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The Sahel Descent: Illusion of Russian Mercenaries-Lessons for Nigeria and Africa
The Sahel Descent: Illusion of Russian Mercenaries-Lessons for Nigeria and Africa
•Why Wagner betrayed Africa—and what Nigeria must learn fast.
•Russia’s mercenaries promised security. They delivered bloodshed, racism, and catastrophic failure. Now the jihadists are at the gates—and Nigeria could be next.
By Oumarou Sanou
Bamako is burning—again, and the African Union, the regional body tasked with promoting peace and security, is panicking. The capital of Mali, once a proud symbol of West African resilience, now teeters on the brink of collapse, not from foreign invasion but from jihadists who have outlasted coups, crushed alliances, and exposed the hollowness of the “sovereign security” promised by military juntas and their Russian backers. What began as a bold pledge to “restore stability and reclaim dignity” has descended into chaos, bloodshed, racism, and betrayal—the tragic proof that mercenaries cannot buy peace, and juntas cannot govern by force. The Sahel’s descent is not just Mali’s tragedy—it is a warning to Nigeria and the entire region.
When Mali’s coup leaders expelled French and UN forces and turned to Russia’s Wagner Group in 2021, they sold their citizens a dangerous illusion: that imported soldiers of fortune would succeed where legitimate institutions had failed. Three years later, the results are catastrophic. Jihadist groups are advancing toward Bamako, civilians are dying in record numbers, and the mercenaries once paraded as “liberators” have turned Mali’s soil into a graveyard of false hope.

According to conflict monitors, nearly 3,000 civilians have been killed since Wagner’s arrival—many at the hands of their supposed protectors. Entire communities have been wiped out, markets torched, and villages erased under the pretext of “counterterrorism operations.”
The recently leaked documentary March on Azawad—a chilling self-portrait of Russian mercenaries—reveals the futility and racism embedded in their operations. Wagner veterans, now safely back in Russia, describe Malian soldiers as “cowards” and “thieves,” mocking the very people they were paid to defend. Their disdain echoes the systemic racism of Russian society, where ethnic minorities are treated as expendable cannon fodder. These mercenaries, steeped in bigotry and violence, brought to Africa not solidarity, but supremacy — the same dehumanising ideology that drives their atrocities in Ukraine, Libya, and now the Sahel.

The brutality Wagner displays toward African civilians is not aberrational—it is a feature, not a bug. These mercenaries carry to Africa the same racism they practice at home against ethnic minorities in Russia’s own territories. In Chechnya, Dagestan, and other non-Russian regions, minorities face systemic discrimination, violence, and marginalisation. When these fighters arrive in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, they bring that contempt with them.
Their crimes are well-documented. In Moura, central Mali, at least 500 civilians were massacred in a single operation in March 2022. Men were executed, women assaulted, and children mutilated—atrocities gleefully shared in private Wagner Telegram channels like “White Uncles in Africa +18”, where mercenaries celebrated their brutality with the depraved language of white supremacy. To them, African civilians and terrorists were indistinguishable—both expendable, both “sand people.” This is not counterterrorism. It is a campaign of dehumanisation.
Behind Wagner’s bloody record lies a simple motive: profit. The mercenaries did not come for Pan-African solidarity; they came for gold. Mali pays Wagner not only in cash but in mineral concessions—trading sovereignty for survival. One mercenary admits in the documentary that recovering and seizing gold mines was part of their operational “successes.” They looted everything: motorcycles, trucks, excavation equipment. Mali’s resources now flow to Moscow, while its people bleed in silence.

