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Report Indicates ongoing attempts at distorting outcome of elections

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Report Indicates ongoing attempts at distorting outcome of elections

… Classifies 22 states as having high risk of manipulation

By: Michael Mike

The Election Manipulation Risk Index (EMRI) report released on Friday has showed that there are ongoing attempts to distort the outcomes of next month’s general elections.

The report was complied by the International Press Centre, Institute for Media and Society, Partners for Electoral Reform, The Albino Foundation, The Nigerian Women Trust Fund, The Kukah Centre, Enough is Enough Nigeria, Center for Journalism Innovation and Development, SBM Intelligence, Dataphye and Yiaga Africa.

Releasing the report in Abuja, the group alleged that “attempts to distort election outcomes using manipulation strategies are on the rise. Key actors are devising strategies to punctuate electoral preparations and neutralize the impact of laudable reforms aimed at enhancing the integrity of the electoral process.

“The political interference with INEC operations, tampering with the voter register, frivolous litigations and resistance against electoral technology like BVAS and IReV, and administrative lapses are electoral risks that may potentially impugn the integrity of the 2023 elections.”

According to the report, “in response to these risks, civil society organisations designed the Election Manipulation Risk Index (EMRI) to facilitate systematic and coherent monitoring of the insidious nature of election manipulation in the build-up to Nigeria’s 2023 general elections. The central focus of the EMRI is election administration, and it seeks to provide citizens with a clear understanding of what constitutes election manipulation and the role of citizens in risk mitigation. It should be seen as a rapid scanning tool rather than an in-depth solution for threats of election manipulation.”

The report added that: “While other forms of manipulation can take place, the EMRI focuses on six variables for tracking election manipulation. They include; INEC capture, manipulation of the voter register, voter suppression, resistance to the election technology, especially BVAS and IReV, history of election manipulation, and election litigation. Several empirical indicators are then identified for each variable to unravel election manipulation. Election security may compound the analysis and shift the focus from the election administration process, hence its exclusion from the EMRI variables and indicators.”

The report classified 22 states as high-risk states due to the presence of more than three EMRI variables, Imo, Anambra, Enugu, Ebonyi, Abia, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Lagos, Oyo, Osun, Ekiti, Kwara, Niger, Plateau, Taraba, Kaduna, Bauchi, Adamawa, Kano, Katsina, Sokoto and Jigawa.

Twelve states were classified as having medium election manipulation risks. The states include Borno, Yobe, Nasarawa, Benue, Kogi, Zamfara, Kebbi, Ogun, Edo, Delta, Bayelsa and Cross River.

Three states were classified as low risk. They include Gombe, Ondo, and Federal Capital Territory.

According to the report, the EMRI is a qualitative tool of analysis that relies heavily on observation, content analysis, and expert interviews. Data collected through these methods are triangulated to reflect how they result in election manipulation.

The EMRI highlighted states where election manipulation occurred and introduced a ranking of states based on the prevalence of election manipulation indicators.

The risk indicator ranking is divided into three categories: High Risk (states with three variables and above), Medium Risk (states with two variables), and Low Risk (states with 1 or 0 variables).

The report claimed that most evidence for EMRI were sourced from INEC reports and statements and publications, pre- and post-election observation reports from domestic and international observers, and reports from trusted unbiased media institutions.

While reading the report, the Director of International Press Centre (IPC), Lanre Arogundade, promised that three EMRI iteration reports will be released on the 2023 general election, noting that it is expected that the EMRI will curb election manipulation, facilitate strategic election planning and promote citizens’ oversight of the electoral process.

The report, however advised that to mitigate against the risk, measures should be taken: INEC should deploy trusted, incorruptible, and experienced Administrative Secretaries, Heads of ICT, and Operations to high risks states; Intense scrutiny of applications for ad-hoc personnel recruitment; Applicants should undergo competency tests, and names of successful applicants should be published for public scrutiny; INEC should create a system for submitting objections against partisan and compromised ad-hoc officials.

INEC should intensify oversight and monitoring of its officials in high and medium-risk states. This includes establishing a reporting mechanism that enables citizens to report concerns and complaints against INEC officials; clean-up of the voter register to remove multiple registrants, fictitious names, and underage registrants; greater transparency with the management of claims and objections submitted by citizens to INEC; diligent prosecution of INEC officials responsible for the manipulation of the voter register; enhanced monitoring and oversight of INEC officials managing the PVC collection process to prevent manipulation and deliberate denial from issuing PVCs to certain persons.

Also advised are timely production and distribution of PVCs to all registered voters, resistance to election technology like BVAS and IReV; enhanced security in storage facilities where the BVAS devices are stored; restraint on the part of the judiciary to entertain frivolous litigations against the use of the BVAS and IReV; continuous public sensitization on the capacity of the BVAS and IReV to limit election
manipulation; increase public awareness of mitigation measures in the 2022 Electoral Act against election manipulation, INEC should ensure adequate training of its staff to enforce compliance with the Electoral Act 2022 and INEC Regulations and Guidelines
Election litigation; the judiciary should dismiss cases instituted to undermine the preparations for the general elections; and the Nigerian Bar Association should take disciplinary actions against legal practitioners engaged in election manipulation using the judicial process.

