Connect with us

Politics

2027: The Dynamics of Consensus Candidates and the Crisis of Succession in Nigeria’s Democratic Party Politics

Published

on

2027: The Dynamics of Consensus Candidates and the Crisis of Succession in Nigeria’s Democratic Party Politics

By: Dr. James Bwala

The issue of successorship appointment within party ranks in contemporary Nigerian democracy has generated considerable debate among political stakeholders and members alike. Central to this discourse is the widespread practice of imposing consensus candidates—a phenomenon that ostensibly aims to project unity and avoid intra-party conflicts but, paradoxically, erodes the democratic foundation of political parties. Indeed, the consensus candidate approach, rather than fostering internal party democracy, serves as a malignant force undermining transparent political processes, suppressing genuine competition, and jeopardizing the future of Nigeria’s democratic governance. To preserve and deepen democracy in Nigeria, political parties must reject consensus impositions and recommit to authentic primaries that allow merit and popular choice to prevail.

At the heart of a healthy democratic system lies the principle of open and competitive elections, extending into the primaries that select party candidates. Primaries provide an institutionalized mechanism for party members to exercise their political rights by choosing leaders who best represent their values and aspirations. The competitive nature of primaries encourages accountability, policy debate, and grassroots mobilization—all indispensable elements in a vibrant democracy. However, in Nigeria, this crucial democratic practice is frequently circumvented through consensus candidacies, where powerful figures—often incumbent governors or party elites—dictate the choice of successors without proper consultation or vote by party members.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/shettimas-relentless-engagement-should-remind-nigerians-that-their-government-is-not-an-opaque-monolith-but-a-responsive-entity-committed-to-their-welfare/

This practice of imposing consensus candidates is deeply flawed for several reasons. Firstly, it fundamentally undermines intra-party democracy. When a candidate is chosen through a top-down arrangement rather than a transparent contest, members feel disenfranchised and disillusioned. The sense of ownership and participation that fuels political engagement dissipates, leading to decreased activism and voter apathy. Secondly, consensus candidates often emerge not on the basis of merit or popular appeal but due to patronage networks, financial inducements, and political bargaining aimed at preserving the status quo. This environment breeds mediocrity and stifles innovation within party structures, as leadership positions become rewards for loyalty rather than platforms for effective governance.

The entrenchment of consensus candidacies has pernicious effects beyond party dynamics. It aggravates corruption and rent-seeking behavior by creating a protected class of politicians who owe their allegiance primarily to power brokers rather than constituents. The “cancer” analogy aptly captures this phenomenon: consensus candidacies are symptomatic of deeper systemic malaise where democratic norms rot under the influence of greed and manipulation. Governors and influential party leaders who push through consensus arrangements often do so to shield themselves from accountability, blocking probes and critical scrutiny. By controlling their succession, they ensure continuity in corrupt practices and minimize threats to their entrenched interests.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/shettimas-relentless-engagement-should-remind-nigerians-that-their-government-is-not-an-opaque-monolith-but-a-responsive-entity-committed-to-their-welfare/

It is crucial to recognize that while consensus candidacies may appear expedient in the short term by avoiding visible factional disputes, their long-term consequences are detrimental. The absence of genuine electoral competition breeds political instability, as aggrieved aspirants and marginalized factions may resort to extra-legal means to assert their claims, including defections, violent confrontations, or undermining party cohesion during general elections. Furthermore, the public’s perception of political parties as undemocratic and self-serving institutions diminishes trust in the electoral process and discourages citizen participation.

A healthy democracy demands that political parties reflect the will and choice of the people, beginning with their internal selection processes. Nigeria’s democracy cannot thrive if party leaderships continue to manipulate succession to serve narrow interests. Instead, parties should strive to institutionalize transparent, inclusive, and credible primaries where aspirants compete on a level playing field. This would entail establishing independent and impartial electoral committees within parties, enforcing strict adherence to democratic rules, and ensuring that party members have unfettered access to information and the opportunity to scrutinize candidates’ credentials.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/shettimas-relentless-engagement-should-remind-nigerians-that-their-government-is-not-an-opaque-monolith-but-a-responsive-entity-committed-to-their-welfare/

The role of external actors, such as the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), civil society organizations, and the media, is equally vital. These stakeholders must intensify efforts to promote internal party democracy, monitor primary elections vigilantly, and expose irregularities when they occur. Legal frameworks governing party primaries should be strengthened to discourage autocratic tendencies and illicit practices, with clear sanctions for violations. Above all, political leaders must embrace the spirit of democracy by prioritizing national interest over personal or sectional gains.

