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ADC and Coalition 2027: The Fractured Ties Between Atiku, Kwankwaso, Obi, and El-Rufai

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Atiku, Obi, El-Rufai and Kwakwanso

ADC and Coalition 2027: The Fractured Ties Between Atiku, Kwankwaso, Obi, and El-Rufai

By: Dr. James Bwala

All four politicians still have their ropes hanging in the former or soon-to-be former political party. El-Rufai has left the APC but could not have a place in the SDP, as the party denied him being their member. While he is still dancing in ADC, no one knows for sure what his aims are as the party quietly watched him and closely checked on his character. Mr. Peter Obi is still grappling with which way to go and still consulting with a madman for direction. It is still unclear whether he has stepped his foot firmly in ADC, as he constantly looks back to his Labour Party. Kwakwanso’s last move against the presidency is an indication that things are falling apart. He is rumored to make a full move soon into the ADC to challenge Atiku and others for the party’s ticket but still wants to be present in his party, the NNPP, holding both goalposts in that confusion. Atiku Abubakar left the PDP allegedly for fear of FCT Minister Nyesom Wike. He may be having favor in ADC; however, he is relying on some of his foot soldiers within the PDP to run his game. And the confusion continued.

It was Fela Kuti, the famous Nigerian musician and activist, that created powerful and celebrated songs, which are now reminding us of what he was trying to address in our political theater, and long after he was gone, we see this song making meaning of political issues in Nigeria, especially with the current confusion unfolding in the ADC. I could mention many of his songs that reflected on the current political drama, but one such song that comes to mind and well addresses the current drama and confusion within the African Democratic Congress (ADC) political party is “Zombie.” Fela sang this song and released it in the 1970s, looking at the political confusion at that time and criticizing the blind obedience of soldiers and the political leadership that manipulates them. The game ADC is planning to play with Nigeria ultimately for selfish gains. And “Zombie” can be applied to the themes of the music that reflect the ADC position amongst its leadership and fellowship, explaining the disarray amongst its leadership and struggles within its ranks for impact against a formidable force, which President Tinubu and Kashim Shettima literally command today.

It was not too early to state that the 2027 general elections in Nigeria are shaping a battleground for the glory of those who are ready to take it. The renewed HOP initiative of the Tinunu and Kashim Shettima administration is making waves and winning in the argument of who holds the political aces. On the other hand, when we look at the political maneuvering and shifting alliances among the most notable figures in the soon-to-be race, we can see the old faces and actors like Atiku Abubakar, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, Peter Obi, and Nasir El-Rufai. While we cannot deny them of their pedigree on the political landscape, these leaders political backgrounds and ambitions fail them. They face a complex web of relationships that could make or break their chances, and we have this to say: the dynamics between them have already shown signs of tension. It is already suggesting that things may soon fall apart as the elections approach.

I am not speaking about Rotimi Ameachi in this context because he has his battles to face with Wike as political issues unfold. Choosing the ADC to form a coalition of opposition may be a good strategy, but ambition knows no brother, and greed will always kill a friend in a struggle. Their coming together not in one accord put ADC on the edges of collapse as the party now faced significant challenges stirred by internal conflicts, leadership disputes, and ideological differences. No thanks, but thanks to the ambitious politicians who are hungry and angry, as they made us understand. Indeed, the problems they have brought to once a quiet and still political party stem from a lack of sincere, collected reforms and collaborative coalition. This is making it difficult for them to work towards common goals. And like the soldiers in “Zombie,” who are depicted as mindlessly following orders, some leaders and members of the ADC have shown a failure to critically engage with the party’s vision, goals, and objectives that will engage in political adventure towards success. Nigerians now observed, and what they are saying is that these men are not here to foster democratic values but to promote their personal interests. This is leading to confusion and instability within the party, as being a witness within the party despite the sugar coating with seemingly smiling faces that is hiding the monster soon to be revealed within.

Atiku Abubakar, the former vice president, is indeed a veteran politician. But his marriage to many political parties makes him a man of unstable ways in the political arena. The former vice president has long sought the presidency and continues to position himself as a unifying candidate. However, his recent alliance with various factions within party politics has drawn criticism. Engr. Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, a former governor of Kano State and a prominent figure in the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), found himself in the valley of decision while he lingered on the choices to make, revealing his greed for power and lack of focus on what he was out to pursue in the political arena. He was tipped to join the APC, but his eyes run over choices leading to a breakdown in relationships in political connections. His fight with the presidency over his alleged claims that the North has been neglected further pushes him to the benches to seek connections with the coalition. Kwakwanso is known for his grassroots connection and populist rhetoric; his appeal lies in his ability to mobilize support in the northern regions. Nevertheless, his ambitions may clash with those of Atiku if he joins the ADC, as rumor has it. If he did, both would be targeting similar voter demographics, potentially leading to conflict rather than collaboration in a coalition.

