Politics
Kashim Shettima: Understanding Farooq Kperogi’s arguments on Tinubu’s 2027 ticket
Kashim Shettima: Understanding Farooq Kperogi’s arguments on Tinubu’s 2027 ticket
By: Dr. James Bwala
The interplay of identity, symbolism, and electoral coalitions remains a defining feature of political calculations. Prof. Farooq Kperogi’s article, “The Shettima Danger for Tinubu,” brings to the fore a nuanced analysis of the 2023 Tinubu-Shettima political alliance and its implications for the upcoming 2027 elections. At first glance, one might dismiss Kperogi’s arguments as overblown or reductionist, interpreting the situation purely through a lens of personal relationships or conventional political maneuvers. However, a deeper examination reveals that Kperogi’s article is a persuasive and compelling warning about how ignoring the complex dynamics of identity blocs and political symbolism could imperil Tinubu’s ambitions. Kperogi’s insights, therefore, must be taken seriously by political actors, analysts, and stakeholders as they unravel the political future of Nigeria’s ruling party.
Kperogi’s central contentions revolve around what he terms “emotional cartography”—the phenomenon where voting behavior in Nigeria is strongly influenced by identity-based sentimental loyalty to ethnic, regional, and religious affiliations. The Tinubu–Shettima ticket of 2023 is not merely an example of a Muslim-Muslim alliance as popularly debated but rather a strategic partnership representing a powerful Yoruba–Northern Muslim electoral coalition. Tinubu, as a Yoruba political titan, symbolized the southwestern, populous, and politically vibrant Yoruba bloc, while Shettima represented the Northern Muslim electorate, a significant demographic force that has historically influenced election outcomes. This alliance functioned not just on religious credentials but on broader identity representation that allowed different groups to feel politically validated and included in governance.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-when-tinubus-endorsement-of-vice-president-kashim-shettimas-unwavering-support-speaks-volumes/
To understand the stakes, one must appreciate how Nigerian electoral politics operate under this framework. Identity politics, though often criticized for perpetuating division, remains a primary mechanism through which large sections of the population interpret their political interests and participation. For many Nigerians, political representation is not only about policies or ideology but also about whether they see their group’s history, values, and concerns visibly acknowledged and safeguarded. Kperogi emphasizes that emotional cartography generates an implicit contract: when a political ticket includes representatives from major ethnic and religious blocks, it reassures those constituencies that their place in the power structure is secure. Conversely, when this balance shifts or is disrupted, it risks alienating those blocs, triggering voter apathy, backlash, or realignment.
This dynamic makes the prospect of removing Shettima from the 2027 Tinubu ticket particularly perilous. According to Kperogi, Shettima’s presence was foundational to the 2023 electoral success because he symbolically anchored Northern Muslim support. The North is not monolithic, but the Northern Muslim constituency comprises a notable voting bloc that contributed significantly to Tinubu’s victory. Removing Shettima signals more than just a personnel change; it potentially conveys to Northern Muslims that their symbolic representation within the ruling coalition is being diminished or erased. Such a perception, Kperogi warns, would likely fracture existing alliances and result in a loss of critical votes during the next election cycle.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-when-tinubus-endorsement-of-vice-president-kashim-shettimas-unwavering-support-speaks-volumes/
Also, Kperogi critiques the assumption that replacing Shettima with a Northern Christian candidate would simply substitute one identity for another and thus maintain coalition stability. This overlooks key realities about the shifting affiliations and political histories of Northern Christians. Many Northern Christian voters have already gravitated toward alternatives such as Peter Obi, making them a less reliable base for Tinubu’s coalition vis-à-vis Northern Muslims. Hence, swapping Shettima for a Northern Christian does not guarantee a straightforward transfer of votes; instead, it risks weakening the Northern bloc’s overall cohesion in favor of less predictable political outcomes. In Kperogi’s assessment, this maneuver could cause Tinubu to lose more ground than he gains.
