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War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps

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War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps

By Zagazola Makama

Carefully observing the geopolitical map of AFRICA, WAGNER Operation and disassociation from WEST hegemony straddles a straight line from coasts of SENEGAL to SUDAN where a geo-strategic interest lies.

It appears the diversion is in AFRICA, which has become the proxy area for the UKRAINE – RUSSIA war.

In retrospect, the campaign against WESTERN hegemony, especially FRANCE, had eaten deep into AFRICA and has potentially no reverse, as calls rose for, first, AFRICAN leadership to own their countries’ wealth and, second, a united AFRICA.

Equally, WAGNER, an extension of RUSSIAN military diplomacy, spearheaded a Psychological Operations measure to divert attention of NATO and other WESTERN powers’ attention as EUROPE continues to become tense over the UKRAINE – RUSSIA conflict.

For now, WESTERN dominance is on the verge of pulling more resources to maintain relations with AFRICA.

Whatever the consequences, a RUSSIA-led support virus had already been inoculated into the streams of support by part of AFRICA to take sides.

This, therefore, forms the context in which the buildup of tension between the NIGERIA-led ECOWAS and NIGER REPUBLIC over the recent coup overthrowing the Mohammed Bazoum-led democratically elected government of the West African francophone nation should be viewed.

The Bola Ahmed Tinubu-led government of Nigeria seems hell-bent on leading the combined ECOWAS military to storm Niamey, root out the coupists, free Bazoum from their captivity and reinstate him president of NIGER.

There are numerous salient facts with regard to NIGERIA-NIGER Republic relations that deserve crucial consideration before the ECOWAS forces pounce on NIGER.

This consideration is imperative for NIGERIA to avoid being deceived into a proxy war that will, in the long run, cause its drastic and cataclysmic fall from the enviable heights of West African Giant and, possibly, African leadership.

The most-startling of these facts.

Seven states in NIGERIA, stretching from the North-West to the North-East geopolitical zones border NIGER. The peoples of these states savor centuries-old sociocultural affinity and amity with the peoples of the southern flank of NIGER, contributing substantially to the economies of the countries for ages.

These close ties are about to be crushed by the ECOWAS forces.

Intelligence suggests despite sanctions by ECOWAS, BENIN Republic has opened up borders to NIGER, implying its disagreement with the gang up measure against its neighbor. Suspicion places NIGERIA in tight corners as pro-WEST to act spontaneously against its neighbor.

This is possibly as part of WAGNER psychological Operation to seek further movement of the PMC personnel into NIAMEY in part and WEST AFRICA as a whole.

NIGERIA-NIGER relations have always been excellent up until now. For instance, NIGER is always actively in support of NIGERIA during Counter insurgency Operations of the Multinational Joint Task Force and provides ISR as well as Air Interdiction during most missions.

Military operations, economic transfer and numerous other friendly relations exist between both nations.

The coup may have changed the politics but has not disemboweled the close ties or similarities in cultural and social identity between NIGERIA and her neighbors.

It is assumed the target to frustrate NIGERIA’s key role economically, politically and militarily after solely containing more than a decade old insurgency is likely.

Hence, NIGERIA should continue a broader defense diplomacy with its neighbors to maintain a steady course in foreign policy.

The strong ties NIGERIA with its neighbors should be used to overcome plans to utilize AFRICA as grounds for proxy war between the WESTERN and EASTERN powers.

There is a need for NIGERIA to showcase the big-brother position in aligning with AFRICA’s unity and suggest to her neighbors that despite all shortcomings, measures other than coup may not be a solution.

There is a need to call on the leadership of MALI, BURKINA FASO, GUINEA and others to realize support for one another as well as to devise means of solving the major issues of developing strategies against terrorism and western hegemony.

It will, therefore, be unfortunate to deploy force to NIGER.