READ ALSO:https://newsng.ng/nigerian-poet-designated-united-nations-global-advocate-for-peace/

Another gladiator fielding in the ADC platform for the coalition is Mr. Peter Obi, the former governor of Anambra State and candidate of the Labour Party. Peter Obi has gained significant traction among the youth and educated class. His campaign focuses on economic reform and anti-corruption, appealing to a generation that seeks change. However, Obi’s rising popularity has not gone unnoticed, and it threatens to draw support away from both Atiku and Kwankwaso. With the calls by Nigeria for power to be shifted to the South, the ADC may be forced to side with the voices of Nigerians, and that means a lot to the Atiku and Kwankwaso camps. The competition for the same voter base could exacerbate tensions among the candidates, leading to further fracturing of alliances within the ADC. The dumping of the APC, the clinging of the SDP, and now the pitching with the ADC bring to the floor a comedy of Nasir El-Rufai, the former governor of Kaduna State. Nobody knows who he is standing with. For Atiku, Kwankwaso, Peter Obi, or for himself? Whatever position he is taking, he is adding another layer to this intricate political scenario. El-Rufai’s reputation for controversial policies and governance style might alienate certain voters, but he also has a solid support base within the political landscape. El-Rufai’s position might create friction with the other candidates as he navigates his political future amid allegations of mismanagement and public discontent.

Looking from the prism of Fela Kuti’s music, the understanding often highlighted the importance of awareness and critical thinking among citizens. The late Afrobeat singer encouraged listeners to question authority and not accept information at face value. This message is particularly relevant today, as the ADC grapples with factions and conflicting interests. The inability of the party to present a unified front to the public can be compared to the soldiers in “Zombie” marching in unison but without genuine intent or purpose. It serves as a reminder for ADC members to strive for integrity and collective action rather than mere conformity to leadership decisions, which may not always reflect the party’s true values.

While we count the cakes, the value of gold is soaring as the elections draw closer. The potential for conflict among Atiku, Kwankwaso, Obi, and El-Rufai is palpable. Each leader is striving to consolidate their position while contending with increasing competition. If these leaders cannot find common ground and create meaningful alliances, they will risk undermining their respective reasons for collaboration and coalition. Consequently, the ADC might witness a fracturing of relationships, leading to a political landscape where collaboration becomes unlikely, ultimately impacting the future of the party. And this explains the significance of Fela Kuti’s protest music. This transcends time, providing valuable insights into the political landscape of Nigeria today and going beyond what we are talking about in the corners from what we see and observe. Fela Kuti’s powerful lyrics and compelling messages encourage present and future generations to engage actively with political issues. It is crucial for ADC leaders and members to listen and learn from the lessons embedded in Kuti’s music, particularly the necessity of unity and a commitment to democratic ideals. As confusion continues to persist within the party, embracing a more collaborative and transparent approach will be essential for party survival. For us on the other side, “Zombie” is good music and should continue as the confusion in ADC rages.

  • James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

ADC and Coalition 2027: The Fractured Ties Between Atiku, Kwankwaso, Obi, and El-Rufai

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Zulum picks APC’s digital membership card

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Zulum picks APC’s digital membership card

By: Our Reporter

Borno State Governor, Professor Babagana Umara Zulum, on Sunday picked up his membership card for the ongoing All Progressives Congress’ (APC’s) digital registration exercise.

Governor Zulum was presented with his membership card by the Borno State APC chairman, Hon Bello Ayuba, following his registration by the agent of his ward, Aiari unit 003, after the flag off of the exercise at the party’s State secretariat in Maiduguri.

Alongside the governor, his deputy, Umar Usman Kadafur and the APC Deputy national chairman, Ali Bukar Dalori, have been presented with their membership cards.

Speaking shortly after the registration process, Zulum said: “Strengthening internal democracy is a key to stable democracy, and therefore, I call on all members of our party to register via the e-platform. Let us expand our membership. 

