Politics
El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.
El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.
By: Dr. James Bwala
The recent political maneuver by former governor of Kaduna State, Malam Nasir El-Rufai, left many political observers laughing. El-Rufai remains a new clown in the political arena since his rejection as a minister from Kaduna State under the Tinubu administration. El-Rufai’s defection to the Social Democratic Party (SDP) represents a calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge President Bola Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima’s 2027 reelection bid. El-Rufai’s move, characterized by claims of ideological divergence from the APC, appears more rooted in personal political ambitions than substantive systemic transformation, which he continually hopes Nigerians believe.
Critical analysis suggests that El-Rufai’s defection is symptomatic of intra-elite power reconfiguration rather than a genuine oppositional movement. The strategic repositioning reflects deeper fractures within Nigeria’s political landscape, where elite negotiations supersede meaningful democratic representation. While El-Rufai attempts to mobilize opposition figures like Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar, the fundamental power structures remain remarkably unchanged.
Ultimately, the proposed alliance faces significant challenges. The fragmentation of opposition forces, combined with the APC’s entrenched political machinery, renders El-Rufai’s efforts potentially futile. His defection might be interpreted as a symbolic gesture rather than a substantive challenge to the incumbent administration, highlighting the persistent limitations of Nigeria’s contemporary political dynamics. He has been seen moving from one big political figure to another, including going to the home of the former president in an attempt to give credence to his moves, yet he could not clean up the traces of his aging and diminishing relevance in the circle of politics. Despite El-Rufai’s efforts, the entrenched political dynamics and the lack of a cohesive ideological framework within the opposition diminish the likelihood of any substantial electoral upset in 2027.
The lack of a unified vision and coherent policy proposals among these opposition figures only exacerbates their inability to present a credible alternative to the electorate. Given the historical context of electoral politics in Nigeria, the absence of a cohesive opposition strategy further compounds the challenge of altering the status quo, rendering El-Rufai’s defection more an act of political theater than a catalyst for genuine change. Moreover, the entrenched interests and loyalties within the APC continue to present formidable barriers to any meaningful opposition realignment.
The political landscape appears to be more about individual ambitions and less about a unified front capable of mounting a serious challenge to the incumbent powers. This scenario underscores the cyclical nature of political realignments in Nigeria, where shifts often reflect personal ambitions rather than a genuine ideological departure from established norms. While El-Rufai’s attempts to forge alliances with other opposition figures such as Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, and Rabiu Kwankwaso signal a desire to create a formidable coalition, the reality remains that such alliances often crumble under the weight of competing interests and personal ambitions, leaving the electorate disillusioned with yet another cycle of political theatrics. Moreover, the historical pattern of political defections in Nigeria suggests that such moves are often perceived as mere strategic repositioning rather than genuine ideological shifts.
Despite the theatrical nature of these political maneuvers, the entrenched power dynamics and loyalty networks within Nigeria’s political landscape make it exceedingly difficult for any new coalition, no matter how strategically crafted, to truly upend the status quo. While El-Rufai’s intentions may appear bold, they are unlikely to disrupt the deeply entrenched political machinery that has long favored incumbents like Tinubu and Shettima.
Despite these efforts, the pervasive influence of existing political structures suggests that any such coalition is more likely to fracture under pressure rather than mount a successful challenge. Given the entrenched interests and historical voting patterns, it appears unlikely that such a coalition could effectively disrupt the established political dominance of Tinubu and Shettima in the upcoming election. This skepticism is further compounded by the perception that El-Rufai’s defection and subsequent coalition-building efforts are more about personal political survival than a genuine commitment to transformative change. Despite the apparent allure of a united front, the reality remains that these alliances often falter under the weight of conflicting agendas and entrenched political loyalties. Moreover, the historical precedent of political realignments in Nigeria often results in temporary alliances that lack the cohesion necessary to present a formidable challenge to established power structures.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/tinubushettima-the-epidemic-of-economic-insecurity-in-nigeria/
The skepticism surrounding El-Rufai’s defection is echoed by the Nigerian Presidency and APC, who dismiss his move as a futile endeavor motivated by personal ambition rather than a genuine ideological shift. Indeed, El-Rufai’s maneuver is less about ideological realignment and more a reconfiguration of elite power dynamics within the ruling class. As observed by many political analysts, the political landscape remains largely unchanged, with the same elite power dynamics at play, suggesting that any perceived threat from El-Rufai’s move is unlikely to materialize into a significant challenge.