The pervasive practice of appointing consensus candidates within political parties poses one of the most significant threats to the consolidation of democracy in Nigeria. While consensus might superficially symbolize harmony, it has largely become a covert mechanism that perpetuates exclusion, weakens democratic institutions, and entrenches corruption. 

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/shettimas-relentless-engagement-should-remind-nigerians-that-their-government-is-not-an-opaque-monolith-but-a-responsive-entity-committed-to-their-welfare/

To prevent Nigeria’s democracy from succumbing to this cancerous condition, political parties must return to the drawing board and recommit to genuine democratic processes grounded in free, fair, and competitive primaries. Only through such reforms can Nigeria build a resilient democracy where leadership succession reflects the collective will, nurtures accountability, and fosters good governance for the nation’s progress. Consensus candidates should never be the child of necessity. 

* James Bwala, PhD, is a political commentator and writes from Abuja.

2027: The Dynamics of Consensus Candidates and the Crisis of Succession in Nigeria’s Democratic Party Politics

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Politics

ADC PICKS RT. HON. CHIBUIKE ROTIMI AMAECHI AS ATIKU’S RUNNING MATE

Published

on

ADC PICKS RT. HON. CHIBUIKE ROTIMI AMAECHI AS ATIKU’S RUNNING MATE

By: Michael Mike

The African Democratic Congress (ADC) has picked former Rivers State Governor and former Minister of Transportation, Rt. Hon. Rotimi Amaechi, as its vice-presidential candidate for the 2027 general election, pairing him with former Vice President Atiku Abubakar on what party leaders describe as a “unity and rescue ticket.”

Announcing the decision, ADC National Publicity Secretary, Mallam Bolaji Abdullahi, said Amaechi’s emergence followed broad consultations within the party and reflected his strong performance as runner-up in the party’s presidential primaries as well as his track records of service to his State and the country.

According to the ADC, Amaechi’s extensive experience across both the legislative and executive arms of government, as former Speaker of the Rivers State House of Assembly, two-term Governor of Rivers State, and former Minister of Transportation, makes him uniquely qualified to complement Atiku’s leadership, strengthen the party’s national appeal, and bolster its campaign to offer Nigerians an experienced and credible alternative ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

The full statement read:

The National Leadership of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), after extensive consultations with party leaders, coalition partners, youth and women stakeholders, and representatives of all geopolitical zones, is proud to announce that the Rt. Hon. Chibuike Rotimi Amaechi has been selected as the Vice-Presidential Candidate of our great party for the 2027 Presidential Election.
This recommendation follows the successful conclusion of the ADC Presidential Primaries, in which Rt. Hon. Amaechi emerged as the runner-up, earning widespread support from party members across the federation and demonstrating his enduring appeal as one of Nigeria’s most experienced and respected political leaders.

The proposed partnership between His Excellency Atiku Abubakar and Rt. Hon. Rotimi Amaechi represents more than a political alliance; it is the coming together of two tested statesmen with the experience, national reach, and leadership capacity required to rescue Nigeria from its current challenges and reposition the country for a new era of prosperity, security, and inclusive development.

Rt. Hon. Amaechi brings to this ticket one of the most comprehensive public service records in contemporary Nigerian politics. His experience spans all major pillars of democratic governance. He served with distinction as Speaker of the Rivers State House of Assembly, making him one of the longest-serving legislative leaders in Nigeria’s Fourth Republic. He subsequently served two terms as Governor of Rivers State, where he oversaw significant investments in infrastructure, education, healthcare, and public sector reforms. At the national level, he served as Minister of Transportation, leading some of the most ambitious transportation and rail modernization initiatives in Nigeria’s history.

Few political leaders in Nigeria today possess such extensive and balanced experience across both the legislative and executive arms of government. This depth of experience will be invaluable in supporting the next ADC administration from day one.

Beyond his impressive credentials, Rt. Hon. Amaechi strengthens the ticket strategically. His political influence across the South-South and wider Southern Nigeria, his reputation as a reform-minded administrator, and his proven ability to build coalitions across political, ethnic, and regional lines make him uniquely positioned to complement the candidacy of Atiku Abubakar.

Together, Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi embody a truly national ticket—one that bridges regions, generations, and political traditions. Their combined experience in governance, economic management, public administration, party organization, and nation-building offers Nigerians a credible and compelling alternative capable of restoring confidence in government and accelerating national development.

