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War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
By Zagazola Makama
Carefully observing the geopolitical map of AFRICA, WAGNER Operation and disassociation from WEST hegemony straddles a straight line from coasts of SENEGAL to SUDAN where a geo-strategic interest lies.
It appears the diversion is in AFRICA, which has become the proxy area for the UKRAINE – RUSSIA war.
In retrospect, the campaign against WESTERN hegemony, especially FRANCE, had eaten deep into AFRICA and has potentially no reverse, as calls rose for, first, AFRICAN leadership to own their countries’ wealth and, second, a united AFRICA.
Equally, WAGNER, an extension of RUSSIAN military diplomacy, spearheaded a Psychological Operations measure to divert attention of NATO and other WESTERN powers’ attention as EUROPE continues to become tense over the UKRAINE – RUSSIA conflict.
For now, WESTERN dominance is on the verge of pulling more resources to maintain relations with AFRICA.
Whatever the consequences, a RUSSIA-led support virus had already been inoculated into the streams of support by part of AFRICA to take sides.
This, therefore, forms the context in which the buildup of tension between the NIGERIA-led ECOWAS and NIGER REPUBLIC over the recent coup overthrowing the Mohammed Bazoum-led democratically elected government of the West African francophone nation should be viewed.
The Bola Ahmed Tinubu-led government of Nigeria seems hell-bent on leading the combined ECOWAS military to storm Niamey, root out the coupists, free Bazoum from their captivity and reinstate him president of NIGER.
There are numerous salient facts with regard to NIGERIA-NIGER Republic relations that deserve crucial consideration before the ECOWAS forces pounce on NIGER.
This consideration is imperative for NIGERIA to avoid being deceived into a proxy war that will, in the long run, cause its drastic and cataclysmic fall from the enviable heights of West African Giant and, possibly, African leadership.
The most-startling of these facts.
Seven states in NIGERIA, stretching from the North-West to the North-East geopolitical zones border NIGER. The peoples of these states savor centuries-old sociocultural affinity and amity with the peoples of the southern flank of NIGER, contributing substantially to the economies of the countries for ages.
These close ties are about to be crushed by the ECOWAS forces.
Intelligence suggests despite sanctions by ECOWAS, BENIN Republic has opened up borders to NIGER, implying its disagreement with the gang up measure against its neighbor. Suspicion places NIGERIA in tight corners as pro-WEST to act spontaneously against its neighbor.
This is possibly as part of WAGNER psychological Operation to seek further movement of the PMC personnel into NIAMEY in part and WEST AFRICA as a whole.
NIGERIA-NIGER relations have always been excellent up until now. For instance, NIGER is always actively in support of NIGERIA during Counter insurgency Operations of the Multinational Joint Task Force and provides ISR as well as Air Interdiction during most missions.
Military operations, economic transfer and numerous other friendly relations exist between both nations.
The coup may have changed the politics but has not disemboweled the close ties or similarities in cultural and social identity between NIGERIA and her neighbors.
It is assumed the target to frustrate NIGERIA’s key role economically, politically and militarily after solely containing more than a decade old insurgency is likely.
Hence, NIGERIA should continue a broader defense diplomacy with its neighbors to maintain a steady course in foreign policy.
The strong ties NIGERIA with its neighbors should be used to overcome plans to utilize AFRICA as grounds for proxy war between the WESTERN and EASTERN powers.
There is a need for NIGERIA to showcase the big-brother position in aligning with AFRICA’s unity and suggest to her neighbors that despite all shortcomings, measures other than coup may not be a solution.
There is a need to call on the leadership of MALI, BURKINA FASO, GUINEA and others to realize support for one another as well as to devise means of solving the major issues of developing strategies against terrorism and western hegemony.
It will, therefore, be unfortunate to deploy force to NIGER.
Information suggests GHANA, TOGO, GAMBIA and LIBERIA have said they will not deploy troops to NIGER. More so, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Guinea, three West African nations, have backed the coup leaders in Niger, a move that poses a threat to regional stability. this is a trap for NIGERIA.
NIGERIA, for her own good, must not fall into this trap. It could be disastrous for, first, its status in the West African region and, indeed, the entire African continent; and, second, its existence as one enviably politically, diplomatically and economically powerful entity in global affairs.
The possible abstention of some of the West African nations from the impending war is not because ECOWAS does not have the capability to deploy a force to NIGER, but because other members will not commit as much resources as expected.
Moreover, ECOWAS will have to explain why it didn’t deploy similar forces to BURKINA FASO, MALI and GUINEA where their military also toppled democratic governments.
