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Nigeria Risks Missing China’s $18bn Export Window, Experts Warn
Nigeria Risks Missing China’s $18bn Export Window, Experts Warn
By: Michael Mike
Nigeria risks squandering a potentially transformative opening in the Chinese market unless it urgently fixes its production, processing and export capacity, stakeholders warned on Friday as China’s new zero-tariff regime opened a fresh $18 billion trade window between both countries.
The warning came against the backdrop of China’s decision to remove tariffs on imports from African countries with diplomatic relations with Beijing, a move that Nigerian officials and trade experts said could dramatically expand the country’s access to one of the world’s largest consumer markets.
Chinese Ambassador to Nigeria, Yu Dunhai, disclosed in Abuja that bilateral trade between Nigeria and China reached $18 billion in the first half of 2026, while Chinese imports from Nigeria jumped by 80 per cent to $2.3 billion following the implementation of the zero-tariff policy on May 1.
But rather than celebrate the figures, speakers at an international seminar on the policy challenged Nigeria to confront the structural weaknesses that could prevent the country from turning preferential access into sustained export earnings, industrial growth and jobs.
The seminar, organised by the Centre for China Studies, brought together senior government officials, lawmakers, diplomats, manufacturers, farmers, exporters and academics to examine the implications of the Chinese initiative for Nigeria and Africa.
The emerging consensus was stark: China has opened the door, but Nigeria must first produce what the Chinese market wants, in the required quantity and quality.
Yu said the policy had already produced tangible benefits, with Nigeria recording significant savings on export tariffs.
He cited Nigerian sesame exports, saying every 100 tonnes now saves about $11,000 in tariff costs, while the country’s annual export of 7,000 tonnes of cattle bone granules could save nearly $450,000.
A single 23,000-tonne shipment of Nigerian liquefied propane, he added, saved approximately $300,000 in tax on the first day of the new regime.

Yet, the ambassador made clear that tariff elimination alone would not guarantee Nigerian success in the Chinese market.
“Meeting Chinese market standards and ensuring reliable supply volumes are essential for long-term success,” he said.
He urged Nigerian producers to improve quality, strengthen supply chains and move beyond the export of unprocessed commodities.
China, he said, was prepared to support Nigeria with technology, equipment and technical expertise, including partnerships for industrial parks and local processing.
The Director of the Centre for China Studies, Charles Onunaiju, delivered perhaps the strongest warning of the day, saying the preferential access could become another missed opportunity if Nigeria failed to reform its production and trade systems.
“Zero-tariff treatment for products coming from Africa is only the starting point, it’s not the finish line,” he said.
For Nigeria, the challenge is particularly significant because the country has repeatedly struggled to translate preferential access to foreign markets into large-scale export growth.
Onunaiju said African countries must address structural constraints, harmonise standards, improve customs procedures and strengthen regional integration under the African Continental Free Trade Area.
He argued that the Chinese initiative could provide Africa with the opportunity to become a major global manufacturing base, but only if countries build productive capacity rather than remain suppliers of raw materials.
“The opportunity of becoming the next workshop of the world is in Africa,” he said.
The Federal Government also used the forum to push its industrialisation agenda, insisting that Nigeria must stop treating the export of raw materials as the end point of economic activity.
The Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ambassador Dunoma Ahmed, said Nigeria’s central question should not simply be how much it could sell to China but how much value it could retain domestically.
“Our natural resources must become the starting point, not the end point, of economic activity,” he said.

He called for crude oil to feed petrochemical and downstream industries, agricultural commodities to support agro-processing and manufacturing, and solid minerals to drive mineral processing and industrial production.
“In other words, we must transition from exporting resources to exporting value,” he said.
Ahmed said Nigeria was seeking Chinese and other international investments that would produce factories, processing plants, technology centres, logistics networks and skilled employment.
For Nigeria, agriculture could become the biggest test of whether the Chinese policy delivers a structural change in exports.
The Minister of State for Agriculture and Food Security, Senator Aliyu Abdullahi, said the country had enormous opportunities in processed cassava, rice, spices, shea products, hibiscus, cashew, soybean products, fruits and vegetables.
But he warned that Nigeria could not expect to dominate the Chinese market by simply shipping more raw commodities.
“The question before us, therefore, is not ‘Can Nigeria export more?’ The question should be ‘Can Nigeria export better?’” he said.
He listed productivity, processing capacity, logistics, quality assurance, traceability, financing, storage and compliance with international standards as critical areas requiring urgent attention.