Information suggests GHANA, TOGO, GAMBIA and LIBERIA have said they will not deploy troops to NIGER. More so, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Guinea, three West African nations, have backed the coup leaders in Niger, a move that poses a threat to regional stability. this is a trap for NIGERIA.

NIGERIA, for her own good, must not fall into this trap. It could be disastrous for, first, its status in the West African region and, indeed, the entire African continent; and, second, its existence as one enviably politically, diplomatically and economically powerful entity in global affairs.

The possible abstention of some of the West African nations from the impending war is not because ECOWAS does not have the capability to deploy a force to NIGER, but because other members will not commit as much resources as expected.

Moreover, ECOWAS will have to explain why it didn’t deploy similar forces to BURKINA FASO, MALI and GUINEA where their military also toppled democratic governments.

Generally, it will be a big strategic miscalculation for NIGERIA to commit to such externalities, with the several internal challenges facing the country.

A diplomatic solution to NIGER’s problem will be the best at this moment. NIGERIA has nothing to prove to the world except its proficiency in diplomatic relations and standing tall in might as a big brother. NIGERIA’s military diplomacy should play a key role in turning key issues.

NIGERIA faces devastating consequences should the war be carried out against NIGER.

Nigeria is strategically positioned into a geographical zone that it can never Win a War on the NIGER REPUBLIC even if the Military Junta is chased out of Niamey.

The following are definite to be the price of the aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC by ECOWAS by the West African allied forces:

First: Losing President Bazoum. For sure, the first consequences of the War on NIGER is that NIGERIA will only have the corpse of MOHAMMED BAZOUM whom PRESIDENT TINUBU led ECOWAS is so anxious to reinstate immediately Niamey is captured.

Is Nigeria or any fighter for the restoration of democracy ready for that to happen?

Second: More enmity will emanate against Nigeria within the West African region. The country will have more regional enemies than friends because all the Countries bordering NIGER REPUBLIC will not condone the aggression even if they restrain from attacking Nigeria in defense of their ally in the protection of their sovereignty.

Third: Diplomatic relations among West African nations could worsen, leading to the possible collapse of ECOWAS. This situation would be catastrophic to the economy of the region as free movement of its citizens becomes a big regional threat. Already Niger Republic is hosting over 300,000 Nigerian Refugees in Diffa, Bosso and Tumour. These IDPs are already facing stigmatization and humiliation from their host and soon they may be asked to leave.

Four: There could be a proliferation of unprecedentedly frightening forms of terrorism as a result of the presence of huge amounts of Bõko Harām Insurgents across the borders of the two countries that stretched into Mali, Burkina Faso up to the Sene-Gambian Region. Fledgeling or the collapse of ECOWAS would facilitate the infiltration of terrorist groups into the countries much easier than what happened to ISIS’s cross border operations in Syria, Iraq, Turkey and parts of Egypt’s Sinai mountainous region.

In this scenario, more massive funding will be made towards sponsoring “Terrorists Groups”, thus creating more others by International Agencies who have been enemies to “Global Peace” to control sensitively viable areas of economic importance for eventually ceaseless attacks such as the ongoing “Armed Banditry and Kidnappings” that are rampant in the Region.

Five: Inflation and economic recession is definitely going to hit Nigeria immediately the war starts, causing millions of people across the region to lose their jobs, causing high cost of living for the ordinary citizens of both countries.

Six: Famine and rampant deaths would be inevitable as a result of the hampering of all agricultural activities, with the war intensifying where massive hectares of land shall remain without being harvested for more than 75 percent of the region in the same technical manner Bõko Harām disrupts farming for than a decade throughout most parts of the North-East.

Seven: Massive migration across West Africa, and, possibly, between West Africa and other contiguous regions of the African continent would take place as refugees from both sides keep flooding the Sub-saharan region.

With Nigeria presently finding it difficult to manage the growing humanitarian crisis with millions of its Internally Displaced Persons (IDPS) due to terrorism and banditry, another unsustainable chaotic conditions will be artificially created for it to handle.

