Politics
El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.
El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.
By: Dr. James Bwala
The recent political maneuver by former governor of Kaduna State, Malam Nasir El-Rufai, left many political observers laughing. El-Rufai remains a new clown in the political arena since his rejection as a minister from Kaduna State under the Tinubu administration. El-Rufai’s defection to the Social Democratic Party (SDP) represents a calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge President Bola Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima’s 2027 reelection bid. El-Rufai’s move, characterized by claims of ideological divergence from the APC, appears more rooted in personal political ambitions than substantive systemic transformation, which he continually hopes Nigerians believe.
Critical analysis suggests that El-Rufai’s defection is symptomatic of intra-elite power reconfiguration rather than a genuine oppositional movement. The strategic repositioning reflects deeper fractures within Nigeria’s political landscape, where elite negotiations supersede meaningful democratic representation. While El-Rufai attempts to mobilize opposition figures like Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar, the fundamental power structures remain remarkably unchanged.
Ultimately, the proposed alliance faces significant challenges. The fragmentation of opposition forces, combined with the APC’s entrenched political machinery, renders El-Rufai’s efforts potentially futile. His defection might be interpreted as a symbolic gesture rather than a substantive challenge to the incumbent administration, highlighting the persistent limitations of Nigeria’s contemporary political dynamics. He has been seen moving from one big political figure to another, including going to the home of the former president in an attempt to give credence to his moves, yet he could not clean up the traces of his aging and diminishing relevance in the circle of politics. Despite El-Rufai’s efforts, the entrenched political dynamics and the lack of a cohesive ideological framework within the opposition diminish the likelihood of any substantial electoral upset in 2027.
The lack of a unified vision and coherent policy proposals among these opposition figures only exacerbates their inability to present a credible alternative to the electorate. Given the historical context of electoral politics in Nigeria, the absence of a cohesive opposition strategy further compounds the challenge of altering the status quo, rendering El-Rufai’s defection more an act of political theater than a catalyst for genuine change. Moreover, the entrenched interests and loyalties within the APC continue to present formidable barriers to any meaningful opposition realignment.
The political landscape appears to be more about individual ambitions and less about a unified front capable of mounting a serious challenge to the incumbent powers. This scenario underscores the cyclical nature of political realignments in Nigeria, where shifts often reflect personal ambitions rather than a genuine ideological departure from established norms. While El-Rufai’s attempts to forge alliances with other opposition figures such as Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, and Rabiu Kwankwaso signal a desire to create a formidable coalition, the reality remains that such alliances often crumble under the weight of competing interests and personal ambitions, leaving the electorate disillusioned with yet another cycle of political theatrics. Moreover, the historical pattern of political defections in Nigeria suggests that such moves are often perceived as mere strategic repositioning rather than genuine ideological shifts.
Despite the theatrical nature of these political maneuvers, the entrenched power dynamics and loyalty networks within Nigeria’s political landscape make it exceedingly difficult for any new coalition, no matter how strategically crafted, to truly upend the status quo. While El-Rufai’s intentions may appear bold, they are unlikely to disrupt the deeply entrenched political machinery that has long favored incumbents like Tinubu and Shettima.
Despite these efforts, the pervasive influence of existing political structures suggests that any such coalition is more likely to fracture under pressure rather than mount a successful challenge. Given the entrenched interests and historical voting patterns, it appears unlikely that such a coalition could effectively disrupt the established political dominance of Tinubu and Shettima in the upcoming election. This skepticism is further compounded by the perception that El-Rufai’s defection and subsequent coalition-building efforts are more about personal political survival than a genuine commitment to transformative change. Despite the apparent allure of a united front, the reality remains that these alliances often falter under the weight of conflicting agendas and entrenched political loyalties. Moreover, the historical precedent of political realignments in Nigeria often results in temporary alliances that lack the cohesion necessary to present a formidable challenge to established power structures.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/tinubushettima-the-epidemic-of-economic-insecurity-in-nigeria/
The skepticism surrounding El-Rufai’s defection is echoed by the Nigerian Presidency and APC, who dismiss his move as a futile endeavor motivated by personal ambition rather than a genuine ideological shift. Indeed, El-Rufai’s maneuver is less about ideological realignment and more a reconfiguration of elite power dynamics within the ruling class. As observed by many political analysts, the political landscape remains largely unchanged, with the same elite power dynamics at play, suggesting that any perceived threat from El-Rufai’s move is unlikely to materialize into a significant challenge.