Generally, it will be a big strategic miscalculation for NIGERIA to commit to such externalities, with the several internal challenges facing the country.
A diplomatic solution to NIGER’s problem will be the best at this moment. NIGERIA has nothing to prove to the world except its proficiency in diplomatic relations and standing tall in might as a big brother. NIGERIA’s military diplomacy should play a key role in turning key issues.
NIGERIA faces devastating consequences should the war be carried out against NIGER.
Nigeria is strategically positioned into a geographical zone that it can never Win a War on the NIGER REPUBLIC even if the Military Junta is chased out of Niamey.
The following are definite to be the price of the aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC by ECOWAS by the West African allied forces:
First: Losing President Bazoum. For sure, the first consequences of the War on NIGER is that NIGERIA will only have the corpse of MOHAMMED BAZOUM whom PRESIDENT TINUBU led ECOWAS is so anxious to reinstate immediately Niamey is captured.
Is Nigeria or any fighter for the restoration of democracy ready for that to happen?
Second: More enmity will emanate against Nigeria within the West African region. The country will have more regional enemies than friends because all the Countries bordering NIGER REPUBLIC will not condone the aggression even if they restrain from attacking Nigeria in defense of their ally in the protection of their sovereignty.
Third: Diplomatic relations among West African nations could worsen, leading to the possible collapse of ECOWAS. This situation would be catastrophic to the economy of the region as free movement of its citizens becomes a big regional threat. Already Niger Republic is hosting over 300,000 Nigerian Refugees in Diffa, Bosso and Tumour. These IDPs are already facing stigmatization and humiliation from their host and soon they may be asked to leave.
Four: There could be a proliferation of unprecedentedly frightening forms of terrorism as a result of the presence of huge amounts of Bõko Harām Insurgents across the borders of the two countries that stretched into Mali, Burkina Faso up to the Sene-Gambian Region. Fledgeling or the collapse of ECOWAS would facilitate the infiltration of terrorist groups into the countries much easier than what happened to ISIS’s cross border operations in Syria, Iraq, Turkey and parts of Egypt’s Sinai mountainous region.
In this scenario, more massive funding will be made towards sponsoring “Terrorists Groups”, thus creating more others by International Agencies who have been enemies to “Global Peace” to control sensitively viable areas of economic importance for eventually ceaseless attacks such as the ongoing “Armed Banditry and Kidnappings” that are rampant in the Region.
Five: Inflation and economic recession is definitely going to hit Nigeria immediately the war starts, causing millions of people across the region to lose their jobs, causing high cost of living for the ordinary citizens of both countries.
Six: Famine and rampant deaths would be inevitable as a result of the hampering of all agricultural activities, with the war intensifying where massive hectares of land shall remain without being harvested for more than 75 percent of the region in the same technical manner Bõko Harām disrupts farming for than a decade throughout most parts of the North-East.
Seven: Massive migration across West Africa, and, possibly, between West Africa and other contiguous regions of the African continent would take place as refugees from both sides keep flooding the Sub-saharan region.
With Nigeria presently finding it difficult to manage the growing humanitarian crisis with millions of its Internally Displaced Persons (IDPS) due to terrorism and banditry, another unsustainable chaotic conditions will be artificially created for it to handle.
For sure, when the drums of War are beaten and the planned aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC commences, NORTHERN NIGERIA’s (Arēwa) Region, from Gamboru to Kamba, From ILLELA/JIBIYA/MAI-ADUWA/MAIGATARI to OTURKPO would be submerged in total full scale insecurity.
This could threaten the existence of NORTHERN NIGERIA. Once NORTHERN NIGERIA is gone, the official Federation of what is known as Nigeria would be “Badly Bargained”, forever.
Nigeria should look before it leaps.
To be forewarned is to be forearmed!
Zagazola is a Counter-Insurgency expert and security analyst in the Lake Chad region.
War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
News
Alex Birbir’s Plateau False Narrative Collapses Under the Weight of Facts
Alex Birbir’s Plateau False Narrative Collapses Under the Weight of Facts
By: Zagazola Makama
Once again, Mr. Alex Birbir, speaking comfortably from outside Nigeria and relying heavily on emotionally charged propaganda supplied by local conflict entrepreneurs, has attempted to distort the realities of the Plateau crisis into a simplistic and dangerous narratives designed for foreign audiences unfamiliar with the actual situation on ground.
His latest podcast is not only riddled with exaggerations, contradictions and outright falsehoods, but also dangerously seeks to demonize Nigerian security forces while justifying armed Berom militia mobilisation under the deceptive banner of “self-defense.”