“I believe Borno State can register more than 2 million people for the APC. I want all the critical stakeholders to work assiduously to ensure the success of this registration exercise.”

The APC’s digital membership card initiative aims to create a verifiable, centralised database of all party members. This system aims to enhance internal democracy, streamline communication, and facilitate more effective political engagement.

Ayuba commended Governor Zulum’s proactive leadership and mobilisation efforts, thanking him for the relentless support 

The occasion was attended by the Chief Whip of the Senate, Barrister Mohammed Tahir Moguno, Senators Mohammed Ali Ndume and Barrister Kaka Shehu Lawan (SAN).

Other high-level dignitaries present included the member representing Marte, Monguno, Ngangai constituency at the House of Representatives, Engr Bukar Talba; the Speaker of the Borno State House of Assembly, Abdulkarim Lawan; the Secretary to the Borno State Government, Malam Bukar Tijani; the Acting Chief of Staff, Dr Babagana Mallumbe; commissioners and other government officials.

Zulum picks APC’s digital membership card

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VP Kashim Shettima: Leadership, Loyalty, and When Truth Laughs Last

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Vice President Kashim Shettima

VP Kashim Shettima: Leadership, Loyalty, and When Truth Laughs Last

By: Dr. James Bwala

It is undeniably a fact that the political landscape is often fraught with tension, rivalries, and competing narratives everywhere in the world where democracy thrives. In Nigeria, the recent criticisms directed at Vice President Kashim Shettima highlight the complexities of political alliances and the nature of public perception, especially where people don’t look for facts. Critics now calling for Shettima’s replacement ahead of the 2027 elections appear to forget their past demeanor during a critical juncture for the All Progressives Congress (APC) and its leadership, particularly when Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s ambition was still a dream. The narrative that seeks to undermine Shettima’s long-standing association with Tinubu, or “Jagaban,” is not only misguided but also undermines the principles of loyalty and consistency that are crucial in political partnerships.

At the heart of this discussion is the theme of loyalty in politics. Those who now vilify Shettima were, at some point, reluctant participants in the renewal of hope that characterized the Tinubu campaign. When the winds were unfavorable, and doubts about Tinubu’s presidential aspirations loomed large, Shettima emerged as a steadfast ally, rallying support and reinforcing confidence in Tinubu’s eventual success. This unwavering support is a testament to Shettima’s character and political acumen. In times of uncertainty, true leaders demonstrate their commitment not by wavering under pressure but by standing firm in their convictions. Shettima did stand firm. 

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/borno-2027-fear-grips-political-elites-as-the-move-to-seek-governor-zulums-dark-horse-tops-discussion/

By revisiting this historical context, we can better understand the motivations behind the current wave of criticism. The calls for Shettima’s replacement seem to stem from an oversimplification of a highly intricate political relationship. Shettima’s partnership with Tinubu is built on years of collaboration and shared goals. A strong partnership can withstand the test of time only if both parties remain committed to their collective vision. The attempts to dismantle Shettima’s reputation reflect a misunderstanding of the dynamics at play; it isn’t merely about individual ambitions, but rather about maintaining the integrity of a well-established alliance.

Critics often resort to fabrications and speculative narratives that seek to portray Shettima as disloyal or ineffective. Such discourse serves little purpose other than to fuel division within the party and provide cover for individuals who may feel threatened by Shettima’s longstanding influence. This tendency to rewrite history reflects a broader issue within political discourse—the inclination to prioritize short-term gains over the long-term benefits of solidarity among allies. As political operatives engage in this behavior, they risk alienating those who genuinely believe in the party’s vision.

This criticism can also be interpreted as a reflection of insecurity among certain factions within the APC. By targeting Shettima, they aim to weaken one of the most formidable supporters of Tinubu, thus hoping to elevate their own standings within the party hierarchy. However, such tactics may ultimately backfire as they foster an atmosphere of distrust and resentment. The strength of any political party lies in its ability to unify its members around common goals. Infighting serves only to distract from the real issues facing the nation and creates opportunities for opposition parties to seize upon divisions.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/borno-2027-fear-grips-political-elites-as-the-move-to-seek-governor-zulums-dark-horse-tops-discussion/

Addressing the partnership between Shettima and Tinubu must involve acknowledging their shared vision for Nigeria. Both politicians understand the imperative of economic development, security enhancement, and social cohesion in governing a nation as diverse as Nigeria. Their collaborative efforts have consistently focused on addressing these challenges head-on. Therefore, any attempt to malign Shettima’s contributions is essentially a critique of the larger framework they have both participated in forging. To dismiss his role is to diminish the significant strides taken by the APC under their joint stewardship.

