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War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
By Zagazola Makama
Carefully observing the geopolitical map of AFRICA, WAGNER Operation and disassociation from WEST hegemony straddles a straight line from coasts of SENEGAL to SUDAN where a geo-strategic interest lies.
It appears the diversion is in AFRICA, which has become the proxy area for the UKRAINE – RUSSIA war.
In retrospect, the campaign against WESTERN hegemony, especially FRANCE, had eaten deep into AFRICA and has potentially no reverse, as calls rose for, first, AFRICAN leadership to own their countries’ wealth and, second, a united AFRICA.
Equally, WAGNER, an extension of RUSSIAN military diplomacy, spearheaded a Psychological Operations measure to divert attention of NATO and other WESTERN powers’ attention as EUROPE continues to become tense over the UKRAINE – RUSSIA conflict.
For now, WESTERN dominance is on the verge of pulling more resources to maintain relations with AFRICA.
Whatever the consequences, a RUSSIA-led support virus had already been inoculated into the streams of support by part of AFRICA to take sides.
This, therefore, forms the context in which the buildup of tension between the NIGERIA-led ECOWAS and NIGER REPUBLIC over the recent coup overthrowing the Mohammed Bazoum-led democratically elected government of the West African francophone nation should be viewed.
The Bola Ahmed Tinubu-led government of Nigeria seems hell-bent on leading the combined ECOWAS military to storm Niamey, root out the coupists, free Bazoum from their captivity and reinstate him president of NIGER.
There are numerous salient facts with regard to NIGERIA-NIGER Republic relations that deserve crucial consideration before the ECOWAS forces pounce on NIGER.
This consideration is imperative for NIGERIA to avoid being deceived into a proxy war that will, in the long run, cause its drastic and cataclysmic fall from the enviable heights of West African Giant and, possibly, African leadership.
The most-startling of these facts.
Seven states in NIGERIA, stretching from the North-West to the North-East geopolitical zones border NIGER. The peoples of these states savor centuries-old sociocultural affinity and amity with the peoples of the southern flank of NIGER, contributing substantially to the economies of the countries for ages.
These close ties are about to be crushed by the ECOWAS forces.
Intelligence suggests despite sanctions by ECOWAS, BENIN Republic has opened up borders to NIGER, implying its disagreement with the gang up measure against its neighbor. Suspicion places NIGERIA in tight corners as pro-WEST to act spontaneously against its neighbor.
This is possibly as part of WAGNER psychological Operation to seek further movement of the PMC personnel into NIAMEY in part and WEST AFRICA as a whole.
NIGERIA-NIGER relations have always been excellent up until now. For instance, NIGER is always actively in support of NIGERIA during Counter insurgency Operations of the Multinational Joint Task Force and provides ISR as well as Air Interdiction during most missions.
Military operations, economic transfer and numerous other friendly relations exist between both nations.
The coup may have changed the politics but has not disemboweled the close ties or similarities in cultural and social identity between NIGERIA and her neighbors.
It is assumed the target to frustrate NIGERIA’s key role economically, politically and militarily after solely containing more than a decade old insurgency is likely.
Hence, NIGERIA should continue a broader defense diplomacy with its neighbors to maintain a steady course in foreign policy.
The strong ties NIGERIA with its neighbors should be used to overcome plans to utilize AFRICA as grounds for proxy war between the WESTERN and EASTERN powers.
There is a need for NIGERIA to showcase the big-brother position in aligning with AFRICA’s unity and suggest to her neighbors that despite all shortcomings, measures other than coup may not be a solution.
There is a need to call on the leadership of MALI, BURKINA FASO, GUINEA and others to realize support for one another as well as to devise means of solving the major issues of developing strategies against terrorism and western hegemony.
It will, therefore, be unfortunate to deploy force to NIGER.
Information suggests GHANA, TOGO, GAMBIA and LIBERIA have said they will not deploy troops to NIGER. More so, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Guinea, three West African nations, have backed the coup leaders in Niger, a move that poses a threat to regional stability. this is a trap for NIGERIA.
NIGERIA, for her own good, must not fall into this trap. It could be disastrous for, first, its status in the West African region and, indeed, the entire African continent; and, second, its existence as one enviably politically, diplomatically and economically powerful entity in global affairs.
The possible abstention of some of the West African nations from the impending war is not because ECOWAS does not have the capability to deploy a force to NIGER, but because other members will not commit as much resources as expected.
Moreover, ECOWAS will have to explain why it didn’t deploy similar forces to BURKINA FASO, MALI and GUINEA where their military also toppled democratic governments.
Generally, it will be a big strategic miscalculation for NIGERIA to commit to such externalities, with the several internal challenges facing the country.