At the fore of Birbir’s claim is the allegation that Nigerian troops “fought alongside Fulani terrorists” against Berom youths who, according to him, merely wanted to defend their communities after attacks in Barkin Ladi.
But the actual sequence of events completely destroys this narrative. What truly happened on Wednesday, May 6, 2026, was that a large group of armed Berom youths mobilized toward the predominantly Fulani settlement of Jong following the killing of seven locals at Nding Sesut community the previous day.
Security sources confirmed that before the mobilisation, some of the youths allegedly contacted the Army commander in the area and demanded that troops “step aside” so they could carry out a retaliatory raid on Jong community.
That request was refused. Instead of abandoning their constitutional responsibility, troops of Operation Enduring Peace (OPEP) deployed to prevent the reprisal attack and stop what could have turned into a mass casualty event against innocent civilians.
That singular action is now being twisted by Birbir into “the military fighting alongside Fulani terrorists.” Think carefully about the absurdity of that argument. Since when did preventing a retaliatory raid on an entire civilian settlement become “supporting terrorists”?
If armed youths from any ethnic group mobilize toward another community carrying weapons and threatening reprisals, is the military supposed to simply fold its arms and allow bloodshed because activists overseas have already chosen their preferred victims and villains? The troops prevented a revenge attack.
And because they refused to allow armed youths to storm Jong community, propaganda merchants like Birbir became angry.
What Birbir deliberately refuses to mention is that when the armed youths arrived near Jong, shooting started from their own side and a firefight followed involving armed Fulani elements in the area. Troops were immediately alerted and swiftly intervened, dominating the general area and preventing total escalation.
Troops Operation Enduring Peace also deployed Quick Response Forces which helped stabilize the situation and prevent further reprisals. That is what professional soldiers are supposed to do. Yet in Birbir’s fictional version, stopping armed youths from invading another community somehow translates into “fighting Christians.” Even more reckless is his repeated attempt to frame the Plateau crisis as some grand “Islamic jihad” to establish a caliphate in Nigeria.
There is absolutely no evidence that Boko Haram, ISWAP or any international jihadist organization is operating inside Barkin Ladi, Riyom, Bassa or Mangu as part of a coordinated Islamic conquest.
What Plateau is suffering from is a brutal cycle of communal reprisals involving armed groups from multiple sides, fueled by cattle rustling, land disputes, attacks on herders, revenge killings, illegal mining disputes and long-standing ethnic grievances which we have consistently documented.
The violence is tragic.But it is not the Hollywood-style “Christianity versus Islam” fantasy Birbir and his cohort are selling online. In fact, many of the incidents he ignores completely expose how selective and dishonest the propaganda has become.
For example, on May 10, 2026, troops of Sector 6 Operation Enduring Peace came under direct ambush from armed Berom militia while responding to reports of attacks on cattle around Gero area in Jos South LGA. The attackers reportedly attempted to encircle troops from surrounding hills before soldiers responded with superior firepower, forcing them to retreat toward Nyango and Daron communities.
During the attack, nine cows were killed, five injured and a Fulani herder identified as Aliyu Yusuf sustained gunshot wounds. Hours later, another soldier, Warrant Officer Rex Okang, was brutally attacked and badly injured by armed youths in Dorowa Tsoho, Barkin Ladi.
So the same military Birbir accuses of “supporting Fulani terrorists” is now also being attacked by the very armed groups he portrays as helpless victims. This is now becoming a very consistent and dangerous pattern of insurrection.
Whenever troops refuse to permit retaliatory attacks, attempt arrests, recover illegal weapons or block armed mobilisations, they are immediately blackmailed with accusations of “supporting Fulani terrorists.” When checkpoints are maintained, troops are accused of bias.
When checkpoints are withdrawn after attacks on soldiers, troops are accused of abandonment. When troops stop reprisals, they are accused of supporting one side.
When they arrest armed suspects, activists suddenly scream “targeting indigenous people.”
It is a propaganda carefully designed to delegitimize security operations anytime armed militias fail to get what they want. The reality on ground is that Nigerian troops have repeatedly risked their lives protecting communities across Plateau regardless of ethnicity. Troops have responded to attacks on Berom communities. Troops have also responded to attacks on Fulani settlements. Troops have recovered rustled cattle. Troops have evacuated wounded civilians from both sides.
Troops have prevented reprisals. Troops have died trying to restore peace. In the same plateau troops under attack of bandits and lost many officers and men.
Only recently in Mangu, a senior Nigerian Army officer was brutally killed after they came under heavy fire by the local Militia in Plateau. At different times, they have been attacked by Berom youths. But none of these matter to some propagandists whose primary interest is sustaining outrage and exporting a false genocide narrative abroad.