Additionally, history will reveal whether or not the severe criticism leveled against Shettima is based in reality or merely serves the interests of those seeking to disrupt the status quo. Politicians come and go, but foundational reputations are built over years. Shettima has proven his mettle not just as a vice president, but as a reputable political player who commands respect within various circles. One cannot erase decades of hard work and an exemplary track record due to transient political friction or fabricated narratives. Indeed, truth and reputation are enduring forces that often transcend the fleeting nature of political rivalry.

As observers of Nigerian politics evaluate the current milieu, it becomes vital to encourage a more informed dialogue regarding leadership and loyalty. It is unjust to hold individuals accountable for mistakes made by a collective, especially when loyalty requires a degree of faith that can sometimes be tested. Politics should not devolve into an arena for personal vendettas cloaked as ideological disputes. Instead, it should embrace the tenets of constructive criticism and unity.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/borno-2027-fear-grips-political-elites-as-the-move-to-seek-governor-zulums-dark-horse-tops-discussion/

The clamor for Vice President Kashim Shettima’s replacement, fueled by unsubstantiated claims and a disregard for historical allegiances, risks destabilizing the very foundation of the APC. Those who now criticize him must reckon with the fact that their distance during Shettima’s unwavering support for Tinubu illustrates a fundamental lack of accountability in their own political journey. Loyalty, consistency, and mutual respect must guide political behavior if there is to be sustainable progress. History teaches us that while individual fortunes may rise and fall, the legacy of partnerships forged in loyalty and common purpose endures. It is this enduring truth that stands against the tides of fabricated stories, ensuring that ultimately, truth will indeed laugh last.

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

VP Kashim Shettima: Leadership, Loyalty, and When Truth Laughs Last

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Borno 2027: Fear grips political elites as the move to seek Governor Zulum’s dark horse tops discussion.

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Borno 2027: Fear grips political elites as the move to seek Governor Zulum's dark horse tops discussion.


Borno 2027: Fear grips political elites as the move to seek Governor Zulum’s dark horse tops discussion.

By: Dr. James Bwala

“Who is this ‘DARK HORSE’?” Several callers have asked me this question since my last publication on Borno politics. Some of these questions are coming from frontline foot soldiers of powerful individuals, who pride themselves as the gods of Borno politics; others are curious political analysts and onlookers, who wanted to know for a side corner gist on political happenings since that declaration by the governor. I have told some of them to ask the governor who gave the hint about his bold political stance and why he revealed it. However, what I know is that the political landscape in Borno State is becoming increasingly charged, especially in response to Governor Babagana Zulum’s bold proclamations regarding his future political ambitions. Following his declaration of stepping on “big toes,” a metaphor that signifies challenging entrenched interests within the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), the reactions from political elites have ranged from heading to open hostility to strategic maneuvering. 

To fully grasp the extent of the political maneuverings taking place, we must first acknowledge the significance of Governor Zulum’s position. His tenure has been marked by significant gains in infrastructure development, security, and social welfare programs—an impressive record, particularly in a state that has faced challenges from insurgency and socio-economic instability. However, with success often comes resistance; the entrenched political leaders who have long benefited from the status quo are now feeling threatened by Zulum’s progressive vision for the future.

READ ALSO:https://newsng.ng/zulums-bold-gambit-the-2027-dark-horse-and-big-toes-in-borno/

The phrase “stepping on big toes” resonates strongly within the context of Borno’s political culture. It suggests an intention to disrupt a well-established order, one that is often characterized by patronage networks and political favors that can stifle genuine progress. Such a disruption can evoke panic among the political elites who depend on these structures for maintaining their influence. The response to Zulum’s statements may lead to both physical and spiritual dimensions of political strategy, indicating an urgent and desperate effort to regain control and resist change.