This skepticism is further reinforced by the broader historical context of Nigerian politics, where similar attempts to consolidate opposition forces have often unraveled due to internal dissent and the prioritization of individual ambitions over collective goals. Additionally, the inherent volatility of such coalitions, often marred by a lack of unified vision and the dominance of competing interests, further diminishes their potential to unseat entrenched incumbents. Historical patterns also suggest that such coalitions often struggle to sustain momentum and coherence, especially when faced with the entrenched influence of incumbents like Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima.
Given this context, El-Rufai’s efforts to rally opposition figures like Peter Obi and others around the SDP banner might appear ambitious, but without a cohesive strategy or compelling ideological narrative, such alliances are prone to fragmentation and ultimately ineffectual in altering the prevailing status quo.
The entrenched political machinery supporting President Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima possesses significant resources and influence, making it a formidable barrier for any nascent coalition lacking internal solidarity and a resonant national platform. Despite these strategic maneuvers, the historical precedent and current political landscape suggest that El-Rufai’s efforts may ultimately falter against the deeply entrenched systems supporting Tinubu and Shettima.
The historical resilience of incumbent structures in Nigerian politics, characterized by their adept patronage networks and control over vital state apparatuses, presents another significant challenge for any opposition coalition seeking to disrupt the status quo. Without a clear ideological foundation and a unified agenda that resonates with the broader electorate, such attempts are often perceived as mere political repositioning rather than genuine efforts to instigate meaningful change. In 2027, President Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima will take the oath again for the second time, and El-Rufai will still have no political credibility to make a difference in Nigeria’s political circle.
* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.
El-Rufai: A calculated yet potentially ineffectual strategy to challenge Tinubu and Shettima’s re-election bid in 2027.
Politics
I’ll run inclusive governance, sustain Fintiri’s achievements, if elected governor- Galadima
I’ll run inclusive governance, sustain Fintiri’s achievements, if elected governor- Galadima
Alhaji Tijjani Galadima, a governorship aspirant under the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Adamawa State has pledged to be fair, just while ensuring people-centred leadership, if elected governor in the 2027 general elections.
Galadima who is the immediate past Executive Secretary of the Petroleum Technology Development Fund (PTDF) gave the assurance during a stakeholders’ engagement in Yola.
He commended the administration of President Bola Tinubu, describing the administration’s policies as impactful on national development.
According to him, his administration and that of Tinubu would work together and continue to impact positively across the grassroots.
Galadima further lauded Gov. Ahmadu Fintiri for his visionary leadership adding that his achievements have created a strong foundation for growth.
He added that his administration would also focus on continuity, unity, inclusive governance, stressing that no segment of the state would be left behind under his leadership.
Galadima thanked party members and supporters for their encouragement and loyalty, assuring them that their confidence in him would not be misplaced.
Earlier, in his address, Kevin Peter, Galadima’s campaign Director-General said, Galadima is qualified to be the next Governor of Adamawa because of his experience and leadership capacity needed to move the state forward.
He called on the party delegates and the electorates to support Galadima’s ambition to succeed.
In their separate remarks, Prof. Maxwell Gidado and Lilian Steven, party Stalwarts expressed optimism that Galadima would consolidate on the achievements of the present administration if elected governor.
They said Galadima is a leader with the vision and competence to deliver quality governance and improve the living conditions of citizens across the state.
