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El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.

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Malam Nasir El-Rufai, former governor, Kaduna state

El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.

By: Dr. James Bwala

The recent political maneuver by former governor of Kaduna State, Malam Nasir El-Rufai, left many political observers laughing. El-Rufai remains a new clown in the political arena since his rejection as a minister from Kaduna State under the Tinubu administration. El-Rufai’s defection to the Social Democratic Party (SDP) represents a calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge President Bola Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima’s 2027 reelection bid. El-Rufai’s move, characterized by claims of ideological divergence from the APC, appears more rooted in personal political ambitions than substantive systemic transformation, which he continually hopes Nigerians believe. 

Critical analysis suggests that El-Rufai’s defection is symptomatic of intra-elite power reconfiguration rather than a genuine oppositional movement. The strategic repositioning reflects deeper fractures within Nigeria’s political landscape, where elite negotiations supersede meaningful democratic representation. While El-Rufai attempts to mobilize opposition figures like Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar, the fundamental power structures remain remarkably unchanged.

Ultimately, the proposed alliance faces significant challenges. The fragmentation of opposition forces, combined with the APC’s entrenched political machinery, renders El-Rufai’s efforts potentially futile. His defection might be interpreted as a symbolic gesture rather than a substantive challenge to the incumbent administration, highlighting the persistent limitations of Nigeria’s contemporary political dynamics. He has been seen moving from one big political figure to another, including going to the home of the former president in an attempt to give credence to his moves, yet he could not clean up the traces of his aging and diminishing relevance in the circle of politics. Despite El-Rufai’s efforts, the entrenched political dynamics and the lack of a cohesive ideological framework within the opposition diminish the likelihood of any substantial electoral upset in 2027.

The lack of a unified vision and coherent policy proposals among these opposition figures only exacerbates their inability to present a credible alternative to the electorate. Given the historical context of electoral politics in Nigeria, the absence of a cohesive opposition strategy further compounds the challenge of altering the status quo, rendering El-Rufai’s defection more an act of political theater than a catalyst for genuine change. Moreover, the entrenched interests and loyalties within the APC continue to present formidable barriers to any meaningful opposition realignment. 

The political landscape appears to be more about individual ambitions and less about a unified front capable of mounting a serious challenge to the incumbent powers. This scenario underscores the cyclical nature of political realignments in Nigeria, where shifts often reflect personal ambitions rather than a genuine ideological departure from established norms. While El-Rufai’s attempts to forge alliances with other opposition figures such as Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, and Rabiu Kwankwaso signal a desire to create a formidable coalition, the reality remains that such alliances often crumble under the weight of competing interests and personal ambitions, leaving the electorate disillusioned with yet another cycle of political theatrics. Moreover, the historical pattern of political defections in Nigeria suggests that such moves are often perceived as mere strategic repositioning rather than genuine ideological shifts. 

Despite the theatrical nature of these political maneuvers, the entrenched power dynamics and loyalty networks within Nigeria’s political landscape make it exceedingly difficult for any new coalition, no matter how strategically crafted, to truly upend the status quo. While El-Rufai’s intentions may appear bold, they are unlikely to disrupt the deeply entrenched political machinery that has long favored incumbents like Tinubu and Shettima. 

Despite these efforts, the pervasive influence of existing political structures suggests that any such coalition is more likely to fracture under pressure rather than mount a successful challenge. Given the entrenched interests and historical voting patterns, it appears unlikely that such a coalition could effectively disrupt the established political dominance of Tinubu and Shettima in the upcoming election. This skepticism is further compounded by the perception that El-Rufai’s defection and subsequent coalition-building efforts are more about personal political survival than a genuine commitment to transformative change. Despite the apparent allure of a united front, the reality remains that these alliances often falter under the weight of conflicting agendas and entrenched political loyalties. Moreover, the historical precedent of political realignments in Nigeria often results in temporary alliances that lack the cohesion necessary to present a formidable challenge to established power structures. 