This skepticism is further reinforced by the broader historical context of Nigerian politics, where similar attempts to consolidate opposition forces have often unraveled due to internal dissent and the prioritization of individual ambitions over collective goals. Additionally, the inherent volatility of such coalitions, often marred by a lack of unified vision and the dominance of competing interests, further diminishes their potential to unseat entrenched incumbents. Historical patterns also suggest that such coalitions often struggle to sustain momentum and coherence, especially when faced with the entrenched influence of incumbents like Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima.
Given this context, El-Rufai’s efforts to rally opposition figures like Peter Obi and others around the SDP banner might appear ambitious, but without a cohesive strategy or compelling ideological narrative, such alliances are prone to fragmentation and ultimately ineffectual in altering the prevailing status quo.
The entrenched political machinery supporting President Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima possesses significant resources and influence, making it a formidable barrier for any nascent coalition lacking internal solidarity and a resonant national platform. Despite these strategic maneuvers, the historical precedent and current political landscape suggest that El-Rufai’s efforts may ultimately falter against the deeply entrenched systems supporting Tinubu and Shettima.
The historical resilience of incumbent structures in Nigerian politics, characterized by their adept patronage networks and control over vital state apparatuses, presents another significant challenge for any opposition coalition seeking to disrupt the status quo. Without a clear ideological foundation and a unified agenda that resonates with the broader electorate, such attempts are often perceived as mere political repositioning rather than genuine efforts to instigate meaningful change. In 2027, President Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima will take the oath again for the second time, and El-Rufai will still have no political credibility to make a difference in Nigeria’s political circle.
* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.
El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.
2027: Day Borno Welcomes Engr. Mustapha Gubio
By: Hon. Yusuf Adamu
Borno State has always been marked by fervent enthusiasm and a deep-seated commitment to progress. On the historic day when Engr. Mustapha Gubio emerged from the aircraft at Borno’s airport, greeted by an overwhelming sea of supporters, it became evident that a new era was dawning—one that promises unity, development, and sustainable governance. The moment when His Excellency, Professor Babagana Umara Zulum, lifted Gubio’s hand high in the air symbolized more than just a gesture. It was a powerful declaration to the people of Borno and beyond that Engr. Mustapha Gubio is the indisputable consensus candidate for the All Progressives Congress (APC) governorship ticket in 2027.
The remarkably large turnout at the airport upon Engr. Mustapha Gubio’s homecoming underscores a unified political front within the APC and the trust bestowed upon him by Borno’s citizens. The crowd was not merely a gathering; it was a vivid demonstration that the 2027 elections are effectively sealed in favor of the APC. This overwhelming support is a testament to the collective belief that Gubio embodies the qualities necessary to lead Borno towards sustained growth and prosperity. In a region often challenged by security concerns and developmental hurdles, such unity is critical. It signals to all stakeholders that the people of Borno are rallying behind a leader whose vision aligns with their aspirations for peace, stability, and economic advancement.
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Also, the presence of influential political figures at the event solidifies the legitimacy and strength of Engr. Mustapha Gubio’s candidacy. Distinguished personalities such as the Minister of Agriculture, Senator Abubakar Kyari, whose influence transcends local boundaries, were visibly present and supportive. Alongside him were other key elected representatives, including Senator Kaka Shehu Lawan and members of the House of Representatives, all signaling unwavering allegiance to the APC’s chosen candidate. Their participation does not only lend political weight to Gubio’s campaign but also projects a message of solidarity and collaboration across different tiers of government. Such cohesion is essential for crafting and implementing policies that can address the multifaceted challenges facing Borno.
The demographic diversity of the crowd—youths, women, senior citizens, and children, who greeted his arrival—reflects an inclusive political movement that transcends age, gender, and social strata. This inclusivity is fundamental in fostering a sense of belonging and collective responsibility among citizens. The youths’ enthusiastic participation is especially significant; as the backbone of tomorrow’s workforce and leadership, their endorsement signals hope for innovative approaches and energizing youth-led initiatives in governance. Women, who often bear the brunt of economic and social hardships, demonstrated their support as well, hinting at a future administration that will be sensitive to gender-specific issues and committed to empowering women economically and socially. Senior citizens, carrying the wisdom of experience, also stood in solidarity, showing that Gubio’s leadership enjoys broad generational support—a crucial factor for sustainable peace and continuity.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/pastor-jerry-eze-efccs-endorsement-for-righteousness-after-six-month-probe-for-money-laundering/
Beyond the optics of political alliances and public enthusiasm, the event epitomizes Borno’s resilience and rising spirit after years of adversity. Historically, Borno has confronted significant security threats and humanitarian challenges that have tested its very fabric. The unity displayed at the airport sends a clear signal that the people of Borno have risen above divisive sentiments and are eager to embrace a future characterized by cooperation and constructive engagement. It is a clarion call that the time for fragmentation has passed and that collaborative governance is the pathway forward. Engr. Mustapha Gubio’s candidacy, therefore, is not merely a political milestone; it symbolizes a beacon of hope and a catalyst for transforming Borno into a model state of progress and peace.
