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After Tillabéri, Is Niamey the Next Target?
After Tillabéri, Is Niamey the Next Target?
By: Zagazola Makama
As the security situation deteriorates in the embattled Tillabéri region of western Niger, fears are mounting that the country’s capital, Niamey, could become the next objective in a carefully coordinated offensive by jihadist groups.
What began as isolated attacks by armed terrorist groups (GATs) has now evolved into a structured campaign of territorial encirclement and economic suffocation. Once a resilient region, Tillabéri is now encircled by extremists who operate with impunity. Key towns such as Wanzarbé, Bankilaré, Kokourou, Ayorou, Makalondi, and Tamou have reportedly fallen under effective blockade, with roads cut off, markets paralyzed, and residents living under de facto insurgent control.
This shift from random insurgency to a strategic offensive raises alarm bells about the potential for a broader assault on Niamey, the political and military nerve center of Niger.
Groups such as the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (ISGS/EIGS) and the Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) have adopted deliberate tactics to isolate strategic zones, weaken state presence, and create power vacuums. Analysts suggest that this methodical advance is setting the stage for a possible assault on Niamey.
“Their objective is no longer just military it’s psychological and political,” says a Sahel-based security expert who spoke to Zagazola Makama on the condition of anonymity. “They want to collapse the state from the outer provinces inward, sowing fear, discrediting the armed forces, and projecting power.”
Amid this deteriorating situation, the Nigerien Army’s response has been notably muted. Despite mounting pressure from local communities, there has been little visible counter-offensive. Observers question why the military appears paralyzed while villages fall, trade routes close, and militants entrench themselves deeper.
The Alliance of Sahel States (AES), comprising Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso, had previously pledged to deploy a joint 5,000 man force to confront the growing threat. However, weeks later, there is no visible deployment, and coordination appears fractured. Military insiders cite low morale, unclear command structures, and growing disillusionment with military leadership, which is perceived to prioritize political office over battlefield engagement. “The foot soldiers are angry, and many feel betrayed,” says a retired officer based in Niamey.
The humanitarian situation in Tillabéri is dire. With routes severed and aid agencies unable to reach besieged populations, tens of thousands are at risk of famine, displacement, and forced recruitment by insurgents. Local sources report that GATs now enforce their own laws, regulate movements, and impose taxes on farmers and traders. Residents fear that militant authority is becoming normalized in areas where the state is absent.
While no confirmed attacks have occurred within Niamey itself, the encirclement of western regions has significant strategic implications. The capital, though heavily guarded, relies on surrounding areas for food, fuel, and supply chains. Recent incidents, including the invasion, looting, and burning of structures in the suburbs of Makalondi by JNIM fighters on April 7, 2025, illustrate the escalating threat. Following this attack, locals fled the village in fear, attempting to migrate towards Torodi City. However, they faced blockades from security personnel, who cited security reasons for preventing their exit. This has led to frustration among residents, who accuse the government of failing to protect them during the attack.
The humanitarian crisis in Niger is alarming, exacerbated by the government’s inability to develop concrete confidence-building measures to encourage local populations to remain in their communities. The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) has also withdrawn its support, further complicating the humanitarian landscape.
Projected Outcomes and Regional Implications
As the situation unfolds, the potential for an influx of internally displaced persons (IDPs) into neighboring countries looms large. The continuous pressure from JNIM and ISGS could lead to further territorial gains within the Sahel, prompting increased protests against the government that could escalate into civil unrest or even civil war if not addressed.
Niger should consider providing humanitarian aid to victims, particularly as IDPs or refugee camps emerge across borders with Benin Republic and Nigeria. Collaborative efforts with neighboring countries to develop strategic counter-terrorism operations are essential to address the rising extremist threats. Activation of the ECOWAS Standby Force could enhance regional security measures. Moreover, Niger must intensify border security to manage the influx of refugees and curb the expansion of criminal activities across the northwest, northeast, and southwest regions of the country. Strengthening dialogue with the AES to enhance economic and security measures will be crucial in responding to the evolving threats in the Sahel.
In conclusion, as the situation in Tillabéri deteriorates, the specter of Niamey becoming the next target in this escalating conflict is increasingly plausible. The need for a coordinated and effective response from both national and regional actors has never been more urgent.