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/tinubushettima-the-epidemic-of-economic-insecurity-in-nigeria/

The skepticism surrounding El-Rufai’s defection is echoed by the Nigerian Presidency and APC, who dismiss his move as a futile endeavor motivated by personal ambition rather than a genuine ideological shift. Indeed, El-Rufai’s maneuver is less about ideological realignment and more a reconfiguration of elite power dynamics within the ruling class. As observed by many political analysts, the political landscape remains largely unchanged, with the same elite power dynamics at play, suggesting that any perceived threat from El-Rufai’s move is unlikely to materialize into a significant challenge.

This skepticism is further reinforced by the broader historical context of Nigerian politics, where similar attempts to consolidate opposition forces have often unraveled due to internal dissent and the prioritization of individual ambitions over collective goals. Additionally, the inherent volatility of such coalitions, often marred by a lack of unified vision and the dominance of competing interests, further diminishes their potential to unseat entrenched incumbents. Historical patterns also suggest that such coalitions often struggle to sustain momentum and coherence, especially when faced with the entrenched influence of incumbents like Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima.

Given this context, El-Rufai’s efforts to rally opposition figures like Peter Obi and others around the SDP banner might appear ambitious, but without a cohesive strategy or compelling ideological narrative, such alliances are prone to fragmentation and ultimately ineffectual in altering the prevailing status quo. 

The entrenched political machinery supporting President Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima possesses significant resources and influence, making it a formidable barrier for any nascent coalition lacking internal solidarity and a resonant national platform. Despite these strategic maneuvers, the historical precedent and current political landscape suggest that El-Rufai’s efforts may ultimately falter against the deeply entrenched systems supporting Tinubu and Shettima.

The historical resilience of incumbent structures in Nigerian politics, characterized by their adept patronage networks and control over vital state apparatuses, presents another significant challenge for any opposition coalition seeking to disrupt the status quo. Without a clear ideological foundation and a unified agenda that resonates with the broader electorate, such attempts are often perceived as mere political repositioning rather than genuine efforts to instigate meaningful change. In 2027, President Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima will take the oath again for the second time, and El-Rufai will still have no political credibility to make a difference in Nigeria’s political circle. 

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.

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The Beneshiekh Alumni Reunion Meeting: Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu’s ₦50,000,000 Support—A Testament to Leadership and Commitment

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Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu

The Beneshiekh Alumni Reunion Meeting: Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu’s ₦50,000,000 Support—A Testament to Leadership and Commitment

By: Dr. James Bwala

The Beneshiekh Alumni Reunion Meeting, held on December 6, 2025, at the Federal Neuropsychiatric Hospital, Maiduguri, Borno State, showcased a moment of unity, gratitude, and inspiration. Under the esteemed leadership of His Royal Highness Alh (Dr.) Shehu Hashimi II Ibn Shehu Umar Al’amin El-kanemi, this gathering brought together an array of individuals who share a common bond through their educational background. However, the focal point of the event was the commendation of one of their own, Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu, whose unwavering commitment to his constituents and remarkable leadership qualities struck a chord with all attendees. 

Represented by Mr. Samaila Ayuba (Kojak), Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu’s influence reverberated throughout the auditorium during the reunion meeting. As the member representing the Biu, Kwaya-Kusar, Bayo, and Shani federal constituency, he epitomizes what it means to be a servant leader. His distinct approach towards governance, combined with his proactive humanitarian efforts, has set a standard for political representatives. Attendees lauded his initiatives, which range from infrastructural development projects to educational programs, ensuring that the essence of democracy—serving the people—is alive and robust in his leadership style.

Mr. Samaila Ayuba (Kojak)

One cannot understate the significance of these accolades bestowed upon Hon. Betara Aliyu during the reunion. Each narrative shared about his contributions illustrated a profound understanding of the needs of his constituents, encapsulating empathy as a core driver of effective leadership. The alumni’s praise for him serves as a reminder that elected officials must prioritize the welfare of the communities they serve. In an era where political apathy is rampant and disillusionment with public figures prevails, Hon. Betara Aliyu stands as a beacon of hope. He demonstrates that political authority can indeed align with genuine care for the populace’s well-being.