A diplomatic solution to NIGER’s problem will be the best at this moment. NIGERIA has nothing to prove to the world except its proficiency in diplomatic relations and standing tall in might as a big brother. NIGERIA’s military diplomacy should play a key role in turning key issues.
NIGERIA faces devastating consequences should the war be carried out against NIGER.
Nigeria is strategically positioned into a geographical zone that it can never Win a War on the NIGER REPUBLIC even if the Military Junta is chased out of Niamey.
The following are definite to be the price of the aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC by ECOWAS by the West African allied forces:
First: Losing President Bazoum. For sure, the first consequences of the War on NIGER is that NIGERIA will only have the corpse of MOHAMMED BAZOUM whom PRESIDENT TINUBU led ECOWAS is so anxious to reinstate immediately Niamey is captured.
Is Nigeria or any fighter for the restoration of democracy ready for that to happen?
Second: More enmity will emanate against Nigeria within the West African region. The country will have more regional enemies than friends because all the Countries bordering NIGER REPUBLIC will not condone the aggression even if they restrain from attacking Nigeria in defense of their ally in the protection of their sovereignty.
Third: Diplomatic relations among West African nations could worsen, leading to the possible collapse of ECOWAS. This situation would be catastrophic to the economy of the region as free movement of its citizens becomes a big regional threat. Already Niger Republic is hosting over 300,000 Nigerian Refugees in Diffa, Bosso and Tumour. These IDPs are already facing stigmatization and humiliation from their host and soon they may be asked to leave.
Four: There could be a proliferation of unprecedentedly frightening forms of terrorism as a result of the presence of huge amounts of Bõko Harām Insurgents across the borders of the two countries that stretched into Mali, Burkina Faso up to the Sene-Gambian Region. Fledgeling or the collapse of ECOWAS would facilitate the infiltration of terrorist groups into the countries much easier than what happened to ISIS’s cross border operations in Syria, Iraq, Turkey and parts of Egypt’s Sinai mountainous region.
In this scenario, more massive funding will be made towards sponsoring “Terrorists Groups”, thus creating more others by International Agencies who have been enemies to “Global Peace” to control sensitively viable areas of economic importance for eventually ceaseless attacks such as the ongoing “Armed Banditry and Kidnappings” that are rampant in the Region.
Five: Inflation and economic recession is definitely going to hit Nigeria immediately the war starts, causing millions of people across the region to lose their jobs, causing high cost of living for the ordinary citizens of both countries.
Six: Famine and rampant deaths would be inevitable as a result of the hampering of all agricultural activities, with the war intensifying where massive hectares of land shall remain without being harvested for more than 75 percent of the region in the same technical manner Bõko Harām disrupts farming for than a decade throughout most parts of the North-East.
Seven: Massive migration across West Africa, and, possibly, between West Africa and other contiguous regions of the African continent would take place as refugees from both sides keep flooding the Sub-saharan region.
With Nigeria presently finding it difficult to manage the growing humanitarian crisis with millions of its Internally Displaced Persons (IDPS) due to terrorism and banditry, another unsustainable chaotic conditions will be artificially created for it to handle.
For sure, when the drums of War are beaten and the planned aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC commences, NORTHERN NIGERIA’s (Arēwa) Region, from Gamboru to Kamba, From ILLELA/JIBIYA/MAI-ADUWA/MAIGATARI to OTURKPO would be submerged in total full scale insecurity.
This could threaten the existence of NORTHERN NIGERIA. Once NORTHERN NIGERIA is gone, the official Federation of what is known as Nigeria would be “Badly Bargained”, forever.
Nigeria should look before it leaps.
To be forewarned is to be forearmed!
Zagazola is a Counter-Insurgency expert and security analyst in the Lake Chad region.
War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps
News
NHRC Confronts Past Challenges, Pushes Digital Overhaul to Fix Broken Complaint System
NHRC Confronts Past Challenges, Pushes Digital Overhaul to Fix Broken Complaint System
By: Michael Mike
The National Human Rights Commission (NHRC) has acknowledged deep-rooted weaknesses in its complaint handling system and is now pushing an ambitious overhaul anchored on digital transformation and institutional reform.
At a high-level stakeholder validation meeting in Abuja, the Commission signaled a decisive shift from outdated, ineffective procedures toward a modern, technology-driven framework designed to restore public confidence and improve access to justice.
Executive Secretary of the Commission, Tony Ojukwu, described the ongoing review of the Complaint Handling Manual as more than a routine update, but a critical reset.