Zagazola Makama is a Counter Insurgency Expert and Security Analyst in the Lake Chad Region.
After Tillabéri, Is Niamey the Next Target?
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Operation Safe Haven warns vigilantes against unauthorized missions in Plateau, says 8 vigilantes lost their lives not 70

Operation Safe Haven warns vigilantes against unauthorized missions in Plateau, says 8 vigilantes lost their lives not 70
By: Zagazola Makama
The Headquarters of Operation SAFE HAVEN (OPSH) has cautioned vigilante groups in Plateau State against embarking on unauthorized security operations without coordinating with recognized security agencies.
The warning followed a recent incident in which eight vigilantes were confirmed killed and several others declared missing after an ambush by armed bandits in Odare Forest, Kanam Local Government Area of the state.
The Army stated this in a statement on Wednesday in Jos, OPSH said the vigilantes, mobilised from Kanam LGA, undertook the mission without notifying the military or seeking approval from OPSH.
The group had halted temporarily in Kukawa community for administrative arrangements when they reportedly clashed with residents, looted provision shops, and seized more than 20 motorcycles under unclear circumstances.
“While advancing towards Odare Forest, the vigilantes were ambushed by armed bandits, resulting in the death of eight members. Others remain unaccounted for,” the statement said.
OPSH disclosed that troops from Sector 2 deployed in Wase have since launched search and rescue operations to recover the missing individuals.
The security outfit, which operates under the Nigerian military, warned that unauthorized missions not only endanger the lives of vigilantes but also pose significant threats to civilians and undermine coordinated counter-terrorism efforts.
“While we appreciate the zeal of community-based groups in safeguarding their areas, all security efforts must be coordinated with OPSH and other statutory forces to avoid unintended consequences,” it added.
The statement reiterated OPSH’s commitment to ensuring peace and stability across Plateau and urged residents to support the military by providing actionable intelligence and promptly reporting suspicious activities.
Operation Safe Haven warns vigilantes against unauthorized missions in Plateau, says 8 vigilantes lost their lives not 70
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FG Saves N1bn Through Passport Reforms Annually, Issues Over 3.5m Passports in Two Years

FG Saves N1bn Through Passport Reforms Annually, Issues Over 3.5m Passports in Two Years
By: Michael Mike
The Federal Government on Tuesday said over 3.5 million passports has been issued in less than two years, adding that a massive N1 billion plus have been saved annually through reforms in the nation’s passport processing system.
The Minister of Interior, Hon. Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo, disclosed this on Tuesday in Abuja at the inauguration of the Ministry’s new Passport Front Office.
Tunji-Ojo said the reforms were implemented in line with President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda to enhance efficiency, security, and service delivery.
The minister while stating that the administration met a backlog of over 200,000 unprocessed passports and a debt of nearly ₦20 billion in the sector when it assumed office in 2023, disclosed that the backlog and debt have since been cleared.
He said. “While 3,080,141 passports were issued locally, 466,117 passports were also issued in the diaspora since August 2023. This brings the total of 3,546,258 passports issued “
Tunji-Ojo noted that the ministry also fully automated the upload of breeder documents, such as birth and marriage certificates, which previously cost government about N1 billion annually.
He said: “This is a major reform. We no longer pay contractors for what Nigerians can upload themselves. That money stays with government now.”
The Minister revealed that the number of centres issuing enhanced e-passports had increased from 26 to 44 in Nigeria and from five to 47 in the diaspora, while stating that
all passport offices now issue harmonised enhanced passports in line with global best practices.
He said: “We inherited a system where different types of passports were issued. That affected our credibility. Today, every Nigerian passport is ICAO-compliant and globally verifiable.”
Tunji-Ojo promised that a new passport central personalisation centre with modern technology, provided at no cost by Iris Smart Technologies, would become operational by August 2025.
He commended the company for supporting the government’s reform efforts and providing advanced passport production equipment without cost to the treasury.
He said Nigeria now produces passports in more than 50 locations, both within the country and abroad, and has joined the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) Public Key Directory for global passport authentication.