What began as a “security partnership” quickly degenerated into an extractive occupation. Wagner’s recklessness and racial contempt alienated communities, fractured the Malian army, and emboldened jihadists. The July 2024 defeat at Tinzawaten, where 84 Russian mercenaries died alongside dozens of Malian troops, was not an exception—it was the predictable outcome of arrogance and incompetence. The withdrawal of Wagner and its rebranding as “Africa Corps” in 2025 has done little to stem the tide. Today, Bamako stands at the edge of jihadist capture.
The implications for West Africa—and especially Nigeria—are profound. Insecurity in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger does not remain contained; it metastasises. Jihadist groups like JNIM and ISGS have expanded their operations southward, exploiting porous borders, ungoverned spaces, and weak regional coordination. Refugees fleeing the Sahel are already straining Nigeria’s northern communities, while arms trafficking and extremist propaganda infiltrate the hinterland and towns. The possible fall of Bamako would open another corridor of terror stretching from the Maghreb to the Gulf of Guinea—an arc of instability that could engulf the entire subregion. This underscores the need for robust international collaboration in addressing the crisis.
Nigeria must heed this warning with urgency and clarity.
Unlike Mali’s junta, Nigeria has—so far—resisted the temptation of outsourcing its sovereignty to foreign mercenaries. This path has been slow, imperfect, and riddled with challenges, but it is fundamentally different. They have so far relied on their national forces, accountable—however imperfectly—to the constitution, and also engage regional structures such as ECOWAS and the Multinational Joint Task Force, a collaborative security initiative involving several African countries. Nigeria collaborate internationally while preserving national agency.
This is the only sustainable route to lasting peace.
But Nigeria must not grow complacent. Their military architecture still faces serious weaknesses—underfunding, corruption, rights abuses, and inadequate intelligence coordination. Reform is not optional; it is urgent. The country needs a people-centred security strategy built on trust, legitimacy, and professionalism. That means investing in their troops, strengthening community-based intelligence, enhancing regional cooperation, and tackling the root causes that jihadists exploit: poverty, exclusion, and bad governance.

For the rest of Africa, the lesson from the Sahel is brutally clear: mercenaries do not save nations—they strip them bare. Authoritarian juntas that cloak repression in “sovereignty” only invite further collapse. Imported guns or imperial contracts cannot secure Africa’s stability. It must be built through accountable institutions, regional solidarity, and the courage to confront our internal failings head-on.
Mali’s tragedy is a mirror. It shows what happens when desperation replaces strategy, and when sovereignty becomes a slogan for repression. The fall of Bamako—if it happens—will not just be Mali’s failure; it will be a continental warning. Nigeria must learn, act, and lead—because in today’s Sahel, those who chase shortcuts to security end up losing both peace and power.
Oumarou Sanou is a social critic, Pan-African observer and researcher focusing on governance, security, and political transitions in the Sahel. He writes on geopolitics, regional stability, and the evolving dynamics of African leadership. Contact: sanououmarou386@gmail.com
The Sahel Descent: Illusion of Russian Mercenaries-Lessons for Nigeria and Africa
News
Experts Urge Evidence-Based Energy Reforms as Nigeria’s Transition Debate Intensifies
Experts Urge Evidence-Based Energy Reforms as Nigeria’s Transition Debate Intensifies
By: Michael Mike
Energy policy experts have called for stronger data-driven decision making in Nigeria’s energy transition process, warning that ambitious climate targets must be balanced with economic realities, job security, and the country’s persistent energy access challenges.
The call was made during a national policy dialogue where researchers presented findings on the economic, environmental, and political implications of different energy transition pathways for Nigeria.
At the event, the Stakeholders Research Workshop on Supporting Just Transition in Nigeria, organized on Tuesday in Abuja by the Ministry of Environment and Society for Planet and Prosperity (SPP), analysts said the study was designed to help guide policymaking by providing empirical insights into how various decarbonisation strategies could impact growth, employment, and emissions.