Also, Hon. Betara Aliyu’s gesture of announcing a substantial donation of fifty million naira (₦50,000,000.00) as transportation support for the attendees further exemplifies his dedication. This act transcends mere financial assistance; it displays an extraordinary commitment to inclusivity and participation. By facilitating the attendance of fellow alumni, he not only strengthens bonds among them but also underscores the importance of collective engagement in societal issues. It is essential to recognize that true leadership extends beyond policy-making; it often manifests in the tangible ways leaders empower others to come together and collaborate for common goals.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/the-voice-of-dan-balki-an-attempt-to-derail-the-gains-of-building-a-stronger-north-with-vp-kashim-shettima-as-jagoran-arewa/

In the context of political gatherings like the Beneshiekh Alumni Reunion, the communal prayers and wishes expressed for Hon. Betara Aliyu’s success in his political endeavors are deeply significant. They form a spiritual and moral foundation that fortifies his current initiatives and future aspirations. Such collective support is vital for leaders navigating the complexities of political life. The tribute paid to him at this meeting signifies a communal affirmation of shared values rooted in integrity, compassion, and respect—all pivotal for sustainable governance.

As we reflect on the commendation of Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu, it becomes essential to advocate for a paradigm shift among aspiring leaders who may look towards politics as a means of personal gain rather than community upliftment. Drawing lessons from this event, potential candidates in Nigeria must embrace the ethos exhibited by Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu. They ought to engage with their communities meaningfully, develop sustainable initiatives, and foster relationships built on trust and transparency. It is incumbent upon those seeking to serve the public to inject a sense of purpose into their pursuits, recognizing that their actions directly impact the lives of their constituents.

Indeed, alumni networks such as the Beneshiekh group play a crucial role in propelling social change. They possess the unique capacity to mobilize resources, share knowledge, and create platforms for collaboration among individuals who have walked similar educational paths. The Beneshiekh Alumni Reunion Meeting should be viewed not only as a celebration of fellowship but also as a catalyst for ongoing dialogues on community issues. Participants should leverage this network to propose initiatives that align with Hon. Betara Aliyu’s vision for development. By working collectively, they can amplify their voices and foster a culture of mutual accountability among both leaders and constituents.

Lastly, it is worth emphasizing that lasting change is not an overnight endeavor. The reunion meeting serves as a reminder that the path to effective leadership involves continuous learning, adaptation, and engagement. To retain the spirit of this gathering, members should consider forming committees focused on specific issues within their constituencies, guiding future leaders to action based on the best practices exemplified by Hon. Betara Aliyu. The key lies in maintaining momentum and harnessing the collective potential of the alumni network, thus establishing a legacy anchored in activism and civic responsibility.

The Beneshiekh Alumni Reunion Meeting offered more than a chance to reminisce; it provided an opportunity to reaffirm the values and responsibilities of leadership. Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu’s recognition serves as a catalyst for inspiring countless individuals to commit to public service with integrity and compassion. As communities grapple with various socio-economic challenges, let the words of gratitude and prayers offered during this gathering translate into actionable steps that pave the way for a brighter future. Indeed, alumni and community leaders should collectively hold each other accountable, ensuring that aspirations and actions reflect a genuine commitment to the society we serve.

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Maiduguri.

The Beneshiekh Alumni Reunion Meeting: Hon. Muktari Betara Aliyu’s ₦50,000,000 Support—A Testament to Leadership and Commitment

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The Voice of Dan Balki: An Attempt to Derail the Gains of Building a Stronger North with VP Kashim Shettima as “Jagoran Arewa”

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VP Shettima

The Voice of Dan Balki: An Attempt to Derail the Gains of Building a Stronger North with VP Kashim Shettima as “Jagoran Arewa”