At a time when millions of Nigerians are demanding competent leadership, economic revival, job creation, security, and national unity, the Atiku-Amaechi ticket sends a clear message: the ADC is prepared to govern, prepared to unite the nation, and prepared to deliver results.

The leadership of the ADC is confident that this partnership will energize our growing coalition, inspire hope among Nigerians, and provide the leadership necessary to build a stronger, safer, and more prosperous Federal Republic of Nigeria.
The ADC therefore calls on all party members, coalition partners, civil society organizations, youth groups, women leaders, and Nigerians of goodwill to join us as we embark on this historic journey to renew our nation and secure a better future for generations to come.

Signed:

Mallam Bolaji Abdullahi
National Publicity Secretary
African Democratic Congress (ADC)

ADC PICKS RT. HON. CHIBUIKE ROTIMI AMAECHI AS ATIKU’S RUNNING MATE

Continue Reading

Politics

Yobe: APC guber candidate speaks on Buni’s confidence in him

Published

on

Yobe: APC guber candidate speaks on Buni’s confidence in him

By: Yahaya Wakili

The Yobe State All Progressives Congress (APC) gubernatorial candidate, Alhaji Baba Mallam Wali Fcan, mni, has revealed that His Excellency Governor Mai Mala Buni CON’s confidence in him over the years had afforded him the opportunity to serve the state as secretary to the state government for seven years.

Baba Mallam Wali mni disclosed this today when a delegation of critical stakeholders of the All Progressives Congress (APC) from the Gujba local government area paid him a congratulatory visit in Damaturu, the state capital.

He expressed profound appreciation for the visit, adding that this overwhelming visit shows solidarity and confidence in his candidacy.

According to Mallam Wali, Governor Mai Mala Buni’s confidence in him over the years had afforded him the opportunity to serve the state as secretary to the state government for seven years.

He assured the stakeholders that he would provide inclusive and participatory leadership by carrying every citizen along irrespective of political, social, or regional affiliations.

The acting secretary to the state government, who is also the son of the soil, Dr. Mohammed Goje, leading the delegation, described Alhaji Baba Mallam Wali as a seasoned administrator and accomplished public servant.

“The emergence of Mallam Wali was a well-deserved recognition of his competence, integrity, and commitment to the development of Yobe State to a greater height,” Dr. Goje said.

He assured the candidate of the continued support, loyalty, and commitment of the people of the Gujba local government area, noting that we would remain steadfast in our support for the APC and its candidate in the 2027 general elections.

Yobe: APC guber candidate speaks on Buni’s confidence in him

Continue Reading

Politics

VP Shettima’s Invest Lagos Summit: A contest of narratives on both the Dangote and Abdulsamad empires. 

Published

on

VP Shettima's Invest Lagos Summit: A contest of narratives on both the Dangote and Abdulsamad empires. 

VP Shettima’s Invest Lagos Summit: A contest of narratives on both the Dangote and Abdulsamad empires. 

By: Dr James Bwala

Vice President Kashim Shettima’s recent statement at the Invest Lagos Summit, which sparked significant controversy and backlash from various quarters, particularly regarding his remarks about Africa’s richest men, Aliko Dangote and Abdul Samad Rabiu. The vice president asserted that Lagos, not Kano, produced these business magnates, a comment that many interpreted as dismissive of Kano’s historical commercial significance. However, this reaction stems largely from a misinterpretation of Shettima’s words and an overlooking of the broader context in which his remarks were made. It is crucial to understand and defend the vice president’s statement, recognising the economic dynamics at play and the positive intent behind his message.

Vice President Shettima’s assertion that Lagos produced Africa’s richest men was not intended as an erasure of Kano’s rich commercial heritage or an undervaluing of the northern roots of these business icons. Instead, it was a contextual observation highlighting Lagos as the continent’s economic powerhouse and a pivotal hub where business ideas are scaled and transformed into thriving enterprises. Lagos is Africa’s largest sub-national economy, characterised by its vibrant market activities, infrastructural advantages, business-friendly policies, and an environment conducive to private sector growth. This city has historically served as a furnace where entrepreneurial ambitions find fertile ground to flourish and expand. Shettima’s point was that while the initial entrepreneurial instincts and businesses may have originated elsewhere, including Kano, it is within Lagos that these ventures matured into the colossal economic entities they are today.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/radical-approach-ways-of-ending-the-menace-of-insecurity-in-nigeria/