Beyond electoral arithmetic, Kperogi’s argument also extends into the broader realm of political sociology and conflict studies within Nigeria. Throughout history, Northern political elites have often leveraged religious identity—particularly Muslim solidarity—to mobilize voters and address perceived marginalization or exclusion in the national power matrix. Displacing Shettima, who embodies this Northern Muslim representation, could rekindle grievances and exacerbate fault lines that have periodically erupted into tension or violence. Thus, the “Shettima danger” not only encapsulates electoral risks but also potential destabilization of Nigeria’s delicate interethnic and interreligious equilibrium.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-when-tinubus-endorsement-of-vice-president-kashim-shettimas-unwavering-support-speaks-volumes/
Critically, Kperogi’s analysis does not endorse or glorify identity politics; rather, it pragmatically acknowledges it as an existing reality that shapes Nigerian political behavior. His contribution lies in highlighting that political actors who ignore these identity perceptions do so at their own peril. The idea that electoral success can be achieved solely through policy platforms or technocratic governance is, in Nigeria’s context, incomplete without considering the symbolism of inclusion and representation among diverse communities. Tinubu’s political fortunes, therefore, hinge upon maintaining a coalition that respects and reflects the ethnic and religious mosaic of Nigeria’s electorate.
Opponents of Kperogi’s view might argue that emphasizing identity risks perpetuating sectarianism and undermining efforts toward national integration. They may advocate for transcendence beyond primordial affiliations toward programmatic politics focusing on issues like economic development, security, and social justice. While such aspirations are noble and necessary for Nigeria’s long-term progress, the immediate political reality remains that identity-based emotional loyalty strongly influences voter behavior and political legitimacy. Dismissing this factor risks alienating vital constituencies and undermining political stability—a cost that Nigerian leaders cannot afford in the volatile current climate.
READ ALSO https://newsng.ng/2027-when-tinubus-endorsement-of-vice-president-kashim-shettimas-unwavering-support-speaks-volumes/
Indeed, Kperogi’s concept of emotional cartography offers a useful analytic framework to bridge the divide between identity politics critics and proponents. It encourages recognizing identity as a sociopolitical phenomenon shaped by history, culture, and lived experience rather than a mere obstacle to democracy. Through this lens, politicians like Tinubu must navigate identity sensibilities skillfully, balancing inclusivity and national unity without erasing distinct group identities. The Shettima matter exemplifies this challenge: it requires sensitivity to how symbolic representation operates alongside substantive governance to sustain broad-based political coalitions.
The assessment of the “Shettima danger” for Tinubu’s 2027 ticket should be regarded as a persuasive cautionary tale grounded in Nigeria’s political realities. Far from an academic abstraction, his insights illuminate why removing Shettima risks fracturing a crucial electoral coalition based on Yoruba and Northern Muslim alliances, thereby jeopardizing Tinubu’s political prospects. More importantly, it underscores how identity, symbolism, and emotional cartography continue to shape Nigerian politics in profound ways. For Tinubu and his party, success depends not only on policy effectiveness but also on adeptly managing the complex mosaic of representation and inclusion that defines Nigeria’s democratic landscape. To ignore Kperogi’s warnings is to court a political miscalculation with potentially far-reaching consequences for Nigeria’s fragile unity and democratic stability.
* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.
Kashim Shettima: Understanding Farooq Kperogi’s arguments on Tinubu’s 2027 ticket
Politics
Delta Community Endorses Chukwuyenim for 2027 Assembly Election
Delta Community Endorses Chukwuyenim for 2027 Assembly Election
By: Michael Mike
A community in Delta State has endorsed Labour Party aspirant, Mr Ossamulu Chukwuyenim, for the Ndokwa/Ukwuani Federal Constituency seat in the House of Representatives ahead of the 2027 general election.
The endorsement was announced on Thursday during a virtual ceremony led by a community leader, Mr Ossai Nzekwe, popularly known as Okpala Uju of Umom from Unuaghulu, who called for leadership anchored on humility, respect for elders and commitment to community development.
The ceremony, held at Okpia Umuagulu in Ndokwa East Constituency, attracted stakeholders from Isitu, Umuagulu, Obeze, Ashaka, Ibusu, Ngwekaba and Umuedem villages.

Nzekwe said the endorsement reflected the community’s confidence in Chukwuyenim’s capacity to provide responsible leadership and effective representation at the National Assembly.
“Our blessings upon Chukwuyenim reaffirm the importance of leadership rooted in humility, respect for our elders and a genuine commitment to the development of our community,” he said.
He described the endorsement as an expression of community support for the aspirant, adding that it was intended to promote effective representation in the 2027 elections.
Responding, Chukwuyenim thanked Nzekwe and other participants for their support, saying the endorsement reinforced his commitment to peace, unity and sustainable development across the constituency.