Report Indicates ongoing attempts at distorting outcome of elections

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2027: When Tinubu’s endorsement of Vice President Kashim Shettima’s unwavering support speaks volumes

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Vice President Kashim Shettima


2027: When Tinubu’s endorsement of Vice President Kashim Shettima’s unwavering support speaks volumes

By: Dr. James Bwala

On Sunday, May 24, 2026, at the Bola Ahmed Tinubu International Conference Centre in Abuja, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu delivered a powerful acceptance speech upon his nomination as the All Progressives Congress (APC) flag bearer for the 2027 presidential election. His words were not only an affirmation of his leadership vision but also a robust endorsement of Vice President Kashim Shettima’s unwavering support and integral role within this administration. This public commendation serves as a cornerstone for dispelling mistrust and malicious rumors surrounding the office of the vice president, creating a persuasive narrative about unity, shared purpose, and inclusive governance for Nigeria’s future.

At the heart of President Tinubu’s speech was a resounding acknowledgment of Vice President Kashim Shettima as a “pillar of support” during an undoubtedly challenging period in Nigeria’s political and socio-economic history. The relevance of this commendation transcends mere formality; it underscores a fundamental truth about effective governance—the indispensable role of mutual trust and partnership between a president and their vice president. In an era where political alliances are frequently strained by internal discord and where opposition forces eagerly exploit any hint of division, Tinubu’s public appreciation is an unequivocal message: the administration is cohesive and resilient.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-vp-shettima-is-the-soul-of-the-tinubu-ticket/

The phrase, “The journey so far is challenging, but your support is encouraging; there is no doubt about that,” encapsulates the essence of collaborative leadership. These words reflect not only the trials faced by the government but also reveal the vice president’s steadfast commitment to the administration’s objectives. By highlighting Shettima’s role, Tinubu is affirming that progress requires collective effort, especially in contexts fraught with socioeconomic challenges, security concerns, and institutional reforms. This articulation fosters confidence among Nigerians, signaling that the leadership is united in purpose and determined to overcome adversity through solidarity.

The president’s direct address to Vice President Shettima—“Kashim Shettima, thank you very much. Together and with the help of God Almighty, we shall build a more secure, united, and prosperous Nigeria for generations to come”—is more than a personal note of gratitude. It is a strategic reaffirmation of shared responsibility and future ambition. This statement embodies a forward-looking vision, grounded in faith and partnership, which are essential for sustaining momentum towards national goals. By invoking the divine, Tinubu connects with the deeply spiritual sensibilities of many Nigerians, thereby lending moral weight to their joint mission.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-vp-shettima-is-the-soul-of-the-tinubu-ticket/

The implications of this endorsement extend significantly beyond the immediate political context. It dispels the pernicious rumors and speculation often exploited by political opponents or detractors who seek to destabilize the government by sowing seeds of distrust. The so-called “Shettima issue,” which has been circulated as an attempt to insinuate discord within the presidency, is effectively nullified by the president’s explicit praise and recognition. In doing so, Tinubu not only strengthens the internal cohesion of his administration but also sends a clear signal to the Nigerian populace and international observers that the government operates on principles of unity and transparency.

President Tinubu’s commitment to building “an even more inclusive government.” One that listens. The government that learns and leads with the best interest of Nigerians at heart” resonates deeply with democratic ideals. This pledge offers reassurance that the administration values the diverse voices and experiences of Nigeria’s multifaceted society. An inclusive government is a government that embraces the richness of its ethnic, religious, and cultural diversity, ensuring that policies and programs reflect the common good rather than sectional interests. It is a decisive stance against divisiveness and exclusion, which have historically plagued Nigerian politics.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-vp-shettima-is-the-soul-of-the-tinubu-ticket/

In advancing this vision, Tinubu leverages the symbolic and practical significance of Shettima’s role as vice president. Shettima’s inclusiveness, experience, and political acumen complement the president’s agenda, reinforcing the government’s capacity to implement policies aimed at national reconciliation and development. The administration’s unity at the highest level reassures stakeholders—both domestic and international—that Nigeria remains on a path of political stability and economic recovery.

Critics may argue that such public acknowledgments are politically motivated, designed to mask deeper issues within the government. However, it is vital to recognize that leadership communication in a democracy must be transparent and deliberate. Public affirmations of unity, especially amid turbulent political climates, serve an essential function in maintaining citizens’ trust and preventing the erosion of institutional credibility. This speech is a strategic instrument that stabilizes the political environment by fostering a collective identity and purpose.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-vp-shettima-is-the-soul-of-the-tinubu-ticket/

Building on this foundation, the emphasis on security, unity, and prosperity as core objectives highlights the administration’s responsiveness to the most pressing concerns of Nigerians. Security challenges, including insurgency, banditry, and communal clashes, have long undermined Nigeria’s potential. By articulating a shared commitment with Shettima to address these issues, Tinubu signals a coordinated approach that enhances the government’s legitimacy and effectiveness.