For sure, when the drums of War are beaten and the planned aggression on the NIGER REPUBLIC commences, NORTHERN NIGERIA’s (Arēwa) Region, from Gamboru to Kamba, From ILLELA/JIBIYA/MAI-ADUWA/MAIGATARI to OTURKPO would be submerged in total full scale insecurity.

This could threaten the existence of NORTHERN NIGERIA. Once NORTHERN NIGERIA is gone, the official Federation of what is known as Nigeria would be “Badly Bargained”, forever.

Nigeria should look before it leaps.
To be forewarned is to be forearmed!

Zagazola is a Counter-Insurgency expert and security analyst in the Lake Chad region.

War Against Niger: Why Nigeria Should Look Before It Leaps

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Cuban Embassy Honours Fidel Castro Nine Years After His Passing

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Cuban Embassy Honours Fidel Castro Nine Years After His Passing

By: Michael Mike

The Cuban Embassy in Nigeria has held a commemorative gathering to mark nine years since the death of Fidel Castro, with Ambassador Miriam Morales Palmero leading the tribute to the late Cuban leader whose influence, she said, continues to shape global struggles for justice.

Addressing diplomats, government officials, and members of Nigeria’s Cuba-friendship community, Ambassador Morales Palmero said the annual remembrance carries deep meaning for the Cuban people and remains a moment to reflect on the principles Castro championed throughout his lifetime.

She thanked attendees for what she described as a visible expression of the strong ties between Cuba and Nigeria, noting that solidarity between both nations “remains a living and unbreakable link.”

The ambassador described Castro as a figure whose impact went far beyond politics. She portrayed him as a global moral voice, committed to defending the disadvantaged and speaking out against oppression in all forms.

She said: “His (Castro) life was defined by dedication to just causes,” adding that his legacy reaches beyond Cuba’s borders to all who pursue a more equitable world.

Morales Palmero also highlighted Castro’s longstanding connection to Africa, recalling his admiration for countries on the continent and the mutual respect he cultivated with African leaders and liberation movements. According to her, Castro viewed Africa not only as a partner but as a source of resilience and inspiration.

Although Castro died in 2016, the envoy emphasized that his influence persists. She told the audience that Castro’s ideals, consistency, and loyalty to principle continue to serve as a guide for people who remain committed to justice and dignity. “Fidel did not disappear,” she said. “His example endures.”

The programme featured the screening of the documentary “Fidel is Fidel,” which presents key moments from Castro’s life and leadership. Organizers said the film was chosen to give audiences a renewed sense of the personal qualities—discipline, conviction, and humanity—that shaped his decades of public service.

The evening ended with expressions of continued friendship between Cuba and Nigeria, reaffirming shared commitments to solidarity and cooperation—values central to Castro’s worldview.

Cuban Embassy Honours Fidel Castro Nine Years After His Passing

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ActionAid Secretary-General Praises Nigerians’ Warmth, Urges Government to Scale Up Community-Based Solutions

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ActionAid Secretary-General Praises Nigerians’ Warmth, Urges Government to Scale Up Community-Based Solutions

By: Michael Mike

The Secretary-General of ActionAid International has applauded Nigerians for their hospitality and resilience during his maiden visit to the country, describing Nigeria as “an impressive nation whose people embody warmth, courage, and a strong sense of community.”

Speaking during a field visit to a women-led community empowerment programme in Abuja as part of activities marking ActionAid Nigeria’s 25th anniversary, the global head of the development organisation said he arrived with mixed expectations but was quickly won over by the sincerity and openness of ordinary Nigerians.

“I had heard many things about Nigeria before coming, some of them told in jest, like the idea that you haven’t truly visited Africa until you’ve visited Nigeria,” he said. “But over the past three days, I’ve been moved by the kindness of the people and the genuine willingness to help. It has left me with a very strong, positive impression.”