Feedback from the public sphere, particularly through platforms such as News Net Global, Borno social media platforms, and other political platforms, reveals widespread discontent among the political elite. The discussions surrounding Zulum’s declaration demonstrate a palpable fear of his potential to consolidate power if he continues on a path of reform. Strategic questioning about his motives, coupled with appeals to traditional power structures, signals a brewing political war. In a state where loyalty and allegiance can dictate political survival, these elites are scrambling to secure their positions as they perceive Zulum’s moves as existential threats.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/zulums-bold-gambit-the-2027-dark-horse-and-big-toes-in-borno/

In Political Communication, we learned that a key aspect of any political battle involves the narratives constructed around leadership. Borno State Governor Zulum’s ability to frame himself as a reformist willing to confront established interests gives him considerable leverage in rallying public support. Moreover, the contrast between his governance style—marked by transparency, accountability, and accessibility—and the more opaque practices of his adversaries could solidify his standing in the eyes of the electorate. Yet, this very visibility might also serve as a target on his back, inviting opposition from those who feel their power diminishing as the situation is suggesting following his bold gambit.

In light of these political tensions, it is essential for Borno’s political elites to recognize that responding reactively to Zulum’s ambitions may ultimately prove detrimental to the political fabric of the state. Instead of clashing with Zulum in a bid to suppress his influence, they should consider the possibility of engaging with him in a dialogue aimed at collaborative governance. Embracing reform does not necessitate the loss of their political careers; rather, it could signify a transformative shift toward a more robust democratic framework that benefits all stakeholders.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/zulums-bold-gambit-the-2027-dark-horse-and-big-toes-in-borno/

For such engagement to occur, a roadmap for reform must be articulated—one that aligns the interests of the political elite with the broader goals of state development. This would require introspection within the APC and a willingness among its members to recognize that the grievances of the populace can no longer be ignored. By prioritizing community engagement, addressing corruption, and fostering economic opportunities, political elites can reposition themselves within a changing landscape while still anchoring themselves in the party system.

Introducing policy initiatives that directly address the concerns of the electorate can also help alleviate some of the pressures facing these elites. For example, focusing on youth empowerment programs, education, and skill acquisition can significantly alter public perception. Political elites must advocate for policies that resonate with the needs of ordinary citizens, allowing them to remain relevant even in the face of Zulum’s reformist agenda.

The pervasive use of media—be it traditional or social—should not be underestimated in shaping the political discourse. The conversations sparked by digital platforms can be harnessed to present a unified front among political elites, advocating for a shared vision for Borno that emphasizes stability and growth. This requires strategic communication and coalition-building efforts among various factions within the party, reducing the likelihood of factionalism that can arise from individualistic agendas.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/zulums-bold-gambit-the-2027-dark-horse-and-big-toes-in-borno/

However, this collaborative approach must recognize that power dynamics within the APC and the broader political arena are shifting. The emergence of new leaders who align themselves with Zulum’s vision cannot be overlooked. Rather than viewing these new entrants as competitors, current elites should aim to mentor and incorporate them into a new framework of governance that reflects the aspirations of a younger, more dynamic voter base.

Simultaneously, the power of grassroots movements must not be underestimated as well. The mobilization of civil society organizations and the active participation of citizens in the political process are vital avenues through which public sentiments can be channeled. Political elites must engage with these movements rather than dismiss them, understanding that they represent an important demographic that will influence electoral outcomes. By fostering relationships with community leaders and activists, elites can ensure that their voices are heard, bolstering their own legitimacy in a landscape where political authority is increasingly scrutinized.

Looking ahead to the 2027 elections, the stakes are high for all involved. The landscape is primed for a significant shift, one that could either reinforce the status quo or usher in a new era of governance. If Borno’s political elites choose to unite around a common vision that balances reform with the realities of an evolving political climate, they may well find a path to coexistence with Governor Zulum. Such unity can yield dividends that exceed individual aspirations, resulting in a strengthened political framework capable of addressing the myriad challenges facing the state.

READ ALSO: https://newsng.ng/zulums-bold-gambit-the-2027-dark-horse-and-big-toes-in-borno/

As the political drama unfolds in Borno amidst Governor Zulum’s ambitious plans, it becomes clear that the time for decisive action is now. Political elites in the APC must move beyond their immediate fears and engage in a constructive dialogue that encourages reform while preserving their influence. By embracing a spirit of collaboration, they have the potential not only to safeguard their political futures but also to contribute meaningfully to the state’s development. The stakes could not be higher, and the need for enlightened leadership has never been more pressing. The choices made in the coming months will determine not only the outcome of the next election but also the trajectory of governance in Borno State for years to come.

* James Bwala, PhD, writes from Abuja.

Borno 2027: Fear grips political elites as the move to seek Governor Zulum’s dark horse tops discussion.

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