Perhaps the most dramatic chapter in Alex Birbir’s latest online fiction series was his now-famous “Burial Attack” story, where he attempted to convince international audiences that heavily armed Fulani jihadists surrounded a Christian burial ground in Barkin Ladi, launched a coordinated massacre operation, exchanged gunfire for “four to five hours,” while the Nigerian military conveniently disappeared into thin air.
During the tense atmosphere surrounding the burial, armed local youths were already positioned around the area and gunfire was reportedly initiated from within the local militia side toward surrounding hills after rumors spread about possible movements nearby.
According to Birbir, mourners were abandoned, Christians were left “with sticks and machetes,” machine guns echoed everywhere, terrorists almost overran the burial ground, and only brave local youths prevented “dozens and dozens” from being massacred. Even more revealing was Birbir’s own statement where he proudly declared that local youths “took up arms” to defend the area. In the aftermath, not one casualty, not one corpse, not one verified gunshot victim. No hospital admission. No medical evacuation. No emergency death report, was recorded.
Mr Birbir should therefore tell us how does a supposed four-to-five-hour terrorist assault involving machine guns and sniper rifles end without a single confirmed casualty? Did the terrorists suddenly forget how to shoot? Or perhaps, just perhaps, the entire event was massively exaggerated and manipulated for propaganda purposes.
Birbir also made another astonishing claim, insisting that “Christians defended themselves with sticks and stones against machine guns and AK-47s.” Again, facts expose the dishonesty. Security operations in Plateau have repeatedly uncovered Ak47 riffles, pistols, locally fabricated rifles, illegal arms factories, ammunition components and armed Berom militia networks linked to criminal elements operating in the state.
Several suspects involved in illegal weapons fabrication, robbery, and targeted attacks have already been arrested by troops while credible information has uncovered more arms factories. Only recently, troops recovered another fabricated rifle from a Berom militia member during operations in Barkin Ladi. If people are only carrying “sticks and stones,” where are these rifles, ammunition and fabricated weapons suddenly coming from?
Do illegal assault rifles or Ak47 now grow naturally inside Plateau or Berom farmlands? Even more revealing was Birbir’s own statement where he admitted that local youths “took up arms” to defend themselves. That statement alone destroys the entire “helpless civilians” narrative being marketed internationally. Mention a single scenario where they have defended their communities, instead those arms were used to perpetuate targeted attacks, armed robbery and cattle rustling. This year alone, the Berom militia have rustled or killed more than 400 cattle belonging to the fulani. None of these reports was acknowledge by Me Birbir.
Nobody denies that communities have suffered terrible losses in Plateau as a result of the attacks by Fulani bandits. Both Berom and Fulani communities have buried victims. Both sides have suffered same level of attacks. Both sides have experienced reprisals.
But what Birbir and similar propagandists are doing is dangerously reframing a complex communal conflict into a false one-directional religious extermination narrative. And that distortion is extremely dangerous because it radicalizes youths, fuels retaliation and undermines peace efforts.
Perhaps the greatest irony of all is this,
the same armed groups now attacking soldiers are often from the same communities loudly accusing the military of not protecting them enough. Troops are insulted when they intervene. Troops are attacked when they maintain neutrality. Troops are blackmailed when they stop reprisals. Troops are demonized when they arrest suspects. Naked women run to the street to protest. In one instant, they attacked troops, dismantled their check point and burnt some of their equipment.
Yet if the military withdraws completely and violence escalates uncontrollably, the same voices will again blame the military for “abandoning Christians.” This endless contradiction exposes the real problem:
Some actors no longer want peace.
They want validation for retaliation.
The unfortunate truth is that Plateau’s violence will never end if every attempt to enforce neutrality is interpreted as “supporting the enemy.” No military operation can succeed where armed militias are defended, illegal weapons are normalized and propaganda rewards revenge narratives over accountability.
Accusing troops of “aiding terrorists” simply because they prevented armed youths from attacking another civilian settlement is not only dishonest, it is reckless and inflammatory.
Peace in Plateau will only come through truth, accountability, disarmament and honest dialogue, not through emotional podcasts designed to inflame international outrage while ignoring the full complexity of the conflict.
Alex Birbir’s Plateau False Narrative Collapses Under the Weight of Facts
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Zulum Appoints Prof. Bukar Usman as Pioneer Chairman of Zakkat, Waqf Commission, Names New Secondary Education Board Member
Zulum Appoints Prof. Bukar Usman as Pioneer Chairman of Zakkat, Waqf Commission, Names New Secondary Education Board Member
By: Our Reporter
Borno State Governor, Professor Babagana Umara Zulum, has approved the appointment of Prof. Bukar Muhammad Usman as the pioneer Executive Chairman of the newly established Zakkat and Waqf Collection and Distribution Commission.