Similarly, the insistence on unity reflects an acute awareness of Nigeria’s complex social fabric and the need for harmony across ethnic and regional lines. Unity is not merely a political slogan but a prerequisite for sustainable development and peace. Through this lens, the administration’s rhetoric serves as a beacon of hope that transcends partisan divides, inviting all Nigerians to partake in nation-building.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-vp-shettima-is-the-soul-of-the-tinubu-ticket/

The aspiration for prosperity aligns with developmental priorities such as economic diversification, job creation, infrastructure development, and education reform. By linking these goals to the administration’s unified leadership, Tinubu inspires confidence that the government is positioned to deliver tangible results that will benefit current and future generations.

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s public appreciation of Vice President Kashim Shettima at his acceptance speech for the 2027 APC presidential candidacy exemplifies effective political leadership rooted in unity, inclusiveness, and shared vision. It confronts and dispels damaging rumors, reinforces a message of collective responsibility, and lays a foundation for an administration committed to listening, learning, and leading with the people’s best interests at heart. 

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/2027-vp-shettima-is-the-soul-of-the-tinubu-ticket/

For Nigeria to navigate its myriad challenges and achieve lasting security, unity, and prosperity, such cohesive leadership is indispensable. The partnership between Tinubu and Shettima presents a compelling model for collaborative governance, inspiring a hopeful trajectory for the nation’s democratic future.

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja

2027: When Tinubu’s endorsement of Vice President Kashim Shettima’s unwavering support speaks volumes

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APC Primary peaceful, as Tinubu clears vote in Adamawa South -Abbati

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APC Primary peaceful, as Tinubu clears vote in Adamawa South -Abbati

The All Progressives Congress (APC) Presidential Primary has been conducted peacefully in Shelleng Local Government Area, Adamawa State with massive support for President Bola Tinubu’s re-election in 2027.

Aliyu Abdulhameed Abbati, Coordinator/Collation Officer for the APC Presidential Primaries, disclosed this during the collation of results in Shelleng Local Government Area of Adamawa State.

Abbati who is the former Aspirant, APC Adamawa Central Senatorial District
expressed satisfaction with the exercise and called on the people in the area to understand that the re-election of President Tinubu will herald positive changes for the country.

According to him, Nigeria is yearning for change and APC is ready to transform the country and deliver more dividends of democracy at the grassroots level.

He added that Mr President has been doing his best and will continue to do so in his second term in office.

In his remarks, Mr Joshua Njim, the APC Chairman in Shelleng LGA, said the exercise was peaceful across the 10 political wards of the area.

According to him, President Tinubu is leading in Shelleng LGA.

He appreciated Mr Abbati and his team for effective supervision and understanding throughout the exercise.

In his address, Haruna Ibrahim, the Commissioner Ministry of Mineral Resource, Adamawa State appreciated contributions of President Tinubu for economic development in the country.

He said with the APC as the leading party in the country and the state more development would be recorded in the state especially at the grassroots.

According to him, Shelleng is an agrarian area that needed the contribution of the Federal government for food security and economic development.

APC Primary peaceful, as Tinubu clears vote in Adamawa South -Abbati

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ADC Moves to Break APC Grip on Borno as Durkwa, Bulama Fugu Lead 2027 Political Battle

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ADC Moves to Break APC Grip on Borno as Durkwa, Bulama Fugu Lead 2027 Political Battle

By:Michael Mike

In what appears to be the strongest opposition realignment ahead of the 2027 general elections in Borno State, the African Democratic Congress (ADC) has unveiled heavyweight senatorial, House of Representatives and State Assembly candidates in a direct challenge to the long-standing dominance of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).

The party’s emergence of former APC governorship aspirant Idris Mamman Durkwa for Borno South, alongside Bulama Fugu and Babagana Zanna, signals what political observers describe as an ambitious attempt to dismantle APC’s political stronghold in the state.

The ADC consensus primaries held in Maiduguri produced candidates expected to confront some of Borno’s most influential political figures, including Senator Ali Ndume, Senate Chief Whip Mohammed Tahir Monguno and Senator Kaka Shehu Lawan.

The opposition party said its strategy is built around presenting “credible alternatives” capable of capitalising on growing public frustration over insecurity, economic hardship and governance challenges across the state and the country.

ADC Organising Secretary, Mohammed Bolori, disclosed that about 25 State Assembly candidates and eight House of Representatives candidates were affirmed through consensus by party stakeholders, describing the move as part of broader efforts to strengthen the party’s grassroots structure before 2027.

The development is expected to intensify political rivalry in Borno, particularly in Borno South, where Senator Ndume recently secured fresh endorsements from APC stakeholders and Deputy Speaker Abdullahi Musa Askira.

Bolori, while criticising the APC-led administration over worsening hardship and insecurity, assured supporters that ADC candidates would prioritise security, economic recovery and social welfare if elected.

With governorship primaries and additional House of Representatives contests still ahead, political analysts believe the ADC is positioning itself for what could become one of the fiercest electoral contests in Borno’s recent political history.

ADC Moves to Break APC Grip on Borno as Durkwa, Bulama Fugu Lead 2027 Political Battle

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