Critically, the choice of Engr. Mustapha Gubio aligns perfectly with the needs of Borno at this crucial juncture. With his engineering background and experience in public service, Gubio brings a pragmatic, solution-oriented mindset to governance. The complexities of rebuilding infrastructure, enhancing security, and promoting economic diversification demand technical expertise coupled with visionary leadership. Gubio’s track record indicates that he possesses these attributes, making him uniquely qualified to spearhead initiatives that would stimulate growth, improve living standards, and foster social cohesion. His leadership promises to harness innovation and strategic planning to address longstanding issues, from rebuilding communities ravaged by conflict to improving essential services such as health, education, and transportation.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/pastor-jerry-eze-efccs-endorsement-for-righteousness-after-six-month-probe-for-money-laundering/
The endorsement by Governor Babagana Umara Zulum reinforces the message that continuity in leadership, paired with fresh and capable hands, is vital for Borno’s ongoing recovery and development. Governor Zulum’s administration has been widely recognized for its commitment to transparency, infrastructural development, and human capital investment. By publicly lifting Gubio’s hand, Zulum has not only conferred legitimacy but also assured the continuity of these developmental agendas, ensuring that the progress achieved so far will not be reversed but rather accelerated under Gubio’s stewardship. This seamless transition within the APC framework enhances political stability, which investors and development partners closely monitor as a prerequisite for engagement.
Another persuasive element stems from the APC’s portrayal as “one family,” a phrase poignantly echoed during the reception. Political fragmentation has often undermined development efforts in Nigerian states, including Borno. However, the APC’s unity demonstrates a matured political culture that prioritizes collective good over individual ambitions or factional rivalries. This unity translates directly into stable governance, efficient policy implementation, and a reduction in electoral violence—issues that have historically hampered progress in the region. For the citizenry, the image of a united APC means less political uncertainty and more focus on tangible outcomes such as job creation, improved healthcare, and educational advancement.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/pastor-jerry-eze-efccs-endorsement-for-righteousness-after-six-month-probe-for-money-laundering/
Looking forward, the implications of this consensus extend beyond the immediate political cycle. It paves the way for a governance model grounded in inclusivity, competence, and shared vision. Stakeholders—from traditional leaders to civil society groups—can rally behind a single candidate whose mandate is broadly accepted, reducing the risk of post-election disputes and fostering an environment ripe for engagement and partnership. This foundation is indispensable for Borno’s transformation, enabling policies that attract investments, encourage entrepreneurship, and invigorate social programs tailored to the unique needs of its diverse population.
The day Borno welcomed Engr. Mustapha Gubio was more than a political event—it was an affirmation of unity, hope, and determination. The overwhelming crowd, the presence of distinguished political leaders, and the symbolic hand-raising by Governor Babagana Umara Zulum collectively sent an unmistakable message: Borno State is entering a phase of consolidated strength and visionary leadership under the APC banner. Engr. Mustapha Gubio’s emergence as the consensus candidate encapsulates the aspirations of a resilient people ready to transcend past challenges and embrace a prosperous future. As we approach the 2027 elections, it is clear that Borno stands united, steadfast, and prepared for the promising journey ahead under the guiding hand of Engr. Mustapha Gubio. The time for progress has arrived, and Borno’s destiny lies in the fulfillment of this shared dream.
* Hon. Yusuf Adamu writes from Maiduguri.
2027: Day Borno Welcomes Engr. Mustapha Gubio
Adamawa North Senatorial seat: Gov. Fintiri pledges good representation
Governor Ahmadu Fintiri of Adamawa has formally accepted to contest the senatorial seat to represent Adamawa North under the platform of All Progressives Congress APC following clarion calls by stakeholders from the zone.
Fintiri formally accepted the call in Mubi Local Government Area of Adamawa State after serving two terms in office as the governor of the state.
“I accept the call in the name of Allah and since I didn’t fail you as the governor, I promised you that I will not fail you in the Senate”, Fintiri said.
He promised good representation at the senate and to attract people-oriented projects for the development of the zone.