President of the Society for Planet and Prosperity, Professor Chukwumerije Okereke, said Nigeria’s existing commitments under its Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and Energy Transition Plan (ETP) are ambitious but require stronger technical validation before full implementation.
He noted that current projections suggesting up to 85 percent adoption of electric vehicles by 2060 and large-scale solar electricity generation of about 150 gigawatts may be difficult to achieve under current infrastructure and investment conditions.
“Policy targets are not enough on their own,” Okereke said. “What matters is how these targets will be achieved and what the economic and social consequences will be.”
He added that the research explores multiple transition scenarios, including gas-centered development, renewable-focused expansion, and hybrid energy strategies combining both gas and renewable technologies.
According to him, a balanced transition pathway may be more realistic for Nigeria, allowing the country to gradually reduce emissions while still leveraging its vast natural gas resources to support industrial growth and electricity access.
Researchers also emphasized that Nigeria’s transition strategy must address energy poverty, noting that millions of households still lack reliable electricity supply. They said distributed renewable energy systems, particularly solar mini-grids, could play a crucial role in expanding electricity access to rural and underserved communities.
Energy economists involved in the study explained that their analysis combined energy modelling with macroeconomic projections to assess how different policy choices would influence GDP growth, employment creation, and carbon emissions.
Senior Research Fellow, ODI Global, Dr. Timothy Kelsall said the research does not attempt to predict future outcomes but instead evaluates possible consequences of policy decisions.
“We are not predicting the future,” Kelsall said. “We are showing policymakers what could happen under different scenarios so they can make informed decisions.”
He explained that the study models three major transition pathways — gas-focused transition, renewable-dominated transition, and hybrid energy development — noting that each pathway would create different economic and political impacts across sectors.
Analysts also stressed that energy transition policies must consider Nigeria’s political economy realities, as policy reforms often create winners and losers across industries and interest groups.
Experts warned that abrupt policy changes could trigger economic disruptions, particularly in regions and sectors heavily dependent on fossil fuel revenues. Instead, they recommended a gradual transition supported by investment incentives, industrial development policies, and workforce reskilling programs.
The research also examined the use of savings from fuel subsidy reforms, noting that simply removing subsidies without clear reinvestment strategies would not automatically translate into development gains.
Stakeholders said subsidy savings could be redirected toward renewable energy infrastructure, social protection programs, and industrial development initiatives that support economic diversification.
While Nigeria continues to depend heavily on oil and gas exports for foreign exchange earnings, analysts said diversification efforts remain critical for long-term economic stability.
However, they stressed that natural gas could play a transitional role in supporting electricity generation and industrial expansion while renewable energy capacity continues to grow.
Researchers urged stronger collaboration between government institutions, private sector investors, and civil society organisations to ensure successful implementation of transition policies.
As Nigeria navigates its climate and energy future, experts say the country must pursue a pragmatic energy strategy that balances environmental protection with economic growth and improved access to reliable electricity for its growing population.
Experts Urge Evidence-Based Energy Reforms as Nigeria’s Transition Debate Intensifies
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Nigeria Expands Citizen Feedback Infrastructure as PEBEC, FAAN Launch ReportGov Kiosks at Major Airports
Nigeria Expands Citizen Feedback Infrastructure as PEBEC, FAAN Launch ReportGov Kiosks at Major Airports
By: Michael Mike
The Federal Government has intensified efforts to strengthen transparency, accountability, and public service efficiency with the reactivation and upgrade of the national ReportGov feedback system across major international airports in Nigeria.
The initiative, driven by the Presidential Enabling Business Environment Council (PEBEC) and the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria (FAAN), was formally unveiled at the Murtala Muhammed International Airport Terminal 2 in Lagos, with plans to extend the system to airports in Abuja, Port Harcourt, Enugu, and Kano.
Officials said the project is part of broader governance reforms aimed at improving citizen trust in public institutions while enhancing Nigeria’s business environment and service delivery standards across government agencies.
At the unveiling ceremony, PEBEC Director-General Princess Zahrah Mustapha Audu said the reactivation of ReportGov kiosks represents the federal government’s commitment to placing citizens at the center of governance reform.

She explained that the platform is designed to capture real-time complaints, commendations, and service improvement suggestions from citizens while helping government institutions respond faster to service failures.
According to her, institutionalizing feedback mechanisms will help reduce bureaucratic delays, improve inter-agency coordination, and ensure that public service performance is measured by actual service outcomes experienced by citizens.
FAAN Managing Director Olubunmi Kuku described airports as strategic economic gateways where service quality directly affects Nigeria’s international reputation.
She said improving passenger experience is critical for attracting foreign investment, promoting tourism, and strengthening business travel confidence. Kuku added that FAAN would continue supporting initiatives that promote transparency, operational efficiency, and customer-centered service delivery across Nigeria’s aviation facilities, noting that airport efficiency is closely linked to national economic competitiveness.
ReportGov serves as Nigeria’s official national grievance redress platform designed to capture citizen feedback on service delivery challenges across Ministries, Departments, and Agencies.
The newly upgraded physical kiosks will operate 24 hours daily in high-traffic public locations, allowing travellers and citizens to submit complaints, compliments, and policy suggestions directly into government monitoring systems.