“Our vision is centred on a Ndokwa/Ukwuani where every community is habitable, inclusive and peaceful, with opportunities for our people to thrive,” he said.
He pledged to prioritise infrastructure, potable water, improved road networks, security, youth development and agricultural reforms if elected.
According to him, the proposed initiatives would strengthen social cohesion, improve living conditions and expand opportunities for residents across the constituency.
Chukwuyenim also pledged to uphold community values and pursue development programmes aimed at improving the welfare of his constituents.
The ceremony featured goodwill messages from traditional leaders and prayers for divine guidance, strength and success for the aspirant.
Delta Community Endorses Chukwuyenim for 2027 Assembly Election
Politics
2027: APC Deploys Diaspora Network to Fight Anti-Tinubu Narratives, Mobilise Re-election Support
2027: APC Deploys Diaspora Network to Fight Anti-Tinubu Narratives, Mobilise Re-election Support
By: Michael Mike
The All Progressives Congress (APC) has unveiled an international mobilisation and media offensive to defend President Bola Tinubu’s economic policies, counter negative narratives about his administration and rally support for his re-election in 2027, targeting Nigerians living across major countries in Africa, Europe, Asia, the Middle East and North America.
Under the plan, the party intends to activate its overseas chapters, deploy coordinated digital advocacy, establish a rapid-response mechanism to challenge misinformation, mobilise diaspora funding and encourage voter participation at home as it seeks to shape public perception of Tinubu’s first term ahead of the presidential election.
The Director of the PBAT/APC 2027 Presidential Campaign Council (PCC) Directorate of Diaspora Mobilisation, Hon. Abike Dabiri-Erewa, unveiled the strategy at a press briefing in Abuja, describing Nigerians abroad as an influential constituency whose financial contributions, professional expertise and international networks could be harnessed to support the administration.
The initiative signals the APC’s determination to make the diaspora an organised component of its re-election campaign, using Nigerians’ connections with relatives, communities and professional networks abroad to communicate the government’s position on its economic reforms and development agenda.
Dabiri-Erewa said the directorate would not limit its mobilisation to party members, but would also reach out to Nigerians abroad who were willing to participate in the campaign.
“Nigerians abroad are not outsiders. They are stakeholders. They are our doctors, nurses, engineers, students, traders, innovators and community leaders, who send over $20 billion annually back home in remittances,” she said.
She identified the mobilisation of APC diaspora chapters in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, South Africa, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, France, Germany, Australia, Turkey, India and Kazakhstan as a priority, alongside engagement with diaspora associations and community leaders.
At the centre of the strategy is a digital advocacy campaign tagged Operation Tell Your Story, through which supporters would receive short videos, infographics and other communication materials promoting the administration’s policies and achievements.
The campaign would address the foreign exchange reforms, foreign reserves, support for small businesses, housing programmes and opportunities for students, while seeking to counter claims the directorate considers misleading.
Dabiri-Erewa also announced plans for a rapid-response hub to provide data, fact-check claims and promote what she described as credible information about Nigeria’s investment climate, economic stabilisation and prospects under Tinubu.
“Our directorate will serve as a rapid-response hub in case of misinformation about Nigeria and the administration. We will provide credible data, fact-check and positive narratives about Nigeria’s investment climate, stabilisation of the economy and the future under President Tinubu,” she said.
The move comes amid continuing public debate over the administration’s economic reforms, particularly the removal of the petrol subsidy and changes to the foreign exchange system, which have had significant implications for households and businesses.
Dabiri-Erewa acknowledged the hardship associated with the subsidy removal but defended the policy as a necessary intervention to address structural weaknesses in the economy.
“President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has decided not to manage our feelings, but to fix the system. And it takes a bold leader to do that,” she said.
She argued that Nigerians living abroad could help explain the rationale behind the reforms to their families and communities, particularly because of their understanding of the challenges associated with the previous foreign exchange arrangements.
However, the directorate’s strategy will face the challenge of persuading voters at home that the administration’s policies are delivering sufficient benefits to justify the economic sacrifices they have experienced. The effectiveness of the campaign will therefore depend not only on the reach of its messaging but also on the credibility of its claims and the administration’s record against measurable economic outcomes.
Beyond digital advocacy, the APC plans to mobilise diaspora contributions through structured fundraising platforms to finance campaign activities, voter education materials, town hall meetings and grassroots mobilisation.
Dabiri-Erewa said the proposed fundraising arrangements would emphasise transparency and accountability, but did not disclose the amount the directorate hopes to raise or provide details of the proposed platforms.