The backlash, particularly from northern commentators and traditional leaders like Emir Muhammadu Sanusi II of Kano, reflects a common regional sensitivity towards identity and recognition. The Emir’s response centred on Kano’s longstanding reputation as a “centre of commerce”, emphasising the city’s role in shaping fundamental entrepreneurial skills and traditions inherited by figures like Dangote and Rabiu. While this perspective honours Kano’s historic significance, it inadvertently overlooks the nuance in Shettima’s statement—that the vice president did not deny Kano’s foundational influence but instead underscored Lagos’s role in providing a strategic platform for growth and scaling operations. The criticism arises from conflating birthplace or origin with the locus of economic success. Recognising Lagos as the city where these businesses “came to the limelight” is not a negation of their roots but an acknowledgement of pragmatic economic realities.

Shettima’s remarks must be viewed through the lens of economic pragmatism rather than political rivalry or regional contestation. Lagos has been, and remains, Nigeria’s commercial nerve centre and a critical node in Africa’s trade and investment networks. Its infrastructure, regulatory frameworks, access to ports, financial markets, and international connectivity create unique advantages that entrepreneurs can leverage to multiply their wealth and impact. Both Aliko Dangote and Abdul Samad Rabiu have attested to the enabling environment provided by Lagos State governments, which implemented policies fostering private-sector investments surpassing $30 billion. These acknowledgements underscore the integral role Lagos played in their skyrocketing success, validating Shettima’s emphasis on Lagos’s contributions without negating Kano’s entrepreneurial legacy.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/radical-approach-ways-of-ending-the-menace-of-insecurity-in-nigeria/

It is also imperative to contextualise the timing and nature of the criticism directed at the vice president. Notably, some individuals and groups who vociferously objected to Shettima’s Lagos-centric remarks had remained conspicuously silent during other contentious moments, such as when the vice president defended the Dangote Refinery amid an industrial dispute with the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) in late 2025. During that dispute, Shettima described Dangote as an “institution” deserving protection, a stance that drew criticism from labour unions but highlighted his consistent recognition of the vital role played by business leaders in Nigeria’s economic fabric. This selective outrage suggests that the current backlash is less about objective critique and more about entrenched regional loyalties or political manoeuvring as learnt in political communications. 

The misrepresentation of Kashim Shettima’s position reveals a broader challenge in Nigerian public discourse—a tendency to pre-emptively judge and politicise statements without engaging with their substance or intent. The eagerness to attack the vice president before fully understanding the context exemplifies a mindset that undermines balanced evaluation and constructive debate. Instead of appreciating the VP’s highlighting of Lagos as an epicentre of enterprise and resilience, detractors have chosen to ignite divisive sentiments that distract from economic cooperation and national unity. This pattern of reaction fuels unnecessary regional tensions, which ultimately hinder the country’s collective progress.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/radical-approach-ways-of-ending-the-menace-of-insecurity-in-nigeria/

From a professional standpoint, it is essential to champion nuanced communication and responsible leadership. Vice President Shettima’s remarks align with an economic truth that transcends parochial interests: that success in business often requires not just ingenuity and grit but access to supportive environments where ideas can scale. Nurturing such hubs—like Lagos—is vital for Nigeria’s sustained development and global competitiveness. Recognising and celebrating Lagos’s role, therefore, should not be viewed as an affront to other regions but as a call to replicate such enabling conditions nationwide. Every region, including Kano, must strive to provide similar platforms to nurture and propel their homegrown talents and enterprises.

Vice President Kashim Shettima’s comments at the Invest Lagos Summit were a factual, context-driven affirmation of Lagos’s status as Africa’s premier economic hub, where entrepreneurial ventures achieve their full potential. His statement was neither dismissive of Kano’s historic commercial contributions nor an attempt to diminish the foundational roles played by northern business traditions. Instead, it was a candid recognition of Lagos’s unique capacity to nurture and elevate business successes on an unprecedented scale. The vehement backlash—fueled by misinterpretation and regional sensitivities—serves as a reminder of the need for careful listening, thoughtful analysis, and avoidance of partisan attacks in national conversations. As Nigerians, we can foster unity and propel the country towards inclusive prosperity by embracing diverse pathways to success and acknowledging the layered realities of economic growth. Future critiques should engage constructively with leaders’ insights, considering both intent and context before passing judgements. Only through such mature discourse can Nigeria harness its full economic potential and build a harmonious, thriving society.

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

VP Shettima’s Invest Lagos Summit: A contest of narratives on both the Dangote and Abdulsamad empires. 

Continue Reading

Trending

Verified by MonsterInsights