Reflecting on the organization’s two-and-a-half decades in the country, the Secretary-General said the true measure of impact lies not in written reports but in the lived experiences of people who have benefited from the programs.

“Listening to women and young people speak confidently about how trainings and community support have transformed their lives is the clearest sign of impact,” he noted. “When people speak from a position of power and agency, you know development work is reaching the right places.”

He added that ActionAid will deepen its investments over the coming years—especially in women and young people—because these groups play a pivotal role in driving sustainable change at both community and national levels.

The Secretary-General urged the Nigerian government to recognize the vital role civil society organizations play in development and to ensure a supportive environment for their operations.

“When organizations like ActionAid thrive, entire communities thrive with them,” he said. “The government must acknowledge this and create conditions that allow civil society to operate effectively.”

However, he stressed that NGOs alone cannot achieve nationwide transformation.

“Non-governmental organizations can only reach a limited number of communities. Government has the mandate, the resources, and the long-term responsibility to deliver services at scale,” he explained. “Our job is to demonstrate what works. Government’s job is to expand it.”

He also highlighted education as a non-negotiable priority for Nigeria’s development.

“No country can achieve meaningful transformation without investing in education,” he said. “Budget decisions must reflect this reality, and every expenditure should have a direct impact on communities.”

His visit concluded with renewed commitments from ActionAid International to strengthen partnerships, expand grassroots initiatives, and support Nigerian communities in achieving long-term, people-driven development.

On his part, the Country Director of ActionAid Nigeria, Dr. Ahmed Mamedu reiterated the need for urgent government investment in underserved communities across the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) as well as other parts of the country, particularly those facing severe infrastructural and social service gaps.

He made the appeal during a field visit to Pasepa community, one of several hard-to-reach areas where ActionAid has worked for more than a decade.

Mamedu explained that the visit formed part of the anniversary celebrations, which include showcasing communities where ActionAid has driven long-term development initiatives. He noted that Pasepa, like many others in the FCT, reflects the reality of deep rural poverty often overlooked in discussions about Abuja.

He noted that: “Many people assume Abuja is all about the city’s glamour, but Pasepa is also part of the FCT,” adding that: “Coming here reveals what daily life looks like for people living in real poverty — difficult terrain, limited infrastructure, and minimal access to essential services.”

He said ActionAid has worked in Pasepa for over 12 years, partnering with local stakeholders to build community structures, strengthen accountability, and push for government responsiveness. Despite notable progress, but lamented that the reality on ground remains far from satisfactory.

“Are we impressed with what we are seeing here? The answer is no,” he stated. “We can definitely do better. We want to see more impact, more livelihood opportunities, and improved access to social services.”

He said one of the most striking observations during the visit was the steady stream of political actors entering the community, insisting that this is evidence that leaders are aware of the community’s challenges — and capable of reaching it when seeking support.

“If politicians can find their way here during the political season, then they can also bring infrastructure and amenities,” he said. “We expect that in the next few months and years, returning to this community will reveal concrete improvements.”

He stressed that such development is not only overdue but essential for improving the lives of thousands of residents.

He said the visit was also an opportunity for the Secretary-General of ActionAid International to directly experience the conditions in Nigeria’s marginalized communities.

“This visit allows him to hear the voices of the people firsthand and understand the depth of the work we do,” he added.

ActionAid Nigeria says it will continue supporting rural communities while advocating stronger government accountability and sustained investment in critical social infrastructure.

ActionAid Secretary-General Praises Nigerians’ Warmth, Urges Government to Scale Up Community-Based Solutions

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Mining: FG Finalizes Plans to Reduce Release of Mercury into Atmosphere in Nigeria

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Mining: FG Finalizes Plans to Reduce Release of Mercury into Atmosphere in Nigeria

By: Michael Mike

The federal government is finalizing plans aimed at direct reduction of excess emissions and release of mercury into the environment from Artisanal and Small-scale Gold Mining (ASGM) activities in the country.