The minister said the government was expanding agro-processing through the Special Agro-Processing Zones programme, with projects launched or under development in Kaduna, Cross River, Ogun and Gombe states.
He also disclosed that a mechanisation programme involving 2,000 Belarusian tractors and equipment was being rolled out to boost agricultural production.
Chairman of the occasion and former Director-General of the National Institute for Policy and Strategic Studies, Jonathan Juma, urged Nigeria to learn from its experience under the African Growth and Opportunity Act, warning against allowing another preferential trade arrangement to pass without building the capacity to exploit it.
He challenged policymakers to look beyond Nigeria’s natural endowments and determine how they could be converted into competitive exports.
“Nigeria is a place where you can drop a seed, and without much care, harvest at the end of the day. What can we do with this? What can we offer the world? What can we offer to China?” he asked.
The warning was echoed by the Director overseeing the Office of the Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning, Dr Samson Ebimaro, who said Nigeria must strengthen infrastructure, logistics, financing, technology transfer and compliance with international standards.
He identified agriculture, agro-processing, solid minerals, manufacturing, leather and the creative industries as sectors capable of benefiting from the Chinese market.
The Chairman, House Committee on Nigeria-China Relations, Hon. Ja’afaru Yakubu, meanwhile, called for the removal of visa bottlenecks affecting Nigerian traders travelling to China.
He said easier movement of Nigerian businesspeople would enable more traders to establish direct relationships with Chinese buyers and expand the country’s participation in the market.
Yakubu said the National Assembly would continue engaging the Chinese Embassy on the issue, describing business mobility as an important component of deeper trade relations.
With China-Africa trade reaching a record $207 billion in the first half of 2026, the scale of the opportunity is significant.
But the Abuja seminar exposed the central dilemma confronting Nigeria: tariff barriers may have been removed, but production barriers remain.
For Nigeria, therefore, the real race is no longer simply to secure access to China.
It is to build the factories, farms, processing plants, standards, logistics systems and export capacity needed to ensure that when Chinese buyers open their doors, Nigeria has something competitive to sell.
Nigeria Risks Missing China’s $18bn Export Window, Experts Warn
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Over 7,000 IDPs return to ancestral homes as OPHK restores normalcy in Borno says Maj Gen Abubakar
Over 7,000 IDPs return to ancestral homes as OPHK restores normalcy in Borno says Maj Gen Abubakar
By Zagazola Makama
More than 7,000 internally displaced persons (IDPs) have returned to their ancestral communities across Borno State following improved security conditions created by sustained military operations under Operation HADIN KAI (OPHK), the outgoing Theatre Commander, Maj.-Gen. Abdulsalam Abubakar, has said.
Abubakar disclosed this during his farewell and introduction engagement with humanitarian partners, representatives of the Borno State Government and members of the press in Maiduguri on Tuesday.
He said the return of the displaced families represented one of the clearest indicators of the progress recorded by the Theatre during his tenure as the 15th Theatre Commander of OPHK.
According to him, the fundamental mandate given to the Theatre was not merely to conduct military operations but to facilitate the restoration of normalcy in the North-East, allowing communities to recover and socio-economic activities to resume.
He explained that normalcy could be measured by the reopening of schools and markets, access to farmlands, restoration of essential services and, most importantly, the ability of families who had fled violence to return safely to their ancestral homes.
“Together, we have seen over 7,000 displaced families return to their ancestral communities and today, communities that were abandoned for years have been re-occupied, such that returned communities now exist in every Local Government Area of Borno State,” he said.
The development, he noted, marked a significant shift in communities that had remained largely deserted for years as a result of insurgency and the fear of attacks.
Abubakar said the return of the IDPs was made possible by the combined efforts of the military, the Borno State Government, humanitarian organisations, traditional institutions and local communities.
He stressed that the objective of military operations was ultimately to create a secure environment where civilians could reclaim their communities, rebuild their homes, cultivate their farms and restart their livelihoods.
The outgoing commander said the return of displaced families was supported by sustained counter-terrorism operations which degraded the capabilities of JAS and ISWAP across the Theatre.
Abubakar said the pressure generated by sustained military operations, combined with non-kinetic measures, had also contributed to a major wave of surrenders.
He disclosed that more than 969 JAS/ISWAP fighters and their family members surrendered within the last one year, creating another pathway through which affected communities could gradually move away from the cycle of violence.
The Theatre Commander said the restoration of security had produced visible changes in several communities across Borno.
He pointed to the reopening of trade routes and local markets, allowing residents to resume economic activities that had been disrupted by years of insurgency.