Officials said the platform is structured to track complaints from submission to final resolution, helping authorities identify systemic service gaps and discourage unethical practices in public service interactions.
Government reform advocates said the initiative reflects a broader shift toward citizen-centered governance, where public satisfaction becomes a key performance indicator for government institutions.
Stakeholders noted that improving feedback infrastructure is particularly important as Nigeria continues efforts to diversify its economy and strengthen investor confidence in key sectors such as aviation, trade, and services.
Industry analysts said strengthening service delivery at airports is particularly important because aviation facilities serve as Nigeria’s international interface with the global economy. They explained that passengers’ first experiences at airports often shape perceptions about business conditions, investment potential, and tourism opportunities in the country. Improved feedback systems, they said, will help authorities address operational challenges such as passenger processing delays, service quality issues, and infrastructure maintenance gaps.
Officials also emphasized that the expanded deployment of ReportGov kiosks aligns with national anti-corruption and governance reform objectives. By creating structured reporting channels, the government hopes to strengthen transparency, reduce rent-seeking behavior, and improve coordination among agencies responsible for public service delivery.
As Nigeria continues its economic reform and infrastructure development agenda, authorities said citizen feedback will remain a central tool for measuring public service performance and guiding future policy decisions.
Nigeria Expands Citizen Feedback Infrastructure as PEBEC, FAAN Launch ReportGov Kiosks at Major Airports
News
KACRAN Calls for Increased Funding for Northeast Development
KACRAN Calls for Increased Funding for Northeast Development
By: Michael Mike
The Kulen Allah Cattle Rearers Association of Nigeria (KACRAN) has commended the North East Development Commission (NEDC) for demonstrating transparency and accountability following its recently concluded month-long inspection of development projects across the Northeast region.
In a statement released by KACRAN National President Hon. Khalil Mohammed Bello, the association described the inspection exercise as a strong indicator of responsible public administration, noting that comprehensive project verification remains a key test of accountability in public service delivery.

KACRAN stated that the NEDC’s decision to conduct high-level inspections of both ongoing and completed projects reflects a commitment to ensuring that public funds are translated into tangible developmental outcomes for citizens in the region.
The association further praised what it described as the “boldness and confidence” displayed by the Commission during the inspection tour, saying it signals that projects executed by the agency meet required standards and represent value for money.
Of particular interest to KACRAN members are the Commission’s investments in water infrastructure and livestock support projects aimed at improving pastoral livelihoods across the Northeast.
The association noted that such initiatives are critical to sustaining the livestock sector and supporting pastoral communities, while also aligning with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda, which prioritizes livestock development, food security, and economic diversification.

KACRAN said strengthening livestock production could help reduce Nigeria’s reliance on imported dairy and meat products while positioning the country as a potential exporter of livestock products in the long term.
The group also commended the composition of the NEDC inspection team, which included the Commission’s Governing Board Chairman, Managing Director, and senior directors from finance, operations, and humanitarian affairs. KACRAN said the inclusion of senior management personnel and media representatives during the nearly 30-day inspection tour demonstrates transparency and accountability in governance.
The inspection covered several development sectors including road infrastructure, drainage systems, primary healthcare facilities, educational projects, water points for livestock, and distribution of humanitarian relief materials to internally displaced persons (IDPs).
KACRAN described the NEDC as a model of sincerity and dedication in Nigeria’s public sector, praising the Commission’s efforts toward the rehabilitation and economic recovery of the Northeast region.
The association, however, called on President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to ensure timely and adequate funding for the NEDC to enable the Commission to sustain its development and humanitarian programs.
It stressed that increased funding would strengthen infrastructure development, livestock productivity, peace-building efforts, and humanitarian interventions across the Northeast.
KACRAN Calls for Increased Funding for Northeast Development
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