He announced that effective July 31, all applications for Special Expatriate Permits and Temporary Work Permits must be submitted online.
“Manual processing will no longer be allowed. We must have the data, biometrics and documentation of every applicant for national security,” he said.
Tunji-Ojo said the reforms reflect the Federal Government’s commitment to digital governance, transparency, and efficient service delivery.
FG Saves N1bn Through Passport Reforms Annually, Issues Over 3.5m Passports in Two Years
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RARARA’: Atiku Abubakar, Nasiru El-rufai, and Rotimi Ameachi lack the cohesive strength and popular support necessary to unseat Tinubu-Shettima in 2027

RARARA’: Atiku Abubakar, Nasiru El-rufai, and Rotimi Ameachi lack the cohesive strength and popular support necessary to unseat Tinubu-Shettima in 2027
By: Maina Maina
The political landscape leading up to Nigeria’s 2027 presidential election is marked by intense rivalry, particularly between the trio of Atiku Abubakar, Nasir El-Rufai, and Rotimi Amaechi, and the incumbent Bola Tinubu alongside his running mate Shettima. Despite their vocal opposition to Tinubu’s administration, many analysts argue that this trio lacks the cohesive strength and popular support necessary to unseat Tinubu.
Hakeem Baba-Ahmed suggests that Atiku, El-Rufai, and Amaechi should step aside to mentor younger leaders who can offer fresh perspectives rather than pursuing power themselves. This recommendation underscores a broader call for renewal in Nigerian politics rather than recycling established figures.
While Atiku and his allies vow to challenge Tinubu’s re-election, citing national insecurity and economic hardship, public sentiment appears divided, with some Nigerians urging unity behind alternative candidates like Peter Obi. However, those truly committed to a vibrant democracy may find greater promise in supporting Tinubu’s proven political strategy combined with Kashim Shettima’s appeal. Thus, dismissing the claims of the opposition trio as lacking substantive engagement aligns with calls for pragmatic leadership that prioritizes national stability over fractious political ambition.
Also, Dauda Kahutu Radar, a prominent Hausa musician, asserted his confidence that he would be given the opportunity to contest the Nigerian presidential election against notable political figures such as Atiku Abubakar, Nasiru El-Rufai, and Rotimi Ameachi. He emphasized that his widespread popularity and deep connection with Nigerians surpass the influence of these politicians, who he claims are forming a coalition against the Tinubu-Shettima ticket.
Rarara’s statement reflects a growing trend where cultural icons leverage their public appeal to challenge traditional political actors. This claim underscores an evolving dynamic in Nigerian politics where celebrity status translates into political capital. Although not speaking for himself but for President Tinubu, his confidence stems from his perceived ability to mobilize grassroots support through his music and public persona.
His position challenges established political alliances and raises questions about voter preferences in contemporary Nigeria. Dauda Kahutu Rarara’s declaration highlights how non-traditional candidates might disrupt conventional electoral contests by capitalizing on popular appeal rather than entrenched party structures, a case that makes the coalition’s appeal child’s play.
The Hausa musician, in an interview with DCL Hausa, critically assessed the political legacies of Atiku Abubakar, Nasir El-Rufai, and Rotimi Amaechi, emphasizing their failure to meet the expectations of Nigerian citizens during their respective tenures. According to the musician, these figures have consistently revealed governance approaches that fall short of delivering tangible development and accountability. This pattern of underperformance has eroded public trust and credibility, thereby diminishing their capacity to effectively challenge the current Tinubu administration.
The musician argued that despite their political ambitions and vocal opposition to President Tinubu’s government, Atiku, El-Rufai, and Amaechi lack the moral authority necessary for substantive critique. Their previous governance records do not inspire confidence among Nigerians who seek progressive leadership. Consequently, this perceived deficiency undermines their legitimacy as credible alternatives or critics in Nigeria’s complex political landscape. The musician’s perspective underscores a broader discourse on accountability and leadership efficacy within Nigerian politics.
- Maina Maina writes from Kano.
RARARA’: Atiku Abubakar, Nasiru El-rufai, and Rotimi Ameachi lack the cohesive strength and popular support necessary to unseat Tinubu-Shettima in 2027
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