Over 7,000 IDPs return to ancestral homes as OPHK restores normalcy in Borno says Maj Gen Abubakar
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“No theatre in the country enjoys a stronger partnership than the one we enjoyed with Borno State Government” — Maj Gen Abubakar
“No theatre in the country enjoys a stronger partnership than the one we enjoyed with Borno State Government” — Maj Gen Abubakar
By Zagazola Makama
The outgoing Theatre Commander, North East Joint Task Force, Operation HADIN KAI (OPHK), Maj.-Gen. Abdulsalam Abubakar, has lauded the Borno State Government for what he described as unwavering support to military operations, declaring that no theatre of operations in the country enjoyed a stronger partnership with its host government than the relationship between OPHK and the Borno State Government.
Abubakar made the declaration during his farewell and introduction engagement with humanitarian partners, representatives of the Borno State Government and members of the press in Maiduguri on Tuesday.
He said the partnership between the Theatre and the state government had been critical to the fight against insurgency, protection of civilians, restoration of normalcy and the return of displaced persons to their ancestral communities.
“I say it plainly; no theatre of operations in this country enjoys a stronger partnership with its host government,” Abubakar said.
The outgoing commander specifically commended Governor Babagana Umara Zulum for his sustained support to Operation HADIN KAI, particularly through the provision of critical combat enablers that had strengthened the operational capacity of troops across the Theatre.
He listed Mine-Resistant Ambush Protected vehicles (MRAPs), long-range surveillance cameras and drones, among other support provided by the Borno State Government.
According to him, the state government’s contributions had gone beyond ordinary civil-military cooperation, providing practical capabilities that directly supported troops in their efforts to protect communities and degrade terrorist networks.
“These critical contributions have strengthened the partnership between the State Government and Operation HADIN KAI, and reinforced our collective resolve to defeat the insurgency, protect innocent lives, sustain peace, restore normalcy and enable the safe return of displaced persons to their communities,” he said.
Abubakar said the support was particularly significant because the restoration of normalcy in the North-East required a strong partnership between the military and the government responsible for the welfare and recovery of affected communities.
He urged the Borno State Government to maintain the partnership with his successor, saying the incoming Theatre Commander would require the same level of cooperation and support to consolidate the gains already recorded.
“I therefore respectfully request that this same partnership and support be extended to the incoming Theatre Commander as he assumes the duty of sustaining the gains we have made,” he said.
The outgoing Theatre Commander extended his appreciation to the wider humanitarian community, particularly organisations operating in Borno, Adamawa and Yobe States.
He commended the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UN OCHA) for its continued support to vulnerable populations and its contribution to stabilisation efforts across the North-East.
Abubakar said humanitarian organisations had remained important partners in addressing the consequences of the insurgency, particularly the suffering of displaced persons and other vulnerable civilians.
He said their work, guided by the principles of humanity, impartiality and neutrality, had complemented the security efforts of Operation HADIN KAI in tangible ways.
“Your work, guided by the principles of humanity, impartiality and neutrality, has alleviated the suffering of the most vulnerable and has complemented our stabilisation efforts in tangible ways,” he said.
He explained that the military had also continued to support humanitarian operations by providing protection, escorts and an enabling security environment for aid workers to operate.
According to him, the relationship was based on complementary responsibilities, with the military creating the security conditions while humanitarian organisations delivered assistance to affected populations.
The Theatre Commander also highlighted the importance of regular dialogue between military and humanitarian actors.
He described the recent humanitarian roundtable as a productive engagement that provided stakeholders with an opportunity to examine coordination challenges and improve the conduct of humanitarian operations.
Abubakar urged stakeholders to institutionalise such engagements, saying regular dialogue would help prevent misunderstandings and improve the delivery of assistance to vulnerable communities.
He reiterated that requests for military escorts by humanitarian organisations should be made 48 hours before movement to enable the Theatre to properly plan and provide appropriate security.
“I urge this partnership to be maintained,” he said.
Abubakar also paid tribute to the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) for its specialised capacity-building support to Operation HADIN KAI.
He said the organisation had provided valuable assistance to the Theatre both within and outside Nigeria, particularly in areas relating to professionalism, International Humanitarian Law and protection of civilians.
He singled out the ICRC’s support for improving detainee management at the Joint Interrogation Centre, saying the intervention had strengthened the Theatre’s handling of persons in custody.
According to him, the improvements recorded in detainee management contributed to commendations received by OPHK both locally and internationally.
He acknowledged that the relationship between the military and humanitarian community had sometimes experienced disagreements, but said the ability to resolve such issues through dialogue remained one of the major achievements of the partnership.