By: Dr. James Bwala

The emergence of influential voices and opposing forces shapes not only the political ideologies in the North but also the trajectories of leadership, particularly now that the North is seeking one true leader under its umbrella to champion the course of the North returning history to the glorious days of its shining. Many voices supporting the One North rise are rallying around Nigeria’s vice president, Kashim Shettina. But opposing forces are marching in their characters and building on rented voices. One such figure is Dan Balki, whose rhetoric and activism against Vice President Kashim Shettima embody a larger struggle for the soul of Northern Nigeria. As Shettima assumes the mantle of “Jagoran Arewa,” or the leader of the North, by his position as Nigeria’s vice president, it becomes paramount to dissect the implications of Dan Balki’s recent opposition and the collective efforts of dissenting factions aiming to undermine Shettima’s God-given position of leadership chosen from amongst hundreds and perhaps thousands who feel equally important for this ambitious position.

Despite the pushback posed by Dan Balki and his allies, Shettima’s vision for a stronger North remains valid and essential for the region’s socio-political and economic advancement. To understand the contentious relationship between Dan Balki and Shettima, we must first delve into the historical context that has plagued Northern Nigeria. The North has faced myriad challenges ranging from economic deprivation, educational underachievement, and security concerns, culminating in a loss of political power and relevance on the national stage. In this atmosphere of disillusionment and tension, Shettima, formerly the Governor of Borno State, emerged as a beacon of hope, propelled by his development initiatives and commitment to addressing the unique challenges facing the North. His policies aimed at fostering unity, peace, and economic revitalization resonate deeply amidst a populace yearning for effective leadership.

However, the recent emergence of vocal opponents like Dan Balki signifies a critical fracture within Northern politics. Dan Balki’s narrative encapsulates a blend of regionalist sentiment and skepticism towards Shettima’s administration by powerful individuals who are not satisfied with the position they currently occupy. Framing Shettima as a pawn of broader national politics, these individuals are using Dan Balki to leverage populist rhetoric to cultivate dissent among constituents, thus sowing seeds of division. His recent arguments often highlight grievances related to perceived neglect of certain local interests or failure to adequately involve grassroots stakeholders in decision-making processes. These tactics are reminiscent of age-old political maneuverings in which leaders are pitted against one another to create distractions from pressing issues.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/general-christopher-g-musa-a-pillar-of-integrity-and-commitment/

The impact of Dan Balki’s voice should not be underestimated. He serves as a reminder of the plurality of opinions in Nigerian politics—a reflection of diverse aspirations and ideologies within the Northern constituency. Yet, while this multiplicity is vital for democracy, it can also hinder progress if left unchecked. Dan Balki’s continued criticisms could lead to a paralysis of governance, where leaders are more preoccupied with countering dissent than implementing crucial reforms. Such a scenario would ultimately serve only to stifle the progress Shettima seeks to achieve.

Counterarguments may posit that Dan Balki’s resistance stems from legitimate grievances that reflect the authentic desires of constituents. To some extent, this claim holds merit. Indeed, Shettima must engage with various stakeholders across the North to solidify his position and capitalize on the victories he has championed. However, it is essential to distinguish constructive criticism from polarized antagonism. True leadership demands an understanding of nuance—a recognition that dissent can serve as both a catalyst for improvement and an obstacle to advancement. For Shettima, navigating this political minefield necessitates a thoughtful approach that embraces dialogue while remaining steadfast in his vision for the North.

A crucial aspect of Shettima’s agenda is his commitment to economic development through infrastructural investment, education, and youth empowerment. These pillars are foundational for fostering a prosperous Northern region capable of competing on both national and global fronts. The initiatives launched during his gubernatorial tenure offer a glimpse into what can be achieved under his leadership. For instance, Shettima’s focus on rebuilding Borno State post-insurgency, including enhancing agricultural outputs and technological advancements, sets a precedent for sustainable growth. Detractors like Dan Balki may diminish these achievements, but the empirical evidence supports Shettima’s vision as one rooted in practicality and necessity.