“We are gathered here to review, refine and ultimately validate the Complaint Handling Manual,” he said, stressing that the process must deliver real remedies for victims, particularly the most vulnerable.
But it was the candid admission from former NHRC Director of Civil and Political Rights, AbdulRahman Yakubu that underscored the urgency of reform.
“That manual was not used because of so many deficiencies and was abandoned,” Yakubu revealed, exposing a troubling gap between policy design and implementation that has long hindered the Commission’s effectiveness.
The NHRC, which has expanded from just eight staff to over 1,000 personnel and 38 offices nationwide, now faces mounting pressure to match its institutional growth with functional efficiency.
Yakubu noted that while the Commission’s structure has evolved—with four specialized departments now handling complaints—the absence of a practical, enforceable framework has limited impact.
Central to the reform push is the digitization of the entire complaints process, a move stakeholders say could significantly reduce delays, improve transparency, and strengthen accountability.
“We need automation and digitization of the complaints management process from beginning to end,” Yakubu said, describing the complaints registry as “the engine room” of operations.
The proposed system will also introduce standardized investigation templates and documentation tools, including a certificate of service, aimed at closing loopholes that have previously weakened case tracking and enforcement.
NHRC official Anthonia Nwabueze said the validation exercise is part of a broader effort to rebuild credibility through inclusiveness and expert input.
“The Commission cannot work alone; we decided to bring stakeholders together to join us in this critique,” she said, adding that the process is designed to identify gaps, eliminate inconsistencies, and produce a manual that is both practical and enforceable.
Beyond technical reforms, the Commission is also seeking to reorient its approach toward victims.
Ojukwu challenged participants to adopt a rights-based, people-centered lens. “Look at it through the lens of the most marginalised and vulnerable victims—ask the hard questions,” he urged.
The ongoing validation signals a rare moment of institutional self-reflection for the NHRC—one that acknowledges past shortcomings while attempting to build a more responsive, transparent, and technology-driven system.
If successfully implemented, the reforms could mark a turning point in how human rights complaints are handled in Nigeria, shifting the Commission from a largely reactive body to a more efficient and accountable protector of citizens’ rights.
NHRC Confronts Past Challenges, Pushes Digital Overhaul to Fix Broken Complaint System
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NIGCOMSAT Targets Industrial Leap with Startup Push, Skills Drive
NIGCOMSAT Targets Industrial Leap with Startup Push, Skills Drive
By: Michael Mike
Nigeria’s state-owned satellite operator, Nigerian Communications Satellite Limited (NIGCOMSAT), is repositioning itself at the heart of the country’s industrialisation agenda, backing over 5,000 startups and expanding digital skills training as part of a broader push to turn connectivity into economic power.
The Managing Director/CEO, Jane Egerton-Idehen, disclosed the scale of intervention at the SOYUZNIK Alumni National Congress in Abuja, where she framed satellite infrastructure not just as a communications tool, but as a catalyst for production, innovation, and national competitiveness.
In a keynote delivered on her behalf by Acting Director of Technical Services, Engr. Ikechukwu Amalu, Egerton-Idehen said the agency’s Space Accelerator Programme—now in its third cohort—has quietly evolved into a pipeline for nurturing technology-driven enterprises, particularly in underserved segments of Nigeria’s digital economy.
The intervention comes amid growing concern that Nigeria’s innovation ecosystem, though vibrant, remains weakly linked to industrial output. NIGCOMSAT’s approach seeks to close that gap—pairing startup support with hands-on technical training and expanding connectivity to areas historically left out of the digital economy.
Across states including Adamawa, Jigawa, Cross River, and Enugu, the agency’s VSAT training programmes are equipping young Nigerians with practical, market-ready skills, targeting employability and enterprise creation rather than theoretical knowledge.
Egerton-Idehen argued that such interventions are critical if Nigeria is to transition from a consumption-driven economy to a production-led one.
“Connectivity is no longer a luxury—it is the foundation of modern economic systems,” she said, stressing that countries that fail to build strong digital infrastructure risk being locked out of the next phase of global industrial competition.
She pointed to ongoing projects such as the 774 Connectivity Initiative, which has so far extended digital access to dozens of local government secretariats, as part of efforts to deepen governance, improve service delivery, and stimulate economic activity at the grassroots.
Beyond infrastructure, she called for a structural reset in Nigeria’s education system, urging stronger alignment with emerging technologies including artificial intelligence, data science, and satellite communications.
According to her, the real challenge is not a lack of talent, but the absence of systems that convert knowledge into measurable economic output.
She also warned that innovation ecosystems cannot thrive without deliberate collaboration between academia, industry, and government, backed by sustained investment in research and clear regulatory frameworks that protect intellectual property.