Fintiri called on aspirants to understand that at the end of the primaries only one aspirant would emerge as candidate in various positions.
He called on them to accept the outcome of the primaries and to remain united for the victory of the party, other candidates and President Bola Tinubu.
Fintiri thanked and appreciated the support given to him and called on the youth not to allow themselves to be used by some politicians to destroy their future.
He also drummed support for President Tinubu and all candidates under the platform of APC for more dividends of democracy.
He pledged to canvas for votes to President Bola Tinubu to ensure his re-election in 2027 election.
According to him, it is now time for Nigerians to reap the benefit of the policies and programmes initiated by the Tinubu administration.
He added that the hardship faced by some people would soon be history as the gains of Tinubu’s reforms would secure better dividends of democracy for Nigerians.
In his remarks, Sen. Amos Yohana, who is currently on the seat expressed readiness to support Gov. Fintiri because of the calls by the stakeholders for Fintiri to replace him.
He also contributed the sum of N20 million for the purchase of the aspiration form for Fintiri.
Earlier in his address, Mr Sale Kingiri, one of the stakeholders disclosed that no fewer than 10, 000 people in the zone made a clarion call for Fintiri to contest for senate in view of his capacity.
He said having Fintiri in the Senate was a pride not only for the zone but the nation due to his sterling performance as the governor.
Gov. Fintiri also paid homage to the emir of Mubi, Alhaji Abubakar Ahmadu.
Adamawa North Senatorial seat: Gov. Fintiri pledges good representation
Borno APC Stakeholders Endorse Tinubu, Shettima for 2027, Signal Early Political Realignment
By: Michael Mike
In a move that underscores early political positioning ahead of Nigeria’s next general elections, key stakeholders of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Borno State have formally endorsed President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima for a second term in 2027.
The endorsement, announced during a high-level gathering at the Government House Multipurpose Hall in Maiduguri on Saturday, signals a consolidation of political support in one of the APC’s strongest northern bases. Party leaders, government officials, and influential grassroots mobilizers unanimously pledged to rally voters across the state to ensure the continuity of the Tinubu administration.
Addressing the stakeholders, Borno State Governor Babagana Umara Zulum described the endorsement as both a vote of confidence in the current administration and a strategic commitment to sustaining ongoing reforms. He emphasized that the Tinubu-Shettima leadership had demonstrated resolve in tackling Nigeria’s complex security and economic challenges.
According to Zulum, Borno State—long at the epicenter of insurgency—has witnessed renewed federal attention in security coordination, humanitarian interventions, and reconstruction efforts. He noted that continuity in leadership would be critical to consolidating these gains, particularly in the North-East where recovery from years of conflict remains fragile.
“The support for President Tinubu and Vice President Shettima is rooted in performance and trust,” Zulum said. “Borno has seen firsthand the impact of leadership that understands our realities and is committed to long-term stability.”
Borno’s Strategic Role in APC Politics
Borno State holds significant political weight within the APC, not only as a consistent electoral stronghold but also as the political base of Vice President Shettima, a former governor of the state. Since the party’s formation in 2013 and its landmark victory in the 2015 elections, Borno has remained central to APC’s dominance in the North-East.
The state’s political influence is further amplified by its frontline status in Nigeria’s fight against insurgency. Years of conflict involving Boko Haram and ISWAP insurgents have shaped national security policies and elevated Borno’s importance in federal decision-making. As a result, endorsements from the state often carry symbolic and strategic significance for national campaigns.
Political analysts view the early endorsement as part of a broader effort by APC stakeholders to stabilize internal party structures and project unity well ahead of the 2027 elections. It also reflects a growing trend of pre-election alignments aimed at discouraging intra-party rivalries and consolidating incumbency advantages.
Momentum Builds Toward 2027
Saturday’s declaration comes amid ongoing national debates over economic reforms, security challenges, and governance priorities under the Tinubu administration. While opposition parties are expected to intensify criticism in the coming years, the APC appears to be laying the groundwork for a coordinated re-election campaign.
Stakeholders at the Maiduguri meeting pledged to embark on extensive grassroots mobilization, voter engagement, and party strengthening initiatives across all local government areas in Borno. They also called on other APC-controlled states to replicate similar endorsements to build a nationwide consensus.
As Nigeria moves deeper into its current electoral cycle, the Borno endorsement highlights how regional political blocs are already shaping the contours of the 2027 race—long before official campaigns begin.
Borno APC Stakeholders Endorse Tinubu, Shettima for 2027, Signal Early Political Realignment
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