The Commission, which became operational in 2025 following the passage of its enabling law by the State Assembly and the Governor’s subsequent assent, is mandated to oversee the collection, administration, and equitable distribution of Zakkat and Waqf across the state.
The appointment of the Executive Chairman is in accordance with the powers conferred on the Governor under Section 4 (1) and (2) of the Commission’s Law, 2025.
Prof. Bukar Muhammad Usman, a Professor of Arabic Literature and a distinguished Islamic scholar, brings to the role expertise in Islamic jurisprudence and academic leadership.
He began his academic career at the Nigerian Arabic Language Village, Gamboru Ngala, where he served as a lecturer from 2006 to 2018. Following the completion of his Ph.D., he joined the Department of Arabic at Yobe State University, where he currently holds the rank of professor.
Before his appointment, Prof. Bukar served as Head of the Department of Arabic at Yobe State University and was a member of both the university’s Senate and Council. He also served on the editorial board of Al-Nur Journal, a scholarly publication of the Department of Arabic.
He participated in numerous seminars, workshops, and conferences both nationally and internationally. He has published several scholarly papers in reputable local and international journals and also supervised many Master’s and Ph.D. theses across various institutions.
In a related development, Governor Zulum has also approved the appointment of Malam Muhammad Ibrahim Muhammad as a member of Borno State Senior Secondary Education Board, representing Southern Borno.
The appointment follows the demise of Alhaji Ibrahim Sarki in January 2026 and is in line with the provisions of Section 4 (1)(a) of the Borno State Senior Secondary Education Board (Amendment) Law, 2024.
Until his appointment, Malam Muhammad Ibrahim Muhammad was a lecturer at the College of Education, Gashua, and holds a Master’s degree in Fundamentals of Religion.
Governor Zulum congratulated the appointees and urged them to deploy their experience, integrity, and commitment toward strengthening their respective institutions.
Both appointments are for an initial term of four years and are subject to confirmation by the Borno State House of Assembly.
Zulum Appoints Prof. Bukar Usman as Pioneer Chairman of Zakkat, Waqf Commission, Names New Secondary Education Board Member
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Zulum elated by Tinubu’s approval of 3 federal institutions for Borno in 3 years
Zulum elated by Tinubu’s approval of 3 federal institutions for Borno in 3 years
.. Says Borno will reciprocate the gesture in 2027
By: Our Reporter
Borno State Governor, Professor Babagana Umara Zulum, has commended President Bola Ahmed Tinubu for approving three major federal institutions for the state within three years of assuming office.
Zulum made the commendation on Sunday in Bama, shortly after a sympathy visit to residents affected by a devastating windstorm that struck part of the town last week.
Zulum specifically noted that since President Tinubu took office, he has approved the take-off of three vital federal institutions, including the Federal College of Education, Gwoza; the National Orthopaedic Hospital, Azare; and the Federal University of Agriculture and Entrepreneurship, Bama.
He expressed delight that the institutions would directly transform the lives of the people of Borno through job creation, improved access to quality education, and specialised healthcare delivery.
Zulum commended President Tinubu for his sustained attention to Borno’s recovery and development needs, noting that the three federal institutions would significantly accelerate post-insurgency reconstruction and economic revitalisation.
“I want to draw your attention to the establishment of the Federal University of Agriculture and Entrepreneurship, Bama, by the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, just two days ago.
“The pioneer principal officers were appointed. This is a remarkable achievement, and we want to hail the President for what he has done.”
“The take-off of the Federal College of Education, Gwoza, and the National Orthopaedic Hospital, Azare, was achieved under the administration of President Tinubu; therefore, I want to commend him and assure him that the people of Borno State will reciprocate the kind gesture at the appropriate time.”
Zulum had last year announced the handover of Umar Ibn Ibrahim El-Kanemi College of Education, Science, and Technology, Bama, for the immediate commencement of academic activities at the newly established Federal University of Agriculture and Entrepreneurship, Bama. The Governor also approved one billion naira for the immediate take-off of the University.
The Governor has consistently offered similar support to the Federal Polytechnic, Monguno; Federal College of Education, Gwoza; and National Orthopaedic Hospital, Azare, approving over N5 billion to facilitate a seamless take-off.
The Governor also inspected ongoing construction work for the 19 Brigade headquarters in Bama, underscoring his administration’s determination to consolidate security gains and restore full civil authority around the Bama general area.
Zulum elated by Tinubu’s approval of 3 federal institutions for Borno in 3 years
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