The SOYUZNIK Alumni—comprising graduates of Russian and former Soviet Union institutions—were urged to leverage their international exposure to drive technology transfer and localisation of innovation within Nigeria.
In his welcome remarks, Abuja chapter chairman, Agu Collins Agu, described the congress as a convergence of technical expertise with the potential to influence national development outcomes.
As Nigeria grapples with sluggish industrial growth and rising youth unemployment, NIGCOMSAT’s expanding role signals a strategic shift—one that places digital infrastructure, innovation, and skills development at the centre of the country’s economic transformation agenda.
NIGCOMSAT Targets Industrial Leap with Startup Push, Skills Drive
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Tribute to the late flight Sergeant Temitope Beckley
Tribute to the late flight Sergeant Temitope Beckley
By: Bodunrin Kayode
Dear Tope, I am still in shock that you had to leave so early at just 50. Seven years before your father our dear uncle Alaba left at 57. And my own father your uncle too same 57, all of the Akinlawon stock of the Beckleys in Lagos.
Sad you had to leave us so early. I am sad because of the bond we shared as special cousins or what people of your generation call besties. You were a jolly good fellow to me in particular whenever our paths crossed. Aburo (little brother), as I used to call you, family may share the same names sometimes and blood but very few are real friends within a particular family. If there are friends within our family, you are definitely one of them. A very jovial fellow who looks out for the others. A friend indeed among brothers and cousins. Your eyes always glittered when you were around me. And of recent you became more concerned about me when you heard that I was in the North East Nigerian war theatre of operation Hadin Kai. I assured you that because He lives i will always face tomorrow.
How we built our friendship
I remember my brief stay with you guys at the family house in folarin street, Mushin. Trying to rediscover myself as Uncle Alaba would call it anytime he asked me to escort him to EMPLAN consult were he was working then. Each time we returned, you were always close by asking the right questions the little ones always asked their older brothers. I enjoyed your restlessness at that young tender age, wanting to know a lot of things out there especially when we watched TV together and you did not understand what was going on. With the kinds of questions your probing mind used to ask, I always knew that you were going to become one of the shining lights of the family. I even dreamt of you joining me in serving God and country as a media practitioner one day. But you had other plans and ended up at the Nigerian Air Force as you did till your last breath due to a protracted illness.
When I later started my studies to train as a journalist and found myself staying at Akobi crescent with Uncle Akobi, you never forget to stop by and check on me. You kept the flame burning. Your appearances were always remarkable with that glitter in your eyes which used to lighten up my weekend whenever you showed up. Brother Akin was always at hand to host us. Whenever he wasn’t around, we would go out to hang out as young people to have fun. You were always with the older ones hardly having time for your generation. Distance would now separate us when I was posted to Taraba state by the then daily times as its maiden correspondent. But we always met along the way until you joined the air force.
Your worries about Nigeria
Tope, at your level in the service in the military, you already knew the difference between right and wrong and you were very methodical and meticulous in the way you conducted your affairs. You asked more questions as always but this time as a seasoned personnel of the Nigerian Air Force. You knew where you were coming from and were you wanted to be in the nearest future. I encouraged you that in all things we should give thanks to our Creator. The one who is and is to come. You were on course in your relationship with him.
I remember our last discussion, about the insurgency challenge the military is dealing with at our backyard in Borno. Your perception about the Nigerian Air Force which you served till your natural passing. And your projection for the future in terms of security for the country. I asked for your family and you updated me that they were fine. I was worried about the fact that I am yet to meet your loving family but you assured me that we would surely meet someday even though your spouse was in Canada pursuing her dream. The telephone chat zeroed down to why I called. I actually chatted you because I remembered your father the great Uncle Alaba who had gone to the great beyond. And I wanted to honour his memory with a tribute 29 years after his demise. You promised feeding me with the extra details I wanted to add to what I got from your big sis Tosin. But that never happened. I never got the pictures of Uncle or the details I wanted. That has been rested for his 30th anniversary now.
Rather what I got was a rude shock of your sudden collapse and departure from this world. Tope, you suddenly joined your father in the great beyond at the untimely age of 50. We can’t question God Almighty our Creator over this decision. We would rather give thanks to him for the life you lived because He said we must give thanks to Him in all things.
Aburo, all I can say now is permission granted because you never sort for anyone’s permission to bow out. This was the command of your creator, the All knowing I Am who decides when it is time to come or to leave this world. Tope, be rest assured that some of us will never forget coming across your path in this short life. Enjoy your sleep great soldier until we meet to part no more.
Broda Sam.
Tribute to the late flight Sergeant Temitope Beckley
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