I’ll run inclusive governance, sustain Fintiri’s achievements, if elected governor- Galadima
2027: Between President Tinubu And Vice President Kashim Shettima
By: Dr. James Bwala
In the realm of political discourse, especially during the critical periods leading up to general elections, rumors and speculative reports often emerge, attempting to sway public perception and influence outcomes. One such instance is the recent report by the Nigerian Tribune Newspapers on May 17, 2026, suggesting intensified efforts within the ruling establishment to replace Vice President Kashim Shettima amid internal political consultations. This narrative, which paints a picture of discord and impending change in the vice-presidential slot, is not only baseless but also misleading. In reality, Vice President Kashim Shettima remains a steadfast pillar in the administration’s strategy for the 2027 general elections, working in unison with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to deliver victory for the All Progressive Congress (APC).
The unfounded claims surrounding the so-called “Shettima issue” are the new kite the enemies of this partnership between President Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima are trying to sell in their continuous attempts to dismantle the progress already achieved and reaffirm their continuous lack of ideas over what made Tinubu and Shettima’s partnership thick. While they are entitled to their own beliefs and strategies, the renewed vision and partnership between the president and vice president for a stronger, unified Nigeria stand tall and shine constantly in position like a northern star.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/apc-2027-will-consensus-enforce-anti-party-as-a-result-of-collapses-in-internal-democracy/
While they failed in their imaginations, we build. The context and motivations behind the propagation of such misleading reports are not far-fetched. Nigerian politics, characterized by fierce competition and complex alliances, is often marred by misinformation aimed at destabilizing governing coalitions. Reports insinuating a potential replacement of Vice President Shettima seemingly emerge from rival political interests who seek to fracture the APC’s front in the crucial northern regions where Shettima wields significant influence. By casting doubt on the vice president’s position, these reports aim to sow confusion among supporters and create fissures within the party’s grassroots structure. However, looking closely at the facts and recent developments reveals no basis for these rumors.
Vice President Kashim Shettima’s role in the current administration has been instrumental—not only as a vice president but, more importantly, as a strategic leader who mobilizes support across the North. His roots and connections in this region have proven invaluable in consolidating the party’s influence and outreach, especially now. Since assuming office, Shettima has consistently demonstrated loyalty to President Tinubu’s administration and an unwavering commitment to the broader national agenda. The assertion that internal consultations are targeting his removal contradicts observable realities and official statements from both the presidency and the APC leadership, all of which underscore unity and forward momentum.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/apc-2027-will-consensus-enforce-anti-party-as-a-result-of-collapses-in-internal-democracy/
The idea that high-level consultations and behind-the-scenes political maneuvers are underway to replace Shettima ignores the transparent and collaborative nature of the Tinubu-Shettima partnership. Both leaders have publicly reiterated their dedication to working together towards the success of the upcoming 2027 elections. Their collaboration is rooted not only in political expediency but also in a shared vision of governance, economic development, and national cohesion. This synergy has been evident in various policy implementations and campaigns aimed at fostering growth and stability, dispelling any notion that their alliance is fragile or conditional.
The vice president’s focus remains resolute on positioning the APC for electoral success. His active engagement with party stakeholders, community leaders, and electorates across the northern geopolitical zones confirms his central role in the campaign apparatus. Efforts to undermine this position are not only premature but counterproductive. It would be illogical for the ruling party to disrupt a winning formula, particularly when Shettima’s involvement is critical to maintaining the party’s stronghold in strategically vital states. This consistency in leadership and messaging helps sustain public confidence and project an image of stability, both domestically and internationally.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/apc-2027-will-consensus-enforce-anti-party-as-a-result-of-collapses-in-internal-democracy/
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration has consciously prioritized the cultivation of a leadership team grounded in trust, competence, and mutual respect. The strength of the partnership between Tinubu and Shettima lies in their complementary attributes—Tinubu’s political acumen and national stature combined with Shettima’s grassroots connections and regional influence form a formidable alliance. This relationship is not merely transactional but built on a shared commitment to delivering on the promises of a new Nigeria—a nation defined by inclusivity, prosperity, and democratic consolidation.
Critics and opponents who propagate the “Shettima issue” narrative must consider the potential consequences of their actions. Spreading falsehoods undermines not only the individuals involved but also the democratic process itself. Political maturity dictates that differences and challenges be addressed through dialogue and institutional mechanisms rather than through sensationalist media narratives or unsubstantiated claims. The APC, under the leadership of Tinubu and Shettima, exemplifies this maturity by focusing on policy priorities and voter engagement rather than succumbing to divisive distractions.
READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/apc-2027-will-consensus-enforce-anti-party-as-a-result-of-collapses-in-internal-democracy/
Importantly, the renewed hope for a stronger Nigeria encapsulated in the Tinubu-Shettima vision is one that transcends individual positions or political convenience. It is a collective aspiration for national growth, peace, and stability that resonates deeply with the citizenry. Their joint campaign promises reflect commitments to infrastructural development, job creation, security enhancement, and education reform—areas that directly affect the lives of millions of Nigerians. To suggest instability within the leadership based on unfounded reports is to disregard the tangible progress and strategic planning underway.
The report by the Nigerian Tribune Newspapers alleging internal political turmoil regarding Vice President Kashim Shettima is not only inaccurate but dangerously misleading. Such narratives serve no constructive purpose and only detract from the significant work being done by the ruling administration to steer Nigeria towards a prosperous future. Vice President Kashim Shettima remains fully engaged and indispensable in the campaign to secure the APC’s victory in the upcoming elections. His partnership with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu is solid, visionary, and crucial to the realization of a new Nigeria. Those anticipating a change in this dynamic have already miscalculated the strength of this alliance and the determination of the leaders involved. The administration’s focus remains clear: to build a Nigeria that offers hope, opportunity, and progress for all its citizens.
* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.
2027: Between President Tinubu And Vice President Kashim Shettima
Yobe APC guber candidate calls for unity, urges Tumsa and others to withdraw
By: Yahaya Wakili
The All Progressives Congress (APC) gubernatorial candidate for Yobe state, Alhaji Baba Mallam Wali Fcan, mni, has called on the three remaining aspirants, Barr. Kashim Musa Tumsah, Engr. Mai Hajja, and Hon. Bashir Shariff Machina, to withdraw and come to unite and work as one family to move Yobe state forward.
Baba Mallam Wali made the call yesterday in Nguru town while thousands of APC supporters turned out en masse to welcome him since he became the gubernatorial candidate of the party. He said, “I am a native of Nguru, and since the restoration of democracy in 1999, this zone has never gotten such an opportunity, not even the deputy governor.”
He maintained that, before there were G-6, three had already withdrawn, and the first aspirant to step down was the former Senate President, Senator Ahmed Ibrahim Lawan GCON; secondly, Lawan Kolo; thirdly, the former inspector general of police, Usman Baba Alkali; and today, we thank God, Senator Ibrahim Mohammed Bomai stepped down, respectively.
Therefore, the 3 remaining aspirants, Kashim Tumsah, Engr. Mai Hajja, and Bashir Shariff Machina, I call on them; let them step down, come, and unite ourselves to work together to move Yobe State forward, adding that Yobe remains one indivisible political family under the APC.
The gubernatorial candidate hailed Senator Musa Mustapha, Senator Ahmed Ibrahim Lawan GCON, Senator Ibrahim Mohammed Bomai, Lawan Kolo, and former IGP Usman Baba Alkali for their maturity, patriotism, and commitment to party unity following their withdrawal from the 2027 governorship race.
“His Excellency, Governor Mai Mala Buni CON, COMN, is a strong politician; his political career has been marked by vast experience, national influence, and remarkable achievements. He is a national chairman and national secretary of our great party, APC, and up to now, he is a great and strong politician. I worked with him as the secretary to the government for 7 years; therefore, I learned so many things from him.
According to Wali, His Excellency Senator Ibrahim Geidam, FCAE, Minister of Police Affairs and the leader of Yobe State politics, exhibited a rare blend of leadership and pragmatic governance and is a masterclass in dedicated politics and public service. Therefore, I worked with these leaders, and I learned so many things from them.
Yobe APC guber candidate calls for unity, urges Tumsa and others to withdraw
I’ll run inclusive governance, sustain Fintiri’s achievements, if elected governor- Galadima
2027: Between President Tinubu And Vice President Kashim Shettima
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