“I know our relationship with the humanitarian partners has not been without friction, but the honest dialogue we have built is itself an achievement, and I enjoin you to protect it,” Abubakar said.
The outgoing commander also expressed appreciation to Team HADIN KAI, describing its integration into OPHK since May 8, 2026, as a strategic partnership that had strengthened the Theatre’s intelligence-led operations.
He said the team had supported precision targeting, non-kinetic operations and capacity building, thereby improving the Theatre’s common operational picture.
Abubakar cited the May 15, 2026 operation at Metele, which he said resulted in the neutralisation of Abu-Bilal Al-Minuki, identified in his speech as the ISIS second-in-command, as a notable outcome of the partnership.
He said the collaboration had enhanced the professionalism and effectiveness of OPHK’s counter-terrorism efforts.
The outgoing Theatre Commander also acknowledged the contribution of the British Defence Staff – West Africa, particularly in strengthening OPHK’s combat capabilities and Counter-Improvised Explosive Device (C-IED) capacity.
He said British military advisers had contributed expertise, capacity building and equipment support.
Abubakar noted that the partnership had recently expanded to direct engagement with Forward Operating Bases, including support for defensive measures, tactical drone deployment and improved surveillance.
He urged his successor to build upon and further consolidate the relationship.
Partnership linked to return of displaced persons
Abubakar’s commendation of the government and humanitarian organisations came against the backdrop of significant progress in the return and resettlement of displaced populations.
He disclosed that more than 7,000 displaced families had returned to their ancestral communities across Borno State during his tenure.
He said communities that had remained abandoned for years were gradually being reoccupied, with returned communities now present in every Local Government Area of the state.
The Theatre also facilitated the rescue of 638 civilians from terrorist enclaves, while all 46 students involved in the attempted abduction at the Federal Government Girls College, Monguno, were safely rescued.
He further highlighted the voluntary, safe and dignified repatriation of more than 3,000 Nigerians from Cameroon, carried out through the collaboration of the Borno State Government, Federal Ministry of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Reduction and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees.
According to Abubakar, these developments demonstrated that security operations, humanitarian intervention and government support were mutually reinforcing components of the wider effort to restore normalcy.
The outgoing Theatre Commander also appreciated other security agencies, hybrid forces and what he described as the “friends of OPHK” for their support throughout his tenure.
He said their information, cooperation and encouragement had helped shape collective efforts toward fulfilling the Theatre’s mandate.
Abubakar said the fight against insurgency required more than military operations, stressing that sustainable recovery depended on the combined efforts of security agencies, government institutions, humanitarian organisations and communities.
As he handed over the Theatre to the incoming 16th Theatre Commander, Maj.-Gen. Ibikunle Ajose, Abubakar appealed to all partners to sustain the cooperation that had characterised his tenure.
He said the partnership between OPHK and its stakeholders had contributed significantly to the gradual return of normalcy, including the reopening of markets and trade routes, resumption of educational activities and the return of displaced families to their ancestral homes.
He urged all partners to give Ajose the same openness, cooperation and goodwill extended to him, saying the consolidation of peace in the North-East would depend heavily on maintaining the partnerships built over the years.
“No theatre in the country enjoys a stronger partnership than the one we enjoyed with Borno State Government” — Maj Gen Abubakar
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Zulum Meets Army Chief in Abuja
Zulum Meets Army Chief in Abuja
By: Our Reporter
Borno State Governor, Professor Babagana Umara Zulum, on Tuesday visited the Chief of Army Staff, Lieutenant General Waidi Shaibu, at the Army Headquarters in Abuja.
The meeting, held behind closed doors, was part of the Governor’s routine engagements with the Service Chiefs to consolidate the peace and stability being restored across the state.

Security and the restoration of normalcy remain the top priority of Governor Zulum’s administration, which has continued to provide hardware and logistics support to the military and other security agencies operating in the state.
The military has continued to record remarkable gains in counter-insurgency and counter-terrorism operations in Borno, with troops sustaining offensive actions against remnants of Boko Haram and ISWAP fighters.

The Governor was accompanied by the Senator representing Borno South, Senator Mohammed Ali Ndume; the member representing Kukawa, Mobbar, Guzamala and Abadam Federal Constituency, Hon. Malam Gana Bukar Kareto; the Commissioner of Finance, Hon. Lawan Umar Dalorima; and the Commissioner of Planning and Economic Development, Hon. Maina Yaumi.
Zulum Meets Army Chief in Abuja
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