The effort is spearheaded by the Federal Ministry of Environment in collaboration with the Federal Ministry of Solid Minerals Development and funded by the Global Environment Facility (GEF).

The Minister of Environment, Balarabe Lawal, during an inception workshop organized at the weekend, in Abuja, to enhance the formalization of a mercury-free gold in Nigeria, revealed that they are collaborating together to forge a future where Nigeria’s gold resources are harnessed responsibly, without compromising the health of the people or the integrity of the environment

Lawal, who was represented by the ministry’s permanent secretary, Mahmud Kambari, said the artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM) sector represents a notable contributor to Nigeria’s economy, and offers livelihoods to many, but, however worried that the sector presents a complex challenge due to the widespread use of mercury.

He decried that this has been identified as a potent neurotoxin with devastating consequences for human health and the environment.

He said: “Mercury is a highly toxic substance that can contaminate water sources and soil, leading to serious environmental and health problems. It can bioaccumulate in the food chain, leading to long-term health effects in humans and wildlife. In addition, mercury pollution can persist in the environment for decades, causing harm to ecosystems and biodiversity.”

Lawal disclosed that Nigeria, as a signatory to the Minamata Convention on Mercury, demonstrated its commitment by developing a National Action Plan (NAP) for the reduction and eventual elimination of mercury use in Artisanal and Small-scale Gold Mining (ASGM) in Nigeria between 2017 and 2020.

The Minister said the present collaboration under the GEF GOLD+ Nigeria Project builds upon the foundation laid by the NAP and represents a significant step forward in their commitment to tackling mercury pollution in the ASGM sector. He further reiterated that the project aligns perfectly with Nigeria’s national environmental policies and its obligations under the Minamata Convention on Mercury, adding that its focus on a holistic, multi-sectoral approach, integrating formalization with the adoption of mercury-free technologies and access to traceable supply chains, offers a sustainable pathway for the sector’s development.

On his part, the Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Solid Mineral Development, Engr. Faruk Yabo noted that Nigeria stands at the forefront of efforts to formalize the ASGM sector and reduce mercury use, in line with the Minamata Convention and the Sustainable Development Goals.

Yabo revealed that the by this project initiative, Nigeria is not only joining the global community efforts, but is setting an example for other nations—demonstrating that economic development and environmental stewardship can go hand in hand.

He said: “This project is designed to support policy reforms, strengthen institutional capacity, empower mining communities, and enhance access to finance for artisanal and small-scale miners. Improving financial inclusion is critical to enabling miners to invest in cleaner technologies, adopt safer practices, and transition toward formal and sustainable operations. By fostering partnerships across government, industry, and civil society, we aim to create an enabling environment where miners can thrive economically while safeguarding health and ecosystems.”

In a message at the event, United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO), said; “By this project initiative, Nigeria is not only joining the global community efforts, but is setting an example for other nations—demonstrating that economic development and environmental stewardship can go hand in hand.”

It noted that: “This project is designed to support policy reforms, strengthen institutional capacity, empower mining communities, and enhance access to finance for artisanal and small-scale miners. Improving financial inclusion is critical to enabling miners to invest in cleaner technologies, adopt safer practices, and transition toward formal and sustainable operations. By fostering partnerships across government, industry, and civil society, we aim to create an enabling environment where miners can thrive economically while safeguarding health and ecosystems.

“UNIDO is committed to partner with the Government of Nigeria in driving this important transformation. In line with our mandate, to promote inclusive and sustainable industrial development, our commitment extends beyond the life of this project. We will continue to deliver technical expertise, facilitate knowledge exchange, and leverage international networks to attract resources and partnerships. Together, we aim to position Nigeria’s ASGM sector as a benchmark for sustainability, inclusiveness, and innovation—contributing to economic growth, environmental protection, and social well-being.”

Mining: FG Finalizes Plans to Reduce Release of Mercury into Atmosphere in Nigeria

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