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Athena Observatory Warns of Deepening Structural Risks in Nigeria’s Democracy
Athena Observatory Warns of Deepening Structural Risks in Nigeria’s Democracy
By: Michael Mike
A new policy report has raised fresh concerns about the stability of Nigeria’s democratic system, warning that growing political fragmentation and institutional strain could undermine the credibility of elections ahead of the 2027 general polls.
The report, released on Tuesday by the Athena Election Observatory (AEO), marks the debut of its Political Landscape Monitor—a policy series designed to track and analyse the country’s evolving electoral environment. Titled “Nigeria’s Democracy and the Imperative of Competitive Politics,” the inaugural note paints a sobering picture of a political system struggling to keep pace with its own internal dynamics.
According to the Observatory, a pattern is emerging across Nigeria’s major political parties in which leadership disputes, fragile alliances, and factional battles are becoming increasingly common. While these crises may appear isolated, the report argues they are symptoms of a deeper structural imbalance.
At the heart of the problem, it said, is a widening gap between political activity and institutional capacity. Political actors, driven by the urgency of coalition-building and power consolidation, are moving faster than the rules and structures meant to regulate them.
“This is not just about party disagreements,” the report noted. “It is about the weakening of the systems that are supposed to organise competition, manage conflict, and ultimately guarantee meaningful choice for voters.”
The analysis drew from recent developments within prominent parties such as the African Democratic Congress (ADC), the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), and the Labour Party, where internal tensions and contested leadership claims have repeatedly spilled into the public domain.
Observers say the trend reflects a broader shift in how political disputes are resolved in Nigeria. Rather than being settled through internal party mechanisms, disagreements are increasingly pushed toward external institutions—particularly the courts and electoral regulators.
The report highlighted the pivotal role of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) in this process. Its decisions on which party factions to recognise can effectively determine leadership outcomes, making it a central actor in intra-party struggles.
While acknowledging INEC’s constitutional mandate, the Observatory cautioned that inconsistent or opaque decision-making could erode public confidence. It called for clearer procedures and stricter adherence to impartiality to prevent the Commission from being perceived as a political arbiter.
Equally significant is the growing reliance on the judiciary to settle political disputes. The report warned that while the courts remain essential for upholding the rule of law, their increasing involvement in intra-party conflicts risks displacing internal governance systems.
Legal interventions, it argued, should serve as a last resort—not a default mechanism.
“When courts become the primary arena for resolving political disagreements, parties gradually lose the capacity to govern themselves,” the report states. “Over time, this weakens the entire democratic ecosystem.”
Beyond institutional concerns, the Observatory drew attention to the implications for ordinary voters. A fragmented political landscape, it said, reduces the clarity and credibility of electoral choices, leaving citizens with options that may lack cohesion or long-term viability.
In such conditions, elections risk becoming procedural exercises rather than meaningful expressions of democratic will.
The report ultimately framed the issue as a national, rather than partisan, challenge. Strengthening the institutional foundations of political competition, it argued, is critical not only for credible elections but also for political stability and governance.
As Nigeria edges closer to another election cycle, the findings serve as a stark reminder that the health of a democracy depends not just on the conduct of elections, but on the strength of the systems that shape them long before ballots are cast.
The Athena Election Observatory said it will continue to publish periodic assessments under its Political Landscape Monitor, offering data-driven insights into the trends shaping Nigeria’s political future.
Athena Observatory Warns of Deepening Structural Risks in Nigeria’s Democracy
News
Korea Seeks Nigerian Manufacturing Shift, Urges Ratification of 20-Year Tax Treaty
Korea Seeks Nigerian Manufacturing Shift, Urges Ratification of 20-Year Tax Treaty
…Ambassador calls for technology transfer, local production and investment beyond oil trade
By: Michael Mike
South Korea has urged Nigeria to restructure its trade relationship with the Asian country by shifting from crude oil exports and imports of manufactured goods to local production, technology transfer and investment in agriculture and industry.
Korean Ambassador to Nigeria, Jeong Yo-an, made the call on Wednesday in Abuja, saying the existing trade pattern had limited the potential of a bilateral relationship worth about $1.1 billion in 2025.
“Today, Nigeria sells us mostly oil and gas. Korea sells mostly cars, electronics and machinery. We can do much more than that,” he said.
Jeong identified local assembly, agricultural machinery production, digital skills, maritime services and emerging industries as priority areas for stronger cooperation.
He also urged Nigeria to ratify the double taxation agreement signed by both countries in 2006, saying the 20-year delay was affecting investor confidence.
He said predictable policies on foreign exchange, customs and taxation were necessary to attract long-term investments.
The ambassador cited the involvement of Korean companies in major Nigerian projects, including Daewoo Engineering and Construction’s work on the Nigeria LNG Train Seven project and the Indorama fertiliser plant. He also named Samsung, LG, Hyundai and Solpia among companies working with Nigerian partners in various sectors.
He encouraged Nigerian businesses to use the Korea Trade-Investment Promotion Agency (KOTRA) office in Lagos to establish links with Korean companies and explore opportunities in the Korean market.
The beauty and cosmetics industry, he added, offered prospects for local distribution, employment and partnerships, with Korean manufacturers expected to participate in the Beauty West Africa exhibition on November 13.
On development cooperation, Jeong said about 2,000 Nigerian government officials had received training in South Korea through the Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA).
He said KOICA’s Smart School project, implemented with the Universal Basic Education Commission, had reached about 8,000 pupils and trained more than 300 teachers and school administrators.
He also highlighted the Abuja Centre for Entrepreneurship, being developed in partnership with the Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria and the United Nations Development Programme. Groundbreaking for the centre took place in September.
The facility is expected to provide young Nigerians with entrepreneurship training, mentorship and connections to finance and markets.
Jeong said Nigerian institutions would operate the centre, while a Training of Trainers programme would build local capacity to sustain its activities.
“A building alone does not create entrepreneurs,” he said, stressing the need to connect start-ups with investors, markets and private-sector operators.
He disclosed that KOICA was also working with the Food and Agriculture Organisation on agricultural initiatives aimed at creating green jobs for Nigerian youths.
Other areas of cooperation include digital development, postgraduate scholarships and government fellowships in information technology, public administration and health. The Nigeria-Korea Information Access Centre, established in Abuja in 2025, is also expected to strengthen digital literacy and access to technology resources.
The ambassador said future partnerships would place greater emphasis on private companies, start-ups and innovators, particularly in artificial intelligence, digital content and technology-based entrepreneurship.
He urged Nigeria to adapt lessons from South Korea’s development experience rather than attempt to replicate its model.
“The key word is not ‘copy’. The key word is ‘adapt’. Nigeria will write its own story. Korea is ready to share what we have learned,” he said.
On diplomatic relations, Jeong cited the 2024 Korea-Africa Summit in Seoul and the first Korea-Africa Foreign Ministers’ Meeting held in June as milestones in strengthening engagement.
He said South Korea welcomed Nigeria’s offer to host the seventh session of the Nigeria-Korea Joint Commission in Abuja.
He also disclosed that South Korea was working towards expanding its Official Development Assistance to $10 billion by 2030 and providing $14 billion in export financing to support Korean companies operating in Africa. The country is also planning to host the second Korea-Africa Summit in 2029.
The ambassador said cultural exchanges remained an important part of bilateral relations, disclosing that more than 300,000 people had participated in programmes organised by the Korean Cultural Centre Nigeria.
He said this year’s Korean Film Festival attracted about 1,000 participants, while the K-pop Festival in Lagos drew more than 400 young people. The 14th Korean Ambassador’s Cup Taekwondo Championship in Abuja also attracted about 350 athletes.
Jeong said the embassy planned to expand cultural activities to more Nigerian cities and universities and promote joint film and music productions. He disclosed that Nigerian creators had already produced two Korean-Nigerian drama productions.
He also pledged to support opportunities for Nigerian journalists to visit South Korea through media exchange programmes, including the World Journalists Conference.
The ambassador, a former military officer who served for 36 years before joining the diplomatic service, said he would focus on practical results during his tenure in Nigeria.
“The army taught me one simple lesson: trust is built when you keep your word. That is how I want to work in Nigeria – with more results,” he said.
Korea Seeks Nigerian Manufacturing Shift, Urges Ratification of 20-Year Tax Treaty
News
ECOWAS, Germany Open Strategic Dialogue as Berlin Commits €49m to West Africa
ECOWAS, Germany Open Strategic Dialogue as Berlin Commits €49m to West Africa
By: Michael Mike
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and Germany have reaffirmed their commitment to strengthening bilateral cooperation, with Germany committing an additional €49 million to support regional development programmes for 2025 and 2026.
The commitment was highlighted during the opening of the strategic dialogue between ECOWAS and Germany in Abuja.