Indeed, it is crucial to consider the broader implications of Shettima’s role within the national government. As vice president, he occupies a platform that allows for broader advocacy and representation of Northern interests on the national stage. Rather than viewing this as a dilution of regional identity, constituents should recognize the potential for leveraging such a position to attract investments and foster collaborations that align with the North’s unique challenges. Rather than allowing Dan Balki’s divisive rhetoric to distract from this opportunity, it is imperative for Shettima to delineate how his policies can yield tangible benefits for the entire region.

Shettima’s commitment to unity is a cornerstone of his political philosophy. In a region often fractured by tribal, religious, and political divides, embracing a narrative of togetherness becomes increasingly significant. While Dan Balki’s voice echoes sentiments of dissatisfaction, it is vital to counter those sentiments with positive, inclusive narratives that speak to shared goals and aspirations. Campaigns highlighting collaborative projects and inter-ethnic dialogues would demonstrate that Shettima is not merely a politician operating in isolation but rather a leader attuned to the complexities of Northern Nigeria’s social fabric.

A concerted effort towards grassroots mobilization can effectively mitigate the influence of opposition voices. Building a robust network of community engagement initiatives that directly involve citizens in discussions about their needs and expectations can circumvent the narrative of discontent framed by Dan Balki. By amplifying local voices within the decision-making process, Shettima can reinforce a sense of ownership among constituents, thereby reducing the allure of oppositional figures who thrive on creating rifts.

The challenge posed by Dan Balki and other opposing forces underscores the dynamic nature of political discourse in Northern Nigeria. While dissent is a natural element within any democracy, the prioritization of progress over partisanship is essential. As the North charts its path forward, the ability to unite diverse voices behind a collective objective will determine the strength and resilience of the region. Shettima’s position as “Jagoran Arewa” epitomizes an opportunity to rally support around a shared identity, catalyzing a movement towards rejuvenation and prosperity.

The voice of Dan Balki serves as a reminder of the complexities inherent in politics, particularly in a region as diverse and historically rich as Northern Nigeria. Nevertheless, beneath the noise of dissent lies an opportunity for growth and transformation. As Vice President Kashim Shettima navigates this political landscape, his focus must remain unwavering—centering on building a stronger, more cohesive North. Through strategic engagement, inclusive dialogue, and an unwavering commitment to the aspirations of the people, Shettima has the potential to rise above opposition and pave the way for a brighter future. In the face of adversity, true leadership is defined not solely by the absence of dissent but by the ability to harness divergent views to forge a path towards unity and progress.

* * James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

The Voice of Dan Balki: An Attempt to Derail the Gains of Building a Stronger North with VP Kashim Shettima as “Jagoran Arewa”

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PDP Convention: Group backs Gov. Fintiri, Madagali

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PDP Convention: Group backs Gov. Fintiri, Madagali

Ganye Chiefdom has passed a vote of confidence in the leadership of Gov. Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri of Adamawa as Chairman, 2025 PDP National Convention and Alhaji Hamza Madagali, party Chairman Adamawa Chapter ahead of 2027 General Elections.

The Chiefdom comprises Ganye, Tango and Jada Local Government Areas including part of Mayo-Belwa.

Alhaji Kashim Jidda, leader of the delegation stated this when they paid a solidarity visit to the newly elected executive of the party in the state in Yola.

He said, Gov. Fintiri has laid a legacy in the state and assured their loyalty and support for the success of the party from the grassroots up to the national level.

Jidda appealed to Fintiri to reconstruct Ganye-Jada road to ease the suffering of people and to boost the economic activities in the area.

He also urged Fintiri to find a credible person who would succeed him after his two terms in office to sustain the success and progress of the state.

In his remarks, Madagali expressed appreciation for the visit and described it as one of the special visits to the party.

He commended the Chiefdom for supporting the party during the recent by-election in the area.

According to him, with that they have confidence in them and urged them to double their effort to ensure the success of the party to come 2027 General Elections.

“Going by the constitution of the country and that of the party nobody can stop PDP from winning the election in the forthcoming general election”, he said.

PDP Convention: Group backs Gov. Fintiri, Madagali

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