The fourth strand of the strategy would focus on voter education and homecoming mobilisation, with diaspora Nigerians encouraged to remind eligible relatives and community members to register, collect their Permanent Voter Cards and participate in the election.
The directorate also intends to use its overseas networks to encourage Nigerians abroad to return home, engage their communities and take part in the political process.
In a related appeal, Dabiri-Erewa called on the National Assembly to consider constitutional amendments that would allow Nigerians living abroad to vote in Nigerian elections.
She acknowledged that diaspora voting remained a subject of debate but expressed hope that lawmakers would address the issue, potentially expanding the formal participation of Nigerians abroad in the country’s electoral process.
Dabiri-Erewa, who also heads the Nigerians in Diaspora Commission (NiDCOM), said the commission had established a portal for registering Nigerians living outside the country and put the estimated diaspora population at more than 17 million.
She also urged Nigerians to monitor how state and local governments utilise increased allocations following the removal of the petrol subsidy, arguing that greater public revenue should be accompanied by accountability in spending.
Other members of the directorate backed the administration’s economic policies, acknowledging the hardship associated with the reforms while arguing that the intended benefits would take time to materialise. They highlighted investment, skills transfer, business partnerships and collaboration with government institutions as additional ways diaspora Nigerians could contribute to national development.
Dabiri-Erewa urged the media to support the directorate’s communication efforts, saying the campaign would focus on continuity, national development and Tinubu’s stated ambition to move Nigeria from reforms to prosperity.
With the 2027 election approaching, the APC’s strategy places diaspora mobilisation, digital communication and the battle over the interpretation of the administration’s economic record at the heart of its re-election effort. Whether the initiative translates into broader electoral support will ultimately depend on how Nigerians judge the government’s performance and whether the campaign can substantiate its claims with credible
2027: APC Deploys Diaspora Network to Fight Anti-Tinubu Narratives, Mobilise Re-election Support
Politics
2027: Nwankwo Warns INEC Against Unclear AI Use, Urges Credible Elections
2027: Nwankwo Warns INEC Against Unclear AI Use, Urges Credible Elections
PLAC director says electoral body must win public trust, calls on parties to focus on issues as JFCN warns Nigerians against taking democracy for granted
By: Michael Mike
The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) must not introduce artificial intelligence into Nigeria’s electoral process without clear, transparent and verifiable procedures, the Executive Director of the Policy and Legal Advocacy Centre (PLAC), Dr Clement Nwankwo, has warned.
Nwankwo said any deployment of technology in elections must strengthen transparency and protect the will of voters, cautioning that an unfamiliar or poorly explained system could undermine public confidence in the electoral process ahead of the 2027 general elections.
He also urged Nigerians dissatisfied with governance or the conduct of elections to participate actively in the democratic process rather than withdraw from voting, insisting that credible elections required responsibility from the electoral umpire, political parties and citizens.
Nwankwo spoke in Abuja on Tuesday at the eighth annual public lecture of the Just Friends Club of Nigeria (JFCN), themed “From Concern to Action: Making Our Votes Count in the 2027 General Elections.”
The event examined the challenges confronting Nigeria’s democracy, including economic hardship, insecurity, declining civic participation and the need to strengthen public confidence in elections.
Addressing questions on the proposed use of artificial intelligence in elections, Nwankwo said the legal framework and operational details must be clear to voters and other stakeholders before any new technology was introduced.
He maintained that the electoral process must remain anchored in procedures prescribed by law, warning against technological innovations that citizens and political parties could neither understand nor independently verify.
“INEC needs to be careful that its so-called use of AI in elections does not result in use of technology to circumvent the vote of the people,” he said.
Nwankwo argued that the electoral commission needed to explain precisely what it meant by using artificial intelligence and how the technology would interact with existing procedures for voting, counting and collating results.
He said technology could be useful to political parties in independently checking results announced by INEC, but warned that the commission should not introduce systems that lacked public understanding and verifiability.
“For the collation of results, for the parties, yes, the use of AI in collated results, so they can cross-check what INEC is doing, is going to be so very important,” he said.
“But INEC should not introduce a system that people do not understand. People cannot verify for use in elections in this country,” he added.
His comments come amid wider concerns about how electoral technology is deployed, explained and scrutinised, with stakeholders seeking assurances that innovations will improve the credibility of elections rather than create additional uncertainty.