The Vice-President of the ECOWAS Commission, Anthony Ogunjimi, said the engagement marked a renewed approach to cooperation between the regional bloc and Germany, shifting from the traditional concept of consultation to a more strategic, open and constructive partnership.
He said the new strategic dialogue would provide an opportunity for both parties to deepen collaboration and address issues affecting regional development and the welfare of West African citizens.
Germany, which has been a partner to ECOWAS since 1985, has committed approximately €494 million in bilateral technical and financial cooperation over the years.
An additional €49 million was pledged for the 2025–2026 cooperation period during negotiations in November 2025.
The funding comprises €32.8 million for financial cooperation and €16.2 million for technical cooperation.
Ogunjimi, who spoke on behalf of the President of the ECOWAS Commission, Gen. Birame Diop, expressed appreciation to the German government for its longstanding partnership and support for the regional organisation and the people of West Africa.
The meeting was attended by the German Ambassador to Nigeria and ECOWAS, Stefan Rossel; a delegation from Germany’s Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ), led by Karen Pfundt, Head of Division for West Africa II; representatives of the German development agency, GIZ; and directors and senior officials of the ECOWAS Commission.
The strategic dialogue is expected to provide a platform for reviewing existing cooperation and identifying areas for stronger collaboration between Germany and ECOWAS.
ECOWAS, Germany Open Strategic Dialogue as Berlin Commits €49m to West Africa
News
NSCDC Begins Construction of New Gate, Quarter Guard Post, Access Road
NSCDC Begins Construction of New Gate, Quarter Guard Post, Access Road
By: Michael Mike
The Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC) has commenced the construction of a new entrance gate, modern Quarter Guard Post, access road and solar illumination project to strengthen security and improve its operational environment.
The Commandant-General of the Corps, Prof. Ahmed Audi, performed the groundbreaking ceremony for the infrastructure project on Thursday.

A statement issued by the Corps’ National Public Relations Officer, Assistant Commandant of Corps Babawale Afolabi, said the project was designed to strengthen facility security, improve access control and provide a more conducive working environment for personnel.

According to the statement, the project is expected to be completed within eight weeks.
Audi expressed appreciation to President Bola Tinubu and the Minister of Interior, Dr Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo, for their interventions and continued support for the infrastructural development and operational capacity of the Corps.
The Commandant-General said the infrastructure upgrade would support the Corps in discharging its statutory responsibilities more effectively.
The project forms part of efforts to improve the Corps’ facilities and strengthen its operational readiness.
NSCDC Begins Construction of New Gate, Quarter Guard Post, Access Road
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