from African nations for more equitable and transparent partnerships.
Historically, France has maintained strong political, economic, and military ties with several African countries, particularly in West and Central Africa. However, in recent years, these relationships have come under scrutiny, with critics calling for an end to perceived imbalances and a shift toward mutual respect and shared benefits.
At the same time, Africa’s global relevance has risen, driven by its growing population, expanding markets, and strategic importance in global supply chains. This has intensified competition among global powers seeking influence on the continent, prompting France to recalibrate its engagement strategy.
The Africa Forward Summit is seen as part of that reset—an attempt to reposition France as a partner in innovation and sustainable development rather than a traditional power broker.
The timing is also significant as it feeds into preparations for the upcoming G7 Summit, where Africa’s economic future, climate challenges, and development financing are expected to dominate discussions.
Analysts said the Nairobi meeting could serve as a testing ground for how Africa and its international partners engage moving forward—shifting from aid-driven relationships to investment-led cooperation.
With unemployment rising and infrastructure gaps widening across many African economies, expectations are high that the summit will produce concrete commitments rather than broad declarations.
Diplomatic missions in Abuja have indicated that further details will be unveiled at a press briefing, but stakeholders are already positioning the summit as a defining moment in reshaping Africa–Europe relations.
If successful, the Africa Forward Summit could mark a turning point—signaling a transition from historic ties to future-focused partnerships built on innovation, shared prosperity, and measurable outcomes.
Africa, France Move to Reset Economic Ties at Nairobi Summit
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Experts Sound Alarm Over Unregulated AI in Nigeria’s Healthcare System
Experts Sound Alarm Over Unregulated AI in Nigeria’s Healthcare System
By: Michael Mike
Growing adoption of artificial intelligence in Nigeria’s healthcare sector is outpacing regulatory safeguards, raising concerns among experts who warned that without urgent oversight, the technology could deepen inequality and expose patients to new risks.
This warning took centre stage at a policy dialogue titled “AI in Healthcare: Risk or Asset?”, held Thursday at the French Institute in Abuja, where stakeholders from government, medicine, and development circles examined the expanding role of AI in health service delivery.
Speakers at the forum acknowledged that AI is already transforming diagnostics, laboratory systems, and patient management. However, they cautioned that Nigeria’s regulatory environment has yet to catch up with the speed of innovation.
Director of the French Institute, Thierry Vapentin, set the tone for the discussions, describing the platform as a space to confront emerging global issues through open debate. He stressed the importance of interrogating both the opportunities and ethical dilemmas posed by AI in critical sectors like healthcare.
Delivering a policy perspective, Dr. Anthony Ayeke of the European Union Delegation noted that while AI could significantly improve access and efficiency in healthcare delivery across Africa, blind reliance on automated systems could undermine professional judgment and patient safety. He emphasized that human oversight must remain central in all AI-driven processes.
In his intervention, the CEO of Premier Health Systems Consults, Dr. Niyi Osamiluyi argued that Nigeria urgently needs a clearly defined ethical and regulatory framework to guide AI deployment. He outlined key principles including transparency, inclusiveness, accountability, data protection, and auditability, warning that failure to assign responsibility for AI outcomes could create dangerous accountability gaps.
The issue of data integrity also featured prominently. Joshua Kojalo highlighted ongoing government-backed digital health initiatives, particularly mobile applications designed to expand access to health insurance. However, he warned that overdependence on foreign datasets could embed bias into local systems, potentially excluding vulnerable populations. He called for deliberate investment in locally generated data to ensure fairness and accuracy.
From an operational standpoint, Dr. Temitope Agbana, Co-founder of AIDX Medical, shared field experiences demonstrating AI’s impact on laboratory efficiency, noting that automated systems have significantly increased processing capacity. Despite these gains, he maintained that technology must remain a support tool rather than a substitute for human expertise, stressing that no AI system is entirely error-proof.
Equity concerns dominated the latter part of the discussion, with Dr. Chimezie Anyakora, CEO of Bloom Public Health, warning that weak regulation could leave already disadvantaged communities exposed to the harshest consequences of technological failure. He cautioned that without deliberate safeguards, AI could reinforce existing healthcare disparities rather than bridge them.
Participants agreed that Nigeria risks creating a two-tier healthcare system where advanced AI-driven services are accessible only to the wealthy, while rural and low-income populations are left behind.
The forum concluded with a strong consensus that Nigeria must act swiftly to establish robust regulatory frameworks, invest in capacity building, and ensure inclusive access. Experts stressed that while AI holds immense potential to transform healthcare delivery, its benefits will only be realized if innovation is matched with responsibility.
Without decisive action, they warned, the same technology that promises progress could ultimately widen the gap it seeks to close.
Experts Sound Alarm Over Unregulated AI in Nigeria’s Healthcare System
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