Nwankwo stressed that public trust must be earned at every stage of the electoral process, particularly by the body responsible for managing elections.
“Citizens have to trust the electoral process, trust the election management body, and the election management body has to, at every stage, convince Nigerians that it is doing the right job,” he said.
He urged political parties to demonstrate what they could offer Nigerians through issue-based campaigns rather than allowing electoral contests to be dominated by recriminations and accusations.
He also called for increased voter participation, arguing that citizens who were angry with the electoral process or dissatisfied with governance should use their votes to express their concerns.
For INEC, he said, the responsibility was to demonstrate that it was conducting credible elections, warning that Nigerians would not accept a poorly managed process.
The chairman of the event, Hussaini Abdu, Country Director of CARE Nigeria, also underscored the importance of protecting democracy and ensuring that citizens understood their responsibility in sustaining democratic governance.
Abdu said the annual lecture series was established to address topical issues affecting Nigerians and contribute to national development. He noted that the club’s decision to focus this year’s edition on the 2027 elections reflected the importance of citizen participation at a critical moment for the country.
He cautioned that Nigerians, particularly younger people who did not experience military rule, risked taking democracy for granted without appreciating the struggles that secured the country’s return to civil rule.
Democracy, he argued, was a precious legacy that must be preserved and passed on to future generations. Losing it could expose younger Nigerians to the same struggles endured by those who fought for democratic governance.
Abdu said the club had therefore brought experts and political stakeholders together to discuss practical ways of improving the democratic process.
He also stressed that institutions involved in elections, including INEC and security agencies, must not only be transparent but must be seen by the public to be transparent and independent.
According to him, citizens’ confidence in the electoral process depends significantly on whether the institutions responsible for managing and protecting elections are perceived as impartial and accountable.
The President of JFCN, Amaechi C. Aloke, said the lecture’s theme was deliberately selected to challenge Nigerians to turn their concerns about governance into meaningful participation.
Aloke observed that Nigerians regularly complain about insecurity, unemployment, corruption, infrastructure deficits, the cost of living and the quality of public services, but insisted that expressing dissatisfaction alone would not transform the country.
“What do we do with that concern? Concern, by itself, does not change a country. It must become knowledge. Knowledge must become participation. Participation must become responsible citizenship. And responsible citizenship must extend beyond Election Day,” he said.
The discussion also highlighted concerns about the apparent weakening of the middle class and its declining willingness to organise around shared interests.
Speakers argued that many relatively affluent Nigerians increasingly rely on private alternatives to compensate for failing public services, including generators and solar systems for electricity, private schools and hospitals, and medical treatment abroad.
Although such measures may provide individual relief, the speakers warned that they could also reduce collective pressure on government to improve public services.
They cited an example from an affluent Abuja neighbourhood where residents reportedly complained through a WhatsApp group about levies imposed by local authorities but failed to translate their grievances into coordinated action.
The discussion questioned whether such private coping mechanisms and fragmented responses to shared problems were weakening the ability of citizens to demand accountability from public institutions.
The speakers also raised concerns about voter apathy, particularly among eligible voters in affluent communities who reportedly stayed away from polling units instead of participating in elections.
They urged Nigerians to move beyond private complaints and social media exchanges by voting, monitoring electoral processes, protecting their ballots and documenting results at polling units.
The JFCN, established in 2013, began its annual public lecture series in 2014. Its previous speakers have addressed subjects ranging from economic reform and public debt to national security, electoral politics and the cost of governance.
At the seventh edition in 2025, retired Lieutenant-General Abdulrahman Dambazau delivered a lecture on Nigeria’s security challenges and national cohesion, emphasising a people-centred approach to security and investment in human development.
Beyond the lecture series, Aloke said the club also undertook philanthropic activities, including visits to homes for older people and orphanages, support for children with disabilities, career guidance in public schools and sponsorship for eight indigent secondary school students in Abuja.
As the 2027 elections approach, the speakers’ message was that protecting democracy requires more than periodic voting. It demands trusted electoral institutions, transparent procedures, issue-based political campaigns and citizens prepared to participate actively and hold those in power accountable.
For Nwankwo, the credibility of the next election will depend in part on whether INEC can demonstrate that its procedures are lawful, transparent and capable of being independently understood and verified by the people whose votes determine the outcome.
2027: Nwankwo Warns INEC Against Unclear AI Use